• Initiative -
  • Type External journal article
  • Date 14 June 2011
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Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the cost factors that influence the export of the Czech Republic, and to estimate models suitable for quantitative analysis of export and its prediction. According to the macroeconomic theory, the  fundamental export factors include foreign demand, domestic and foreign price level and exchange rate. Foreign demand reflects the business cycle of foreign economy, price levels and exchange rate characterize the competitiveness of the exported goods, and the exchange rate determines, among others, the production costs through the prices of imported crucial inputs. Several models are applied to set of these variables, and their impact on the export dynamics of the Czech Republic is evaluated.

Author: Havrlant, D., Hušek, R.

http://www.vse.cz/polek/download.php?jnl=pep&pdf=396.pdf

Prague Economic Papers

Authors

David Havrlant

David Havrlant

As a research fellow, David contributes to a better understanding of the current and future economic environment of a changing… As a research fellow, David contributes to a better understanding of the current and future economic environment of a changing region. He is mainly interested in the development of models for policy analysis and forecasting. At the same time, he is involved in projects related to the Vision 2030 program, focusing on the economic transformation and diversification of the Saudi economy. Prior to joining KAPSARC, David worked at the European Commission, European Central Bank, Moody's Analytics and the Czech National Bank. In these institutions, he participated in economic policy analysis, forecasting and research. He also served as a consultant to central banks in the CEE region, managing a variety of economic modeling projects. David led courses in econometrics and operations research during his Ph.D. studies.

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