Publications

The Future of Gas in the Gulf: Continuity and Change

Rami Shabaneh, Bassam Fattouh

This book provides an update the development of natural gas in the Gulf countries nearly ten years after the publication of the OIES Gas Programme book on Natural Gas Markets in the Middle East and North Africa. The book comprises in-depth…

Shabaneh, Rami

Bassam Fattouh

Gas Demand Growth Beyond Power Generation

Kaushik Deb

Highlighting the main trends that have made natural gas the world’s fastest growing fossil fuel, this paper identifies sectors and regions where gas demand is likely to grow in the coming years — especially outside of the power generation sector…

Deb, Kaushik

Oman Electricity Sector: Features, Challenges and Opportunities for Market Integration

Shahid Hasan, Turki Alaqeel, Yagyavalk Bhatt, Abdullah Al-Badi, Mohammed Al-Badi

This discussion paper is part of a KAPSARC research project initiated to develop insights that can facilitate the creation of a well-functioning integrated electricity market comprising the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). The project identifies and examines…

Hasan, Shahid

Alaqeel, Turki

Bhatt, Yagyavalk

Abdullah Al-Badi

Mohammed Al-Badi

An Economic Analysis of China’s Domestic Crude Oil Supply Policies

Bertrand Rioux, Philipp Galkin, Kang Wu

China’s domestic oil production has lagged the rapid growth in the country’s oil consumption since 2000, leading to a large, and growing, reliance on crude imports to meet demand. Factors including China’s current market structure and regulatory environment impede further…

Rioux, Bertrand

Galkin, Philipp

Wu, Kang

Balancing Energy Security Priorities: A Portfolio Optimization Approach to Oil Imports

Philipp Galkin, Carlo Andrea Bollino, Simona Bigerna

The idea of energy security emerged after the energy crises of the 1970s. It has evolved from the initial paradigm of assuring sufficient energy supplies to include a price affordability perspective and, eventually, many other energy-related issues, such as infrastructure,…

Galkin, Philipp

Bollino, Carlo Andrea

Bigerna, Simona

How Total Factor Productivity Drives Long-Run Energy Consumption in Saudi Arabia

Fakhri Hasanov, Brantley Liddle, Carlo Andrea Bollino, Jeyhun Mikayilov

In this study, we investigate how total factor productivity (TFP), alongside income, price, and population, shapes energy consumption in the long-run in Saudi Arabia, the world’s number one oil exporter. To do so, we first estimate a production function and…

Hasanov, Fakhri

Brantley Liddle

Bollino, Carlo Andrea

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Energy Governance in China: The Structures and Processes of Government Decision-Making

Dongmei Chen, Paul Mollet, Brian Efird

This paper describes the current governance structure of China’s energy sector. The interplay between central government, the Communist Party, regional governments and key economic actors within the framework of China’s five-year planning processes are complex and constantly evolving. As such,…

Chen, Dongmei

Mollet, Paul

Efird, Brian

Estimating Freight Transport Activity Using Nighttime Lights Satellite Data in China, India and Saudi Arabia

Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz, Nora Nezamuddin, Abdelrahman Muhsen

This paper focuses on the methodology for estimating total freight transport activity (FTA) for three countries  — China, India and Saudi Arabia  — with the objective of building on current state-of-the-art transportation modeling in three key areas: Studying the relationship…

Lopez-Ruiz, Hector G.

Nezamuddin, Nora

Muhsen, Abdelrahman

Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

Carlo Andrea Bollino, Brian Efird, Fakhri Hasanov, Emre Hatipoglu

United States (U.S.) Iran energy sanction waivers expired May 2, 2019. The waivers permitted eight economies (China, Greece, India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Turkey) to temporarily continue buying oil from Iran. Based on KAPSARC modeling of the political…

Bollino, Carlo Andrea

Efird, Brian

Hasanov, Fakhri

Hatipoglu, Emre

Re-evaluating the Environmental Impacts of Tourism: Does EKC Exist?

Springer

The study investigates the long-run impact of tourism development on ecological footprint by employing the time-varying coefficient cointegration approach (TVC), in addition to the conventional cointegration techniques in the case of Azerbaijan for the period of 1996–2014.

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Jeyhun Mammadov, Mayis Azizov, Shahriyar Mukhtarov

The Impacts of Industrialization on Freight Movement in China

Dongmei Chen, Yagyavalk Bhatt

China’s rapid economic growth has enabled the fast development of freight transport across the country. What might the impact of future economic growth be on freight movement in China? To answer this question, this paper establishes the link between key…

Chen, Dongmei

Bhatt, Yagyavalk

Policy Levers for Promoting Fuel-Efficient Mobility

Personal automotive travel is associated with many negative externalities, including air pollution, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and traffic congestion. The current cost of driving for motorists does not necessarily account for the costs associated with these externalities. Policymakers are employing…

Drivers of New Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Fuel Economy in Saudi Arabia

Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon

This paper investigates the drivers of recent improvements in Saudi Arabia’s new light-duty vehicle fleet fuel economy. A vehicle choice model is estimated using aggregate and disaggregate new vehicle purchase data. The estimates are used to simulate counterfactual policy scenarios.…

Dua, Rubal

Sheldon, Tamara

A Mechanism for CCS in the Post-Paris Era

Wolfgang Heidug, Paul Zakkour

The Paris Agreement committed ratifying Parties to hold the increase in the global average temperature to much less than 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the increase to 1.5°C. The Agreement also committed Parties to achieving…

Heidug, Wolfgang

Zakkour, Paul

Estimating the Impact of Energy Price Reform on Saudi Arabian Intergenerational Welfare using the MEGIR-SA Model

Energy Journal

This paper investigates the intergenerational welfare impact of raising state administered retail energy prices in Saudi Arabia, an example of an oil exporting country with a fast growing population. To achieve this, we develop a dynamic model with overlapping generations (called MEGIR-SA), which…

Frederic Gonand, Fakhri Hasanov, Lester C. Hunt

Potential of Various Renewable Energy and its Introduction Policy in Southeast Asia

Ajay Mathur, Tamiksha Singh, Kenichiro Yamaguchi, Kuniyuki Nishimura, Nobuyuki Kobayashi, Turki Alaqeel

Renewable energy has gained importance and is changing the face of energy business. Introduction of community-based off-grid renewable electricity in developing countries is desirable from the viewpoint of fostering inclusive growth. Southeast Asia provides an ideal ground for demonstration, since…

Ajay Mathur

Tamiksha Singh

Kenichiro Yamaguchi

Kuniyuki Nishimura

Kobayashi, Nobuyuki

Alaqeel, Turki

Deepening Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and China

Dongmei Chen, Wenke Han

In recent decades China and Saudi Arabia have gradually deepened their collaboration in many areas. Five indicators are used to assess the overall progress of the two countries’ collaboration and to help form recommendations for ways to improve the integration between…

Chen, Dongmei

Wenke Han

An Empirical Analysis of the Welfare Implications of the Direct Rebound Effect

Springer

Improving the energy efficiency of an energy service, such as lighting, cooling, or driving, makes the service cheaper, normally leading consumers to demand more of it. This additional demand is known as the direct rebound effect.

Ziyad Alfawzan, Anwar Gasim

The Value of Integrating Saudi Arabia Into the Global Gas Market

The changing landscape in global liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets could make LNG imports a viable option for Saudi Arabia as the Kingdom works to diversify its power mix away from an increased reliance on burning oil to generate electricity.…

Abu Dhabi Electricity Sector – Features, Challenges and Opportunities for Market Integration

Shahid Hasan, Turki Alaqeel, Iqbal Adjali, Yagyavalk Bhatt

The emirate of Abu Dhabi was the first in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to design and implement reforms aimed at moving away from a wholly government-owned vertically-integrated electricity market structure. From 1998, Abu Dhabi introduced several policy, legislative, structural…

Hasan, Shahid

Alaqeel, Turki

Adjali, Iqbal

Bhatt, Yagyavalk