Publications

Implications of the 2021 Iran-China Deal for the Oil Market

Emre Hatipoglu, Majed A. Al Suwailem

In late March 2021, China and Iran signed a cooperation pact to stimulate investments in Iran’s oil, gas and petrochemical infrastructure. We refer to this pact as the ‘Iran-China deal’ throughout this manuscript. This deal attracted substantial attention for its…

Hatipoglu, Emre

Al Suwailem, Majed A.

The Pacifying Effect of Energy Dependence on Interstate Conflict: A Large-N analysis

Science Direct

Energy remains essential to all forms of economic and military activity and constitutes one of the most valuable and strategic commodities in international trade. Using the newly released Global Energy Relations Dataset, we assess whether trade in energy resources systematically…

Osman Zeki Gökçe, Emre Hatipoglu, Mehmet Ali Soytas

The Pacifying Effect of Energy Dependence on Interstate Conflict: A Large-N Analysis

Science Direct

Osman Zeki Gökçe, Emre Hatipoglu, Mehmet Ali Soytas

Renewables and the Future of Geopolitics: Revisiting Main Concepts of International Relations from the Lens of Renewables

Russian Journal of Economics

The development of renewable energy is often treated as a purely positive outcome for the world, without consideration of the challenges that come with implementation at scale, which will inevitably follow with the process of a global energy transition. Studies…

Emre Hatipoglu, Saleh Al Muhanna, Brian Efird

World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis

Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel, Emre Hatipoglu

Despite numerous journal articles, forecasting studies, and books, very little is known about the actual quantitative value, or economic cost, of shocks to world oil markets. The potential consequences of a given political or economic disturbance are unclear, and appear…

Considine, Jennifer

Aldayel, Abdullah

Hatipoglu, Emre

Behavioral Aspects of Energy Transition: A KAPSARC-Energy Systems Catapult (ESC) Joint Methodological Report

Rolando Fuentes, Emre Hatipoglu, Thamir Al Shehri, Matt Lipson, Scott Milne, Simon Pearson

KAPSARC’s work on innovation in electricity transitions has focused on unbundling services in the electricity sector (KAPSARC 2016) and developing the microeconomic foundation for a reliability service. Our research has investigated the experiences of industries resembling the electric power sector…

Fuentes, Rolando

Hatipoglu, Emre

Al Shehri, Thamir

Lipson, Matt

Milne, Scott

Pearson, Simon

The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

Abdullah Aldayel, AlJawhara Al Quayid, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu

After decades of relatively smooth trade liberalization, a wave of protectionist measures and a global trade war is now threatening world trade. On September 1, 2019, the United States (U.S.) imposed a new series of tariffs on Chinese imports worth…

Aldayel, Abdullah

Al Quayid, AlJawhara

Considine, Jennifer

Hatipoglu, Emre

Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

Carlo Andrea Bollino, Brian Efird, Fakhri Hasanov, Emre Hatipoglu

United States (U.S.) Iran energy sanction waivers expired May 2, 2019. The waivers permitted eight economies (China, Greece, India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Turkey) to temporarily continue buying oil from Iran. Based on KAPSARC modeling of the political…

Bollino, Carlo Andrea

Efird, Brian

Hasanov, Fakhri

Hatipoglu, Emre

Turkey and the EU: Energy, Transport and Competition Policies

Emre Hatipoglu

This book is the product of a research project on Turkey-EU relations launched at the time when Turkey’s accession talks were coming to a standstill. The purpose of this project, carried out by a team of faculty members from Central…

Hatipoglu, Emre

Economic Sanctions and Banking Crises in Target Economies

Defence and Peace Economics

What effect do economic sanctions have on the stability of banking systems in targeted economies? This manuscript advances the hypothesis that economic sanctions increase the likelihood of systematic banking crises by deteriorating the target economy’s macroeconomic conditions and limiting its…

Emre Hatipoglu

A Story of Institutional Misfit: Congress and US Economic Sanctions

Foreign Policy Analysis

Parting from conventional studies on economic sanctions that look at the properties of the targeted state, this study focuses on the institutional origins of economic sanctions. I observe that most US sanctions either originate from the legislative or the executive…

Emre Hatipoglu

Interstate Conflict: Recent Findings and Controversies

Terrorism and Political Violence

Two significant changes in the research on international conflict have occurred in the last couple of decades. First, the realist perspective has been challenged by a large body of research that investigates the impacts of domestic institutions and other liberal…

Emre Hatipoglu