Publications

Locating EV Charging Stations to Enable Intercity Travel in Saudi Arabia

Ryan Alyamani, Thomas Gertin

The development of electric vehicle (EV) infrastructure presents a promising pathway to reduce transportation emissions, particularly when integrated with low-carbon energy systems. Given Saudi Arabia’s commitment to sustainable travel initiatives, a clear understanding of the  charging infrastructure required for facilitating…

Alyamani, Ryan

Thomas Gertin

Behavioral Changes in Household Electricity Consumption from 2015 to 2022

Abdulelah Darandary, Nader AlKathiri

Analyzing the distribution of electricity consumption provides a clearer picture of distinct household segments and their behaviors. This approach allows us to identify clusters of low, moderate, and high consumers, offering insight into usage patterns.Such granularity can guide targeted energy-saving…

Darandary, Abdulelah

AlKathiri, Nader

Introduction of Electric Vehicles in Saudi Arabia: Impacts on Oil Consumption, CO2 Emissions, and Electricity Demand

Muhammad Javid, Raed Al-Mestneer

In this study, we project the number of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles in Saudi Arabia up to 2050. The projected number of vehicles is then used to project the oil demand and CO2 emissions associated with the road transport…

Javid, Muhammad

Al-Mestneer, Raed

How the Census-2022 Results Changed the Outlook for Electricity Demand

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Raed Al-Mestneer

This paper aims to address these discrepancies by reestimating an original empirical model of electricity demand using recently revised population data from GaStat (2024). The original model, which was developed by Mikayilov and Darandary (2024), relied on population data from…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Al-Mestneer, Raed

Pandemic, Ukraine, OPEC+ and Strategic Stockpiles: Taming the Oil Market in Turbulent Times

Hossa Almutairi, Axel Pierru, James L. Smith

With a simple decomposition method, we estimate the monthly shifts in global oil demand and non-OPEC+ supply since 2010. We find evidence that during the January 2017 to December 2023 period, OPEC+ attempted to stabilize the price of crude oil…

Almutairi, Hossa

Pierru, Axel

James L. Smith

K-DSGE 2.0: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for Saudi Arabia with Carbon Circular Economy Features

Hossa Almutairi, Marzio Galeotti, Baltasar Manzano, Axel Pierru

This paper describes a substantially improved version of K-DSGE, the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the Saudi Arabian economy, developed by KAPSARC researchers.

Almutairi, Hossa

Galeotti, Marzio

Manzano, Baltasar

Pierru, Axel

A Global Hydrogen Future

Hydrogen is a significant part of energy conversations because of its scalability, flexibility, and decarbonization potential. Considerable efforts are underway globally to determine the most effective ways to introduce hydrogen into the energy mix. This report—A Global Hydrogen Future—aims to…

Understanding the Role of Renewable Energy in Import Demand for Petrochemicals Is the Prevailing Perception More Imagined Than Real?

Fakhri Hasanov, Evar Umeozor, Samar Mohamed

The prevailing perception is that the transition to renewable energy ­will lead to a decrease in demand for hydrocarbons and petrochemicals. The pre­sent work empirically demonstrates that this common sense may be more imaginary than real: it finds evidence that…

Hasanov, Fakhri

Umeozor, Evar

Samar Mohamed

Saudi Arabia’s Population Trends: Insights from the 2022 Census Revision

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Raghad Alotaibi

Having ­people as a main focal point of all policies and activities worldwide and at an individual country level sets a responsibility for all countries/institutions to have reliable information on the size, structure, and dynamics of the population that can…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Raghad Alotaibi

Green Jobs and the Saudi Gender Wage Gap: Explained and Unexplained

Cian Mulligan

Saudi Arabia has made great strides recently in increasing female labor force participation, reaching the Vision 2030 goal of 30% in late 2020, almost a decade early. With labor force participation achieved, the conversation now turns to labor market outcomes,…

Mulligan, Cian

Measuring Green Jobs in Saudi Arabia: Saudis in Green Occupations

Cian Mulligan

This paper offers the first estimate of employment in Saudi Arabia that can be linked to the energy transition. Using a task-based taxonomy devised by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics applied to detailed administrative data on Saudi workers,…

Mulligan, Cian

Nudging Toward Sustainability: Behavioral Interventions in Saudi Arabia’s Residential Electricity Consumption

Abdulelah Darandary, Hossa Almutairi

Residential energy consumption is responsible for significant global energy consumption and associated emissions. As a result, households are a prime focus for behavior-modifying interventions. Household energy conservation can be achieved through changes in consumption patterns and investments in energy-efficient products,…

Darandary, Abdulelah

Almutairi, Hossa

Decarbonizing Saudi Arabia’s Residential Sector: Designing Behavioral Interventions for Efficient and Sustainable Energy Consumption

Hossa Almutairi, Fateh Belaïd, Abdulelah Darandary

There is a consensus in the literature regarding the significant role of behavioral change in reducing the level of residential energy consumption. However, there is an ongoing debate concerning the most effective mechanisms and instruments with which to promote energy-efficient…

Almutairi, Hossa

Belaïd, Fateh

Darandary, Abdulelah

Projecting Saudi Arabia’s CO2 Dynamic Baselines to 2060: A Multivariate Approach

The Energy Journal

Using an econometric model, we generate scenario projections of CO2 emissions under different sets of assumptions on the underlying drivers. These drivers include GDP, the energy price, economic structure, and the underlying emissions trend. Our baseline scenario projects that Saudi…

Abdulelah Darandary, Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Impacts of Regional Electricity Demand in Saudi Arabia A Study of the Government Sector

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abeer AlGhamdi

This research presents a comprehensive analysis of electricity demand factors in Saudi Arabia, focusing on the government sector across different regions.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

AlGhamdi, Abeer

Energy Transition in Oil-Dependent Economies: Public Discount Rates for Investment Project Evaluation

Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru

The selection of welfare-enhancing projects necessitates the determination of the present value of cash flows from a public policy perspective. For an oil-exporting economy, the domestic energy transition often implies displacing oil from domestic consumption. Economic dependence on oil affects…

Karanfil, Fatih

Pierru, Axel

Resilience of Saudi Arabia’s Economy to Oil Shocks: Effects of Economic Reforms

Sage Journals

We assess the extent to which the implementation of Vision 2030 policies enhances the Saudi economy’s resilience to oil shocks. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that captures the country’s economic diversification policies, we build a resilience index based…

Hossa Almutairi, Axel Pierru, Baltasar Manzano, Marzio Galeotti

Managing the Oil Market Under Misinformation: A Reasonable Quest?

Hossa Almutairi, Axel Pierru, James L. Smith

This paper examines the type and quality of information that OPEC needs to stabilize the oil market. We extend our previous structural model, in which OPEC makes potential mistakes in judging the size of market shocks, to now include the…

Almutairi, Hossa

Pierru, Axel

James L. Smith

The Contribution of Energy to Economic Growth and Convergence

Nader AlKathiri, Abdulelah Darandary

Using a sample of 94 countries, we analyze the contribution of energy to cross-country economic growth and convergence since 1980. By extending the traditional frontier approach to include energy as an additional factor of production, we decompose economic growth into…

AlKathiri, Nader

Darandary, Abdulelah

Decoding the Behavioral Patterns in Saudi Arabia from GASTAT’s Five-Year Household Energy Statistics Survey

Abdulelah Darandary, Fateh Belaïd

This commentary presents the findings of the annual Energy Statistics Survey by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), an ongoing initiative since 2017 that is now in its fifth iteration, which covers 2022. The survey encompasses hundreds of responses from…

Darandary, Abdulelah

Belaïd, Fateh