• Primary Program Policy and Decision Science
  • Research Interests Economic sanctions, energy politics, foreign policy, and research design


Dr. Hatipoglu has been a visiting researcher at KAPSARC since July 2018. He is associate professor at the Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, Sabancı University, Istanbul, where he was the coordinator of the International Studies (B.A.), Conflict Analysis and Resolution (M.A.) and European Studies (M.A.) programs between 2013-2017. Also, he was a Visiting Fulbright Scholar at Columbia University, Sakip Sabanci Center for Turkish Studies during the 2017-2018 academic year. Dr. Hatipoglu’s research has been published in the Foreign Policy Analysis, International Studies Perspectives, and Defence and Peace Economics journals, among others. He has been invited for numerous talks in the U.S. and Europe and he is the co-host of the Energy Interdependence Dataset Project.


See all Emre’s publications
  • Book/book chapter
  • Instant Insight
  • External journal articles
Turkey and the EU: Energy, Transport and Competition Policies

Turkey and the EU: Energy, Transport and Competition Policies

This book is the product of a research project on Turkey-EU relations launched at the time when Turkey’s accession talks were coming to a standstill. The purpose of this project, carried out by a team of faculty members from Central European University (Budapest) and Sabancı University (Istanbul), was to change the hackneyed research agenda of EU-Turkey relations and move the debate away from repeated iterations of perceptions of Turkey’s identity, its Europeanness, and its ability to adapt to EU norms. Instead, the project focused on strategic aspects of Euro-Turkish relations with a view to assessing how Turkey’s regional policy and its role in the neighbourhood might be reconciled with those of the EU even when its membership prospects remained bleak. Specifically, these studies aimed to (i) examine the extent to which Turkey’s policies have the potential to converge with those of the EU’s neighbourhood policies; (ii) provide a better understanding of how Turkey’s regional priorities might serve to strengthen or detract from its EU membership goals; and (iii) reassess Turkey’s potential to complement and reinforce EU policies and practices in its neighborhood. To these ends, the project produced 15 papers focusing on four specific policy areas and means of regional cooperation. Six of the papers are featured here in this volume. Authors: Ahmet O. Evin, Emre Hatipoglu & Peter Balazs http://ipc.sabanciuniv.edu/publication/turkey-and-the-eu-energy-transport-and-competition-policies

May 1, 2016
Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

United States (U.S.) Iran energy sanction waivers expired May 2, 2019. The waivers permitted eight economies (China, Greece, India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Turkey) to temporarily continue buying oil from Iran. Based on KAPSARC modeling of the political decision-making process, this Instant Insight – the first such KAPSARC publication – finds that the international community, and indeed some of the waiver economies, will at best partially comply with reinstated sanctions. China, India and Turkey are particularly unlikely to comply with U.S. sanctions and will maintain much of their current oil trade with Iran, the modeling shows. The paper also simulates the likely impact on the global oil price of ending the waivers in four scenarios which show: i) no oil price rise if the sanctions don’t work at all, ii) an oil price rise of up to 12% by Q2 2020 if Iranian oil exports drop by an average 42%, iii) a 30%-plus price increase if the sanctions are 100% effective, and iv) no significant price change if Saudi Arabia offsets reduced Iranian crude oil exports by increasing its output and exports. The analysis in the paper is based on two in-house models: the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB) and the KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM).

May 9, 2019

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