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Publications

See all Paolo’s publications
  • Discussion papers
The Determinants of Successful Energy Subsidy Reforms: A Logistic Regression Analysis

The Determinants of Successful Energy Subsidy Reforms: A Logistic Regression Analysis

Many factors influence whether an energy subsidy reform is successful. We define success as a reform that does not lead to social unrest and is not reversed. To better understand these factors, we apply logistic regression analysis to an original dataset capturing 392 distinct episodes of energy subsidy reform and their outcomes across 44 countries between 1995 and 2022. We find that larger energy price increases are more likely to trigger social unrest or lead to a reform reversal, pointing to the importance of gradual reform implementation.

29th December 2024
Lessons from an International Review of Successful and Unsuccessful Energy Subsidy Reforms

Lessons from an International Review of Successful and Unsuccessful Energy Subsidy Reforms

Many factors contribute to the success of energy subsidy reform. To better understand these factors, we review studies that drew lessons from past attempts at reform. We synthesize the lessons and then expound on them by reviewing our newly constructed database of over 3,000 news articles, capturing the context, details, and outcomes of over 400 energy subsidy reforms implemented worldwide from 1995 to 2022 across 44 countries.

3rd November 2024

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