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      The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy

      Abdullah Aldayel, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu, Colin Ward

      On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, which quickly escalated into a militarized conflict across multiple fronts. The act drew immediate disapproval from the United Nations and led most members of the Western alliance to…

      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      10th October 2022
      Global Crude Oil Storage Index: A New Benchmark for Energy Policy
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Global Crude Oil Storage Index: A New Benchmark for Energy Policy

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      The global oil market dwarfs other commodity markets. Its size and role in the energy and industrial value chains underscore its significant economic and geopolitical impacts. Thus, the consequences of oil price fluctuations extend far beyond the oil industry and…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      13th September 2022
      Extreme Market Distortions Canadian Crude Oil Flows

      Extreme Market Distortions Canadian Crude Oil Flows

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      With extensive natural resources and strategic access to both the Atlantic and Pacific basins, Canada has the potential to become a global energy powerhouse – provided that the nation is successful in alleviating its infrastructure bottlenecks. According to the United…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      27th December 2020
      Natural Gas Utilization in GCC Countries
      Future of Natural Gas Markets

      Natural Gas Utilization in GCC Countries

      Majed A. Al Suwailem, Abdullah Aldayel

      Between 2009 and 2019, marketed gas production by Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members has grown at an average rate of 4.8% per annum, from 265 billion standard cubic meters in 2009 to 422 billion standard cubic meters (Bscm) in 2019.…

      Majed A. Al Suwailem Al Suwailem, Majed A.
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      22nd September 2020
      World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel, Emre Hatipoglu

      Despite numerous journal articles, forecasting studies, and books, very little is known about the actual quantitative value, or economic cost, of shocks to world oil markets. The potential consequences of a given political or economic disturbance are unclear, and appear…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      10th June 2020
      Crude Oil Reserves Metrics of GCC Members

      Crude Oil Reserves Metrics of GCC Members

      Majed A. Al Suwailem, Abdullah Aldayel

      As of December 2018, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries had combined proven reserves of 497 billion barrels of crude oil. This represents approximately 34% of the world’s estimated proven crude reserves.

      Majed A. Al Suwailem Al Suwailem, Majed A.
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      27th April 2020
      Crude Oil and Refined Products
      Future of Natural Gas Markets Future of Global Oil Markets

      Crude Oil and Refined Products

      Rami Shabaneh, Abdullah Aldayel

      The power sector in Saudi Arabia makes up just over half of the natural gas demand in the Kingdom, followed by the industrial sector and non-energy use as a feedstock for petrochemicals.

      Rami Shabaneh Shabaneh, Rami
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      6th April 2020
      Market Structure, Inventories and Oil Prices: An Empirical Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Market Structure, Inventories and Oil Prices: An Empirical Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      Understanding the relationship between crude oil prices and inventory levels is critical for policymakers and economic actors. The size of the ‘basis,’ or spread between spot and futures prices, reflects the level of inventories and can trigger arbitrage trading. The…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      24th February 2020
      Assessment of Coronavirus Effects on Oil Demand Implied by Price Elasticities

      Assessment of Coronavirus Effects on Oil Demand Implied by Price Elasticities

      Ronald Ripple, Dongmei Chen, Abdullah Aldayel, Hamid M. Al Sadoon

      There appears to be a significant response in the crude oil markets to the coronavirus outbreak that originated in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and has since spread globally. Many cities in Hubei, of which Wuhan is the capital, have been…

      Ronald Ripple Ripple, Ronald
      Dongmei Chen Chen, Dongmei
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Hamid M. Al Sadoon Al Sadoon, Hamid M.
      20th February 2020
      The Value of Spot Sales to a Producing Country Subject to Production Quotas
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Value of Spot Sales to a Producing Country Subject to Production Quotas

      Jennifer Considine, Kang Wu, Abdullah Aldayel

      In recent years, global oil markets have experienced intensified competition driven by growing surpluses of lighter crude and shale oil. As their margins have shrunk, many producers have increased output in order to boost revenue, adding to the oversupply. Meanwhile,…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Kang Wu Wu, Kang
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      16th January 2020
      The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

      The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

      Abdullah Aldayel, AlJawhara Al Quayid, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu

      After decades of relatively smooth trade liberalization, a wave of protectionist measures and a global trade war is now threatening world trade. On September 1, 2019, the United States (U.S.) imposed a new series of tariffs on Chinese imports worth…

      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      AlJawhara Al Quayid Al Quayid, AlJawhara
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      4th December 2019
      A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

      Hamid M. Al Sadoon, Colin Ward, Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel

      The KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) has been designed to provide readers with a timely source of data, forecasts and analysis of world oil markets, including an understanding of the key factors affecting world oil prices. This paper gives a…

      Hamid M. Al Sadoon Al Sadoon, Hamid M.
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      20th October 2019