Assessing Politics in Market Projections-Restarting Japanese Nuclear Reactors and Global Gas Markets

Initiative Models, Data and Tools
Type Discussion paper
Date October 27, 2019

Abstract

This paper explores the value of explicitly integrating the modeling of political concerns into a model of energy market projections. This is achieved by assessing the impact on global gas markets of political constraints on restarting Japanese nuclear reactors. The 2018 KAPSARC discussion paper cited above utilized the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB) to determine the political will for such a policy decision.

Authors

Saleh Al Muhanna

Research Analyst Saleh is a senior research analyst in the Policy and Decision Science program. His interests lie in geopolitical research, international… Saleh is a senior research analyst in the Policy and Decision Science program. His interests lie in geopolitical research, international agreements and international trade. Saleh holds a master's degree in international commerce and policy from George Mason University and a B.S. degree in economics from Pennsylvania State University.

Expertise

Political theory
Geopolitics
International trade.

Publications See all Saleh Al Muhanna’s publications

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Rami Shabaneh

Senior Research Associate Rami Shabaneh is a senior research associate with a focus on global gas and liquids markets. Rami has over 13… Rami Shabaneh is a senior research associate with a focus on global gas and liquids markets. Rami has over 13 years of research and industry experience analyzing energy markets and energy policy. Before joining KAPSARC, Rami worked at Cenovus Energy as a market fundamentals analyst, providing analytic support on specific issues affecting North American gas, natural gas liquids and condensate markets. His work informed the company’s hedging strategies. Before working at Cenovus Energy, Rami spent three years as an integral member of the fuels and power research team at the Canadian Energy Research Institute. He holds an M.Sc. in sustainable energy development from the University of Calgary.

Expertise