• Program Transportation & Infrastructure Transportation & Infrastructure
  • Type Methodology paper
  • Date 26 November 2024
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Abstract

International shipping contributes approximately 3% of global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, prompting the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to aim for net-zero shipping greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050 to mitigate climate change. Shipping is a critical link between countries for transporting goods, and its future advancements will hinge primarily on customer demand for goods and regional growth trends. This study has a dual objective. First, this work seeks to establish a methodological framework for forecasting the trajectory of future global trade. Second, it aims to utilize the estimated future seaborne trade to understand the impact on energy demand in the shipping sector across three scenarios.

Authors

Ahm Mehbub Anwar

Fellow- Transportation & Infrastructure Dr. AHM Mehbub Anwar is a fellow at KAPSARC. He currently leads the Energy Decision Model for Maritime, which results…

Dr. AHM Mehbub Anwar is a fellow at KAPSARC. He currently leads the Energy Decision Model for Maritime, which results in research outcomes as well as advisory inputs for the energy ecosystem across the Kingdom. This project investigates future port activity including seaborne trade and fuel consumption in the shipping sector both locally and globally. He also works on the KAPSARC Spatial Urban Energy System (KSUES) project. Prior to joining KAPSARC, he worked in Transport for New South Wales (TfNSW), a state government organisation, as a transport planner, and at the University of Wollongong (UOW) in Australia as a researcher. He led the update on the state of transport in the TfNSW regions as part of the strategic planning for its Future Transport 2056. He has also worked as a lecturer at Khulna University of Bangladesh, and was later promoted to a professor in urban transport planning. He holds a Ph.D. with an examiners’ commendation for an outstanding thesis from the UOW. His thesis focused on modeling travellers’ preference heterogeneity.

Expertise

  • Urban sustainable mobility
  • Port activity
  • Alternative fuels and enerygy efficiency
  • Choice modeling
  • Future transport strategy at local and national level

Publications See all Ahm Mehbub Anwar’s publications

Rubal Dua

Principal Fellow- Transportation & Infrastructure Rubal is a principal fellow at KAPSARC focused on understanding consumer decision making, in particular, consumer choice of energy-efficient technologies…

Rubal is a principal fellow at KAPSARC focused on understanding consumer decision making, in particular, consumer choice of energy-efficient technologies and mobility options under alternative technology and policy scenarios. Before joining KAPSARC, Rubal gained a Ph.D. at KAUST designing advanced carbon materials for energy and environmental applications, with a particular focus on energy storage, carbon capture, waste-water treatment, and hydrogen generation via solar water splitting. Prior to that, he worked at the University of Pennsylvania on a semiconductor industry-funded project, developing a continuum modeling framework for simulating the physics of micro defect formation in silicon crystals.

Expertise

  • Behavorial decision science
  • Consumer adoption
  • Energy-efficient mobility and shared autonomous mobility-on-demand

Publications See all Rubal Dua’s publications

Abdulrahman Alwosheel

Lead- Transportation & Infrastructure Abdulrahman is a Lead Transportation & Infrastructure expert at King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC). Before joining KAPSARC,…

Abdulrahman is a Lead Transportation & Infrastructure expert at King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC). Before joining KAPSARC, Abdulrahman was a Lecturer at the College of Engineering at Muhammed Ibn Saud University. He also worked as a Traffic Engineer at the Riyadh Metro project. His interests are in transport demand modeling, aviation transport, life cycle analysis, alternative fuels, and energy demand. Abdulrahman holds a master’s degree in Transportation Planning and Engineering and a B.S. degree in Civil Engineering.

Expertise

  • Transport Demand Modeling
  • Aviation Transport
  • Life Cycle Analysis
  • Alternative Fuels and Energy Demand

Publications See all Abdulrahman Alwosheel’s publications

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