Al Sadoon, Hamid M.

  • Primary Program Oil & Gas
  • Research Interests Oil Demand, Long- and Short-term Forecasting, Energy Modeling and Climate Change

Biography

Hamid is a senior fellow and leads the KAPSARC’s Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) quarterly reports. He focuses on all aspects related to short- and long-term energy forecasting, covering a wide array of topics including demand, prices, inventories, etc. Prior to joining KAPSARC, he worked for three years in corporate planning at Saudi Aramco as an analyst. Between 2012-2016, Hamid was a negotiator for the Saudi climate change team at different United Nations bodies, covering various topics under the Paris Agreement, such as adaptation, transportation, etc. He negotiatied on behalf of the Kingdom at the UNFCCC, Montreal protocol, UNEP, IPCC, ICAO, among others.

 

Publications

See all Hamid M.’s publications
  • Discussion paper
  • Methodology paper
  • Instant Insights
  • Commentary
Is the Shale Oil Rush Over?

Is the Shale Oil Rush Over?

The California Gold Rush was a time of exuberance and technological development in the mining sector and exhibits significant parallels with shale development that are worth exploring. The easy wins of the pioneers gave way to larger organizations with better funding and technology, squeezing out smaller players as shale development became a contest of efficiency and diminishing returns.

20th November 2023
A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

The KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) has been designed to provide readers with a timely source of data, forecasts and analysis of world oil markets, including an understanding of the key factors affecting world oil prices. This paper gives a detailed description of the scope of KOMO, including the models and methodology used in the analysis.

20th October 2019
How Long Will the Semiconductor Crisis Affect the Traditional Automotive Sector? Implications for car fuel demand

How Long Will the Semiconductor Crisis Affect the Traditional Automotive Sector? Implications for car fuel demand

The 2020 semiconductor crisis has hit the automotive sector, as well as many other sectors. As a consequence of the COVID-19-induced shock, a worldwide semiconductor supply-demand imbalance arose between 2020 and 2022. Demand grew by around 17% annually while manufacturing capacity grew by only 6% annually (Figure 1). However, this supply-demand gap was not uniform across all semiconductor applications. For instance, during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic (i.e., the first half of 2020), car demand plummeted by as much as 80% in Europe, 70% in China, and over 50% in the United States (U.S.).

13th October 2022
Assessment of Coronavirus Effects on Oil Demand Implied by Price Elasticities

Assessment of Coronavirus Effects on Oil Demand Implied by Price Elasticities

There appears to be a significant response in the crude oil markets to the coronavirus outbreak that originated in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and has since spread globally. Many cities in Hubei, of which Wuhan is the capital, have been quarantined, with many airlines suspending flights to mainland China.

20th February 2020
KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook – Update

KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook – Update

China reported an outbreak of a SARS-like viral infection on December 31, 2019. The disease, officially named COVID-19, was first detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China and continues to spread globally. Initial symptoms are similar to the common cold, but in severe cases it can cause pneumonia and even organ failure. The Chinese government has taken a number of steps to try to contain the virus, including extending the annual Lunar New Year holiday, restricting travel, and suspending some business activities. All of these measures will have some effect on the country’s energy consumption. Given the growing concerns over COVID-19 and its impact on oil demand, KOMO has been updated and KAPSARC is examining a range of possible outcomes. 

18th February 2020
Implications of IMO 2020: The Potential for High Sulfur Fuel Oil Penetration in Saudi Arabia

Implications of IMO 2020: The Potential for High Sulfur Fuel Oil Penetration in Saudi Arabia

January 1, 2020 marks the enforcement of the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) rule on limiting sulfur emissions from ships (IMO 2020). The rule mandates ships to reduce the sulfur content in their fuels to 0.5% from the current 3.5%. This suggests that ship owners and operators need to replace about 3 million barrels per day (MMb/d) of heavy fuel oil (HFO) with high sulfur content – known as high sulfur fuel oil (HSFO).

12th December 2019
Investment Challenges Affecting the Oil and Gas Industry

Investment Challenges Affecting the Oil and Gas Industry

The unprecedented crisis generated by the COVID-19 pandemic has affected the investment in the oil and gas sector, which was already suffering from low investment levels, among other reasons due to the climate change misconceptions. This report analyzes the main challenges negatively impacting investments in the sector, focusing on the four most important problems: price volatility, uncertainties due to significantly diverging long-term forecasts, increasing climate change concerns, and the lack of regulation on environmental and social, and governance.

22nd August 2022

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