Publications

Saudi Vision 2030 Dynamic Input-Output Table: Combining Macroeconomic Forecasts With the RAS Method

David Havrlant, Mehmet Ali Soytas

When an economy is in the midst of a transformation and diversification process, it is hard to assume that its sectoral composition and inter-industry transactions will remain unchanged. This is especially the case since substantial adjustments to a country’s economic…

Havrlant, David

Soytas, Mehmet Ali

The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Non-Oil GDP in Saudi Arabia

Fakhri Hasanov, Nader AlKathiri, Saad Alshahrani, Ryan Alyamani

Saudi Vision 2030 (SV2030), the strategic roadmap for the future of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, aims to decouple the country’s economy from its reliance on oil revenues through implementing several economic and social initiatives. The key economic goals of…

Hasanov, Fakhri

AlKathiri, Nader

Alshahrani, Saad

Alyamani, Ryan

Renewable Energy and Employment: The Experience of Egypt, Jordan and Morocco

Sylvain Côté

While the renewable energy sector needs more workers per megawatt of energy generated than fossil fuel-based energy sectors, a sound and dynamic labor market is necessary for local populations to enjoy the benefits of employment. A well-functioning market can help…

Côté, Sylvain

Modeling Industrial Energy Demand in Saudi Arabia and Understanding Its Drivers

Shahad Alarenan, Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt

In 2016 Saudi Arabia’s industrial (or manufacturing) sector accounted for 30.3% of total final energy consumption (IEA 2018a). When non-energy use (mainly feedstock for the petrochemical subsector) is included, the industrial sector᾽s share of total final energy consumption rises to…

Alarenan, Shahad

Gasim, Anwar

Hunt, Lester C.

Estimating the Multiple Benefits of Building Energy Efficiency in GCC Countries Using an Energy Productivity Framework

Kankana Dubey, Nicholas Howarth, Moncef Krarti

This report quantifies the direct and key indirect benefits of energy efficiency investment in buildings in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. It summarizes the key insights from individual country studies conducted as part of KAPSARC’s energy productivity project. This analysis indicates that…

Dubey, Kankana

Howarth, Nicholas

Krarti, Moncef

Fostering Joint Leadership on Energy Productivity Transitions in Saudi Arabia and China

This workshop explored specific opportunities where the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and China can benefit from cooperation around efforts to improve industrial energy productivity. This is especially timely as both countries move into a closer phase of engagement under China’s…

Toward Economic Prosperity Through Industrial Energy Productivity Improvement

Dongmei Chen, Nicholas Howarth, Alessandro Lanza, Padu Padmanabhan

In this report, we explore the main trends and policies that relate to industrial energy productivity in China and Saudi Arabia, focusing on energy efficiency, structural economic reform, industrial upgrading and energy pricing. Our objective is to increase shared understanding…

Chen, Dongmei

Howarth, Nicholas

Lanza, Alessandro

Padmanabhan, Padu

Growth Through Diversification and Energy Efficiency: Energy Productivity in Saudi Arabia

Steven Fawkes, Marzio Galeotti, Nicholas Howarth, Moncef Krarti, Alessandro Lanza, Padu Padmanabhan

With domestic energy demand in Saudi Arabia expected to potentially double by 2030, managing the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth will be very important for the Kingdom’s sustainable development. To assist in this task, this report recommends using…

Fawkes, Steven

Galeotti, Marzio

Howarth, Nicholas

Krarti, Moncef

Lanza, Alessandro

Padmanabhan, Padu

How to Achieve Economic Prosperity Through Industrial Energy Productivity Improvement

The King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) and the Energy Research Institute (ERI) of China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) have initiated a joint study into how industrial energy productivity can improve economic prosperity. This study comes…

Growth, Investment and the Low-Carbon Transition: A View From Saudi Arabia

Nicholas Howarth, Alessandro Lanza

A common priority across G20 countries is the need to reinvigorate economies through an economic transformation that delivers a higher level of better quality growth. At KAPSARC, the need to improve economic growth and deliver climate goals agreed at COP21…

Howarth, Nicholas

Lanza, Alessandro

An Evaluation of High Energy Performance Residential Buildings in Bahrain

Kankana Dubey, Moncef Krarti

This paper describes our analysis of the cost-effectiveness of designing and retrofitting residential buildings in Bahrain and outlines our analytical approach. The study focuses on residential buildings since households consume more than 48 percent of electricity used in the country.…

Dubey, Kankana

Krarti, Moncef

Evaluating Building Energy Efficiency Investment Options for Saudi Arabia

Kankana Dubey, Nicholas Howarth, Moncef Krarti

This study suggests that energy efficiency programs in buildings can provide up to a 27 percent reduction in electricity consumption and a 30 percent reduction in peak electricity demand for Saudi Arabia. It is well recognized, however, that given the…

Dubey, Kankana

Howarth, Nicholas

Krarti, Moncef

Impacts of Higher Energy Efficiency on Growth and Welfare Across Generations in Saudi Arabia

Energy policies in the oil-rich countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region influence their domestic growth in the long run. Accordingly, they also redistribute income across generations over long periods. In this paper, we use MEGIR-SA to assess the…

Macroeconomic and Welfare Effects of Energy Policies in Saudi Arabia: The MEGIR-SA Model

MEGIR – Model with Energy, Growth and Intergenerational Redistribution – investigates the long-run implications for growth and equity across generations of different energy policies. It is the first general equilibrium model with overlapping generations to be developed and applied for…

Energy Productivity in the GCC: Evidence From an International Kuznets Curve Analysis

Marzio Galeotti, Nicholas Howarth, Alessandro Lanza

This paper explores energy productivity trends at a national level for the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and puts them in an international context. This analysis can be used as part of an evidence base for setting nationally…

Galeotti, Marzio

Howarth, Nicholas

Lanza, Alessandro

Energy Productivity as a New Growth Model for GCC Countries

Marzio Galeotti, Nicholas Howarth, Alessandro Lanza

Following the collapse in oil prices, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have intensified efforts to find a new growth model which increases the welfare of their citizens, while reducing exposure to volatile energy markets. This paper argues that placing energy…

Galeotti, Marzio

Howarth, Nicholas

Lanza, Alessandro

Investing for Energy Productivity in the GCC – Financing the Transition

Steven Fawkes, Nicholas Howarth, Moncef Krarti, Padu Padmanabhan

An unprecedented infrastructure investment boom occurred in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in the first part of the 21st century. Strong public capital spending supported by high energy prices provided governments with an opportunity to accelerate economic diversification and infrastructure…

Fawkes, Steven

Howarth, Nicholas

Krarti, Moncef

Padmanabhan, Padu

Policymakers Guide to the Various Ways of Calculating Energy Productivity

Anwar Gasim

The existence of multiple approaches to calculating energy productivity, with its resulting diverse outcomes, makes it difficult to draw meaningful comparisons between economies and monitor their progress over time. To understand better the implications of this, we conducted a systematic…

Gasim, Anwar

Multidimensional Bargaining Using KTAB

Brian Efird, Imtenan Al-Mubarak, Lama Yaseen

This paper (Multidimensional KTAB) is a technical discussion paper designed as a follow on to An Introduction to the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis using one-dimensional spatial models (Unidimensional KTAB). It extends the original framework of KTAB to explain the…

Efird, Brian

Al-Mubarak, Imtenan

Yaseen, Lama

Efficient Industrial Energy Use: The First Step in Transitioning Saudi Arabia’s Energy Mix

Walid Matar, Axel Pierru, Frederic Murphy, David Wogan, Bertrand Rioux

External observers worry about whether Saudi domestic consumption of oil will crowd out exports. This is based on simple extrapolations which suggest that in a little more than 20 years Saudi Arabia may become a net importer of hydrocarbon fuels.…

Matar, Walid

Pierru, Axel

Murphy, Frederic

Wogan, David

Rioux, Bertrand