Print

Abstract

Conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating the costs of securing associated environmental benefits. Using a large-scale nationally representative sample of U.S. new car buyers, we propose a choice model-based counterfactual approach to predict what consumers would purchase if clean vehicles were unavailable. We find that gasoline consumption under a no clean vehicle scenario increases by 1.7%, compared with 1.1% based on a conventional counterfactual. The conventional counterfactual overestimates the cost of gasoline savings from clean vehicle adoption incentives by $1.16 (27%) per gallon compared with the choice model-based counterfactual. © 2018 Elsevier Ltd

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.057

Energy Policy

Authors

Tamara Sheldon

Tamara Sheldon

Visiting Researcher

Rubal Dua

Rubal Dua

Research Fellow Rubal is a research fellow at KAPSARC focused on understanding consumer decision making, in particular, consumer choice of energy-efficient technologies…

Expertise

  • Behavorial decision science
  • consumer adoption
  • energy-efficient mobility and shared autonomous mobility-on-demand

Publications See all Rubal Dua’s publications

Drivers of New Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Fuel Economy in Saudi Arabia

Drivers of New Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Fuel Economy in Saudi Arabia

Conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating…

May 1, 2019

Gasoline savings from clean vehicle adoption

Conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating…

June 1, 2018
Share

Stay informed

I'm interested in

Select the updates you'd like to receive from us

About

A bit about you