• Primary Program Oil & Gas
  • Research Interests Oil Demand, Long- and Short-term Forecasting, Energy Modeling and Climate Change


Hamid leads KAPSARC’s Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) quarterly reports. He focuses on all aspects related to short- and long-term energy forecasting, covering a wide array of topics including demand, prices, inventories, etc. Prior to joining KAPSARC, he worked for three years in corporate planning at Saudi Aramco as an analyst. Between 2012-2016, Hamid was a negotiator for the Saudi climate change team at different United Nations bodies, covering various topics under the Paris Agreement, such as adaptation, transportation, etc. He negotiatied on behalf of the Kingdom at the UNFCCC, Montreal protocol, UNEP, IPCC, ICAO, among others.



See all Hamid M.’s publications
  • Methodology paper
  • Instant Insights
A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

The KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) has been designed to provide readers with a timely source of data, forecasts and analysis of world oil markets, including an understanding of the key factors affecting world oil prices. This paper gives a detailed description of the scope of KOMO, including the models and methodology used in the analysis.

20th October 2019
Assessment of Coronavirus Effects on Oil Demand Implied by Price Elasticities

Assessment of Coronavirus Effects on Oil Demand Implied by Price Elasticities

There appears to be a significant response in the crude oil markets to the coronavirus outbreak that originated in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and has since spread globally. Many cities in Hubei, of which Wuhan is the capital, have been quarantined, with many airlines suspending flights to mainland China.

20th February 2020
KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook – Update

KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook – Update

China reported an outbreak of a SARS-like viral infection on December 31, 2019. The disease, officially named COVID-19, was first detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China and continues to spread globally. Initial symptoms are similar to the common cold, but in severe cases it can cause pneumonia and even organ failure. The Chinese government has taken a number of steps to try to contain the virus, including extending the annual Lunar New Year holiday, restricting travel, and suspending some business activities. All of these measures will have some effect on the country’s energy consumption. Given the growing concerns over COVID-19 and its impact on oil demand, KOMO has been updated and KAPSARC is examining a range of possible outcomes. 

18th February 2020
Implications of IMO 2020: The Potential for High Sulfur Fuel Oil Penetration in Saudi Arabia

Implications of IMO 2020: The Potential for High Sulfur Fuel Oil Penetration in Saudi Arabia

January 1, 2020 marks the enforcement of the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) rule on limiting sulfur emissions from ships (IMO 2020). The rule mandates ships to reduce the sulfur content in their fuels to 0.5% from the current 3.5%. This suggests that ship owners and operators need to replace about 3 million barrels per day (MMb/d) of heavy fuel oil (HFO) with high sulfur content – known as high sulfur fuel oil (HSFO).

12th December 2019

Related workshops

See all workshops
30 Jun

Oil Market Forecasting & Outlook

Co-hosted With Paris Energy Club The objective of this workshop is to gather a wide array of people working on oil outlooks from different organizations, including agencies, traders, energy companies, and other related industries to discuss methodologies, models, and assumptions used to create the outlooks. Following this topic, it is also proposed to discuss short […]

19 Oct

Saudi Arabia Energy Balance Energy Data…

As a response to recommendations from the “Energy open data ecosystem, policy scenario models & tools” workshop series organised by KAPSARC since 2018, IEF and KAPSARC have jointly examined KAPSARC data and modeling resources to improve energy balance compilation with Saudi Arabia as a case study. The project successfully identified key opportunities and challenges in […]

Stay informed

I'm interested in

Select the updates you'd like to receive from us


A bit about you