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Abstract

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive energy system, both as part of its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), and as one of a number of investments in ‘green’ research and development, technology and power generation. However, given the complexity of the UAE political system, which requires consensus among seven relatively sovereign and independent emirates, as well as commercial and financial interests, it is not immediately clear which policy instruments that might drive the UAE energy transition will prove acceptable and politically plausible. Here, we apply the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB) platform, a model of collective decision-making processes (CDMPs), to assess the political will to agree to and to implement an array of different policy alternatives within the current UAE context.

Authors

Brian Efird

Brian Efird

Program Director Dr. Brian Efird is the program director for Policy and Decision Science. He manages a multidisciplinary, multi-national team of researchers…

Expertise

  • Behavioral modeling
  • geopolitics
  • defense and national security studies
  • human geography
  • and strategic communication

Publications See all Brian Efird’s publications

Energy Governance in China: The Structures and Processes of Government Decision-Making

Energy Governance in China: The Structures and Processes of Government Decision-Making

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive…

May 14, 2019
Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive…

May 9, 2019
Paul Mollet

Paul Mollet

Research Fellow Paul is a research fellow in the Policy and Decision Sciences program. He is a former journalist and energy market…

Expertise

  • Energy transition
  • climate change and oil markets

Publications See all Paul Mollet’s publications

Political Feasibility of Enhancing India’s Midcentury Target for Emissions Intensity

Political Feasibility of Enhancing India’s Midcentury Target for Emissions Intensity

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive…

September 18, 2019
US Rolls Back Regulation but the Oil Industry Moves Forward

US Rolls Back Regulation but the Oil Industry Moves Forward

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive…

September 12, 2019
Imtenan Al-Mubarak

Imtenan Al-Mubarak

Research Associate Imtenan is a research associate in KAPSARC’s Policy and Decision Science program focusing on energy and economic policy research with an…

Expertise

  • Data science
  • machine learning
  • industry and entrepreneurship
  • game theory
  • bargaining models
  • behavioral analysis
  • policy assessment
  • geopolitics
  • GCC energy policies and economics
  • and transition management.

Publications See all Imtenan Al-Mubarak’s publications

The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power Plants

The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power Plants

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive…

December 31, 2018
The Economics of Renewable Energy in the Gulf

The Economics of Renewable Energy in the Gulf

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has said it wishes to transition toward a less carbon-intensive…

October 17, 2018
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