A tutorial on building policy models as mixed-complementarity problems Interfaces After 50 years of development, building and solving mixed-complementarity problems (MCPs) have become commonplace for policy models that analyze markets. These models are used to develop policies that reshape markets, or introduce markets that replace other organizational forms. In this… فريدريك ميرفي, أكسل بيريو, Yves Smeers
Economic impacts of debottlenecking congestion in the Chinese coal supply chain Energy Economics The fast pace of development in China’s coal industry created bottlenecks in its transportation infrastructure. These bottlenecks likely affected not only China’s domestic coal market, but also global coal markets. In this paper, we estimate the costs and consequences of… برتراند ريو, فيليب جالكين, فريدريك ميرفي, أكسل بيريو
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء Is unbundling electricity services the way forward for the power sector? Electricity Journal High penetration of distributed energy resources will lead to further fragmentation of the power sector, both in the services offered and its value chain. Successful business models will be those that are able to create new products, establish more efficient… رولاندو فوينتس
آثار اكتشافات النفط والغاز الجديدة على الاقتصاد الكلي في الدول المنتجة حديثًا Macroeconomic impacts from developing a country’s natural resources can occur much earlier than initially expected. There is evidence that just the announcement of a large oil or gas discovery can affect the economy.
الإنتاجية والتنويع الاقتصادي تقييم بناء خيارات استثمارية في كفاءة الطاقة في المملكة العربية السعودية كانكانا دوبي, نيكولاس هوارث, منصف كرارتي This study suggests that energy efficiency programs in buildings can provide up to a 27 percent reduction in electricity consumption and a 30 percent reduction in peak electricity demand for Saudi Arabia. It is well recognized, however, that given the… كانكانا دوبي نيكولاس هوارث منصف كرارتي
الإنتاجية والتنويع الاقتصادي تأثير ارتفاع كفاءة الطاقة على التنمية والرفاهية عبر الأجيال في المملكة العربية السعودية Energy policies in the oil-rich countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region influence their domestic growth in the long run. Accordingly, they also redistribute income across generations over long periods. In this paper, we use MEGIR-SA to assess the…
الإنتاجية والتنويع الاقتصادي آثار سياسات الطاقة على الرفاهية والاقتصاد الكلي في دول مجل التعاون الخليجي: نموذج MEGIR – Model with Energy, Growth and Intergenerational Redistribution – investigates the long-run implications for growth and equity across generations of different energy policies. It is the first general equilibrium model with overlapping generations to be developed and applied for…
مستقبل النقل والطلب على الوقود النقل تحت الطلب: آثاره على الطاقة وامكانية اعتماده Major transformations are taking place in the mobility sector; where a transportation system comprising of shared, fully electric, connected and driverless cars available on demand may be on the cusp of emergence. Technological developments and preferences of the next generation…
The prospects for coal-fired power generation in Saudi Arabia Energy Strategy Reviews Almost all of Saudi Arabia’s electric power generation is fueled by oil and gas. Plans for future capacity envisage nuclear and renewables supplementing this mix and thereby freeing up oil for other revenue-generating opportunities. Coal-fired generation has been promoted in… وليد مطر, Rodrigo Echeverri, أكسل بيريو
الإنتاجية والتنويع الاقتصادي الإنتاجية للطاقة في دول مجلس التعاون الخليجي: أدلة من تحليل لمنحنى كوزنتس عالمي مارزيو غاليوتي, نيكولاس هوارث, أليساندرو لانزا This paper explores energy productivity trends at a national level for the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and puts them in an international context. This analysis can be used as part of an evidence base for setting nationally… مارزيو غاليوتي نيكولاس هوارث أليساندرو لانزا
الإنتاجية والتنويع الاقتصادي الإنتاجية في الطاقة كنموذج جديد للتنمية في دول مجلس التعاول الخليجي مارزيو غاليوتي, نيكولاس هوارث, أليساندرو لانزا Following the collapse in oil prices, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have intensified efforts to find a new growth model which increases the welfare of their citizens, while reducing exposure to volatile energy markets. This paper argues that placing energy… مارزيو غاليوتي نيكولاس هوارث أليساندرو لانزا
القضايا الناشئة التي تواجه رابطة المياه والطاقة والغذاء في الشرق الأوسط وآسيا As economies in the Middle East and Asia grow and develop, there will be further strain on water, energy and food resources – each inextricably linked to the others. Much of the Middle East is energy abundant, but population growth…
مستقبل النقل والطلب على الوقود Drivers of Transportation Fuel Demand: Aligning Future Scenarios and Policy Expectations The U.S. light-duty vehicle market represents a key test bed for some of the world’s leading vehicle regulatory policy programs. At the federal level, standards for model years 2022-2025 were established in 2012 under the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions/Corporate Average…
نقاط الضعف الاقتصادية والطاقية السعر مقابل السياسة: تحليل العوامل المحركة لطاقة الوقود الأحفوري؟ هورهي بلازكوز, بالتازار مانزانو Understanding how the composition of a country’s energy mix is formed in an environment where greater government involvement is anticipated due to climate change obligations is critical. This paper is part of a project analyzing drivers of the mix and… هورهي بلازكوز بالتازار مانزانو
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء هل حل خدمات الكهرباء الطريق الأمثل لقطاع الطاقة؟ رولاندو فوينتس High penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) will lead to further fragmentation of the power sector, both in the services offered and its value chain. The ‘‘local’’ component of energy policies will probably become increasingly important. رولاندو فوينتس
Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect volatility? Evidence from the ECB surveys International Journal of Forecasting We examine quarterly oil price forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters conducted by the European Central Bank. We present three empirical findings, all of which are robust to the number of respondents considered. First, the dispersion of forecasts is… طارق عطاالله, فرد جوتز, أكسل بيريو
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء Potential Gains From Reforming Price Caps in China’s Power Sector برتراند ريو, فيليب جالكين, أكسل بيريو, فريدريك ميرفي When energy sectors transition from government-controlled to market-driven systems, the legacy regulatory instruments can create unintended market distortions and lead to higher costs. In China, the most notable regulatory throwback is ceilings on electricity prices that generators can charge utilities,… برتراند ريو فيليب جالكين أكسل بيريو فريدريك ميرفي
العائد الديموغرافي في أفريقيا جنوب الصحراء الكبرى: هل هناك دور للموارد الطبيعية؟ Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has the most resource-rich countries in the world, many of whom are endowed with large oil, gas and mineral deposits. This discussion paper examines the role of natural resources in the economic development and demography of countries…
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء The Renewable Energy Policy Paradox هورهي بلازكوز, كارلو أندريا بولينو, رولاندو فوينتس, نورا نظام الدين One major avenue for policymakers to meet climate targets is by decarbonizing the power sector, one component of which is raising the share of renewable energy sources (renewables) in electricity generation. However, promoting renewables in liberalized power markets creates a… هورهي بلازكوز كارلو أندريا بولينو رولاندو فوينتس نورا نظام الدين
