نقاط الضعف الاقتصادية والطاقية السعر مقابل السياسة: تحليل العوامل المحركة لطاقة الوقود الأحفوري؟ هورهي بلازكوز, بالتازار مانزانو Understanding how the composition of a country’s energy mix is formed in an environment where greater government involvement is anticipated due to climate change obligations is critical. This paper is part of a project analyzing drivers of the mix and… هورهي بلازكوز بالتازار مانزانو
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء هل حل خدمات الكهرباء الطريق الأمثل لقطاع الطاقة؟ رولاندو فوينتس High penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) will lead to further fragmentation of the power sector, both in the services offered and its value chain. The ‘‘local’’ component of energy policies will probably become increasingly important. رولاندو فوينتس
Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect volatility? Evidence from the ECB surveys International Journal of Forecasting We examine quarterly oil price forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters conducted by the European Central Bank. We present three empirical findings, all of which are robust to the number of respondents considered. First, the dispersion of forecasts is… طارق عطاالله, فرد جوتز, أكسل بيريو
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء Potential Gains From Reforming Price Caps in China’s Power Sector برتراند ريو, فيليب جالكين, أكسل بيريو, فريدريك ميرفي When energy sectors transition from government-controlled to market-driven systems, the legacy regulatory instruments can create unintended market distortions and lead to higher costs. In China, the most notable regulatory throwback is ceilings on electricity prices that generators can charge utilities,… برتراند ريو فيليب جالكين أكسل بيريو فريدريك ميرفي
العائد الديموغرافي في أفريقيا جنوب الصحراء الكبرى: هل هناك دور للموارد الطبيعية؟ Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has the most resource-rich countries in the world, many of whom are endowed with large oil, gas and mineral deposits. This discussion paper examines the role of natural resources in the economic development and demography of countries…
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء The Renewable Energy Policy Paradox هورهي بلازكوز, كارلو أندريا بولينو, رولاندو فوينتس, نورا نظام الدين One major avenue for policymakers to meet climate targets is by decarbonizing the power sector, one component of which is raising the share of renewable energy sources (renewables) in electricity generation. However, promoting renewables in liberalized power markets creates a… هورهي بلازكوز كارلو أندريا بولينو رولاندو فوينتس نورا نظام الدين
مستقبل أسواق الغاز الطبيعي LNG Markets in Transition: The Great Reconfiguration آن صوفي كوربيو The present situation in the LNG market should be seen as a “crossroads or a cliff” for the industry. The LNG industry has not been static over the past 5 decades and has already experienced many changes, but still the… آن صوفي كوربيو
الإنتاجية والتنويع الاقتصادي Investing for Energy Productivity in the GCC – Financing the Transition ستيفن فاوكس, نيكولاس هوارث, منصف كرارتي, بادو بادمانبهان An unprecedented infrastructure investment boom occurred in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in the first part of the 21st century. Strong public capital spending supported by high energy prices provided governments with an opportunity to accelerate economic diversification and infrastructure… ستيفن فاوكس نيكولاس هوارث منصف كرارتي بادو بادمانبهان
Modelling residential electricity demand in the GCC countries Energy Economics This paper aims at understanding the drivers of residential electricity demand in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries by applying the structural time series model. In addition to the economic variables of GDP and real electricity prices, the model accounts for… طارق عطاالله, لستر هنت
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء Renewable Energy Policy in India: Creation, Implementation and Efficacy India aims to transition from a fossil fuel burning economy to a comparatively low-carbon economy through the increased use of renewables. To achieve this, India aims to build 175 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2022, establishing one of the…
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء Quantifying Worldwide Demand Elasticities as a Policy Tool كارلو أندريا بولينو This paper provides a comprehensive worldwide database of estimated elasticities for electricity and natural gas for households as a function of income, price, capital stocks and weather conditions. كارلو أندريا بولينو
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء New Business and Regulatory Models for Utilities of the Future Technological advancements have the potential to disrupt the fundamentals of the electric power sector and to some extent make the current role of utilities obsolete. Many countries face this challenge but so far a generic business and regulatory model has…
The Expectations of Stakeholders in Eastern Africa’s Oil and Gas Local content is a political imperative in Eastern Africa, and how it is implemented has implications for the economics of oil and gas projects and could also affect expected government revenues. Policymakers need to weigh the trade-off between encouraging local…
أسواق الطاقة الإقليمية Energy Relations and Policy Making in Asia زياد الفوزان, سديم الحسين, نادر الكثيري, شهد العرينان, براين إفرد Trade between the economies of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and North East Asia (NEA) reached $471 billion in 2013, based almost entirely on oil and gas. The GCC sends 44 percent of its exports to NEA, which depends on… زياد الفوزان سديم الحسين نادر الكثيري شهد العرينان براين إفرد
مستقبل النقل والطلب على الوقود The Responsiveness of Fuel Demand to Gasoline Price in Passenger Transport وليد مطر Empirical estimates of fuel demand changes to price variation are based on historical consumption and prices, and can be applied as a single point estimate to a wide range of price movements. However, if fuel prices are set outside the… وليد مطر
مستقبل أسواق الغاز الطبيعي Will There Be a Price War Between Russian Pipeline Gas & US LNG in Europe? Around 150 mtpa of LNG export capacity will come to global gas markets over 2015-20. While Asia seems unlikely now to be able to absorb it all, Europe emerges as a residual market for flexible volumes. The question is, therefore,…
مستقبل النقل والطلب على الوقود Will current EV and charging infrastructure policy lead to cost-effective electrification of passenger car transport? EVS 2016 - 29th International Electric Vehicle Symposium Governments around the world are seeking to expedite the electrification of passenger cars. Due to the particular policy approaches taken and market conditions, different mixes of BEVs and PHEVs and of rapid and slow public charging infrastructure are starting to… Marcello Contestabile, Mohammed Alajaji
Measuring persistent and transient energy efficiency in the US Energy Efficiency The promotion of US energy efficiency policy is seen as a very important activity. Generally, the level of energy efficiency of a country or state is approximated by energy intensity, commonly calculated as the ratio of energy use to GDP.… لستر هنت
تحولات قطاع الكهرباء Designing Electricity Markets to Integrate Renewable Energy The penetration of renewable energy in deregulated electricity markets is changing the behavior of wholesale electricity prices. Liberalized electricity markets work well when the penetration of renewable energy is low, but they are disrupted when the penetration is significant.
