• Initiative -
  • Type KAPSARC journal article
  • Date March 1, 2016
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Abstract

We focus on the elite decision-making process in China, analyzing the formation of coalitions around particular policy options. We apply a framework that simulates collective decision-making processes (CDMP): the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB). KTAB facilitates the application of a Spatial Model of Politics, an open source model similar to Bueno de Mesquita’s (1997) Expected Utility Model and the Senturion model (Abdollahian, et al 2006). KTAB provides a framework to understand logical consequences of subjective data inputs, enabling contrasting scenarios to be analyzed. We examine the interactions of actors’ interests that drive China to reform its energy sector policies, in particular the structure of the Chinese National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC). In the case of private companies’ entry into energy markets in China, we find that little reform is likely. The inertia of key actors holds back the potential for a significant opening of the energy sector. Despite the erosion of CNPC’s political clout, there is little consensus for major reform to China’s market position. © East Asia Institute.

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-east-asian-studies/article/analyzing-coalitions-in-chinas-policy-formulation-reforming-the-role-of-stateowned-enterprises-in-chinas-energy-sector/02CBC45E77B24847E06A3631ADA20771

Journal of East Asian Studies

Authors

Brian Efird

Brian Efird

Program Director Dr. Brian Efird is the program director for Policy and Decision Science. He manages a multidisciplinary, multi-national team of researchers…

Expertise

  • Behavioral modeling
  • geopolitics
  • defense and national security studies
  • human geography
  • and strategic communication

Publications See all Brian Efird’s publications

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Energy Governance in China: The Structures and Processes of Government Decision-Making

Energy Governance in China: The Structures and Processes of Government Decision-Making

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Ben Wise

Ben Wise

Visiting Researcher Ben Wise is a visiting research at KAPSARC. He supports the Policy Decision Sciences group as the main architect of…

Expertise

  • Formals models of planning
  • negotiation
  • optimization
  • trade
  • finance

Publications See all Ben Wise’s publications

Policy Options for Reducing Water for Agriculture in Saudi Arabia

Policy Options for Reducing Water for Agriculture in Saudi Arabia

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January 23, 2018

Modeling collective decision-making processes with the KAPSARC toolkit for behavioral analysis

We focus on the elite decision-making process in China, analyzing the formation of coalitions around…

October 19, 2017
Leo Lester

Leo Lester

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