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      KEMGEv2: A General Equilibrium Model for Least-Cost Net Zero Emission Pathways in Saudi Arabia
      Productivity and Economic Diversification

      KEMGEv2: A General Equilibrium Model for Least-Cost Net Zero Emission Pathways in Saudi Arabia

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve

      This paper describes a novel, dynamic, forward-looking applied general equilibrium model of Saudi Arabia that represents interactions between the energy sectors and the rest of the economy. This model serves to produce long-term scenarios that describe possible energy transition trajectories…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      01 July 2024
      Net Zero Emissions in Saudi Arabia by 2060: Least-Cost Pathways, Influence of International Oil Price, and Economic Consequences
      Models, Data and Tools

      Net Zero Emissions in Saudi Arabia by 2060: Least-Cost Pathways, Influence of International Oil Price, and Economic Consequences

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve

      This paper presents possible net zero emissions (NZE) trajectories for Saudi Arabia at horizon 2060 and analyzes their possible economic consequences. We use an in-house hybrid forward-looking general equilibrium model of the Saudi economy. We construct a baseline scenario where…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      30 November 2023
      Fiscal Policy in Oil and Gas-Exporting Economies: Good Times, Bad Times and Ugly Times

      Fiscal Policy in Oil and Gas-Exporting Economies: Good Times, Bad Times and Ugly Times

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Fatih Karanfil

      Revenues from oil and gas exports represent an important source of government budgets in some emerging countries. At the same time, these revenues fluctuate considerably due to changing global economic conditions and energy prices. Economic theory prescribes that governments should…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      04 July 2023
      Modeling World Oil Market Questions: An Economic Perspective

      Modeling World Oil Market Questions: An Economic Perspective

      Science Direct

      The choice of a modeling approach is driven by the oil policy or market question that needs to be addressed. We provide the non-modeling community with insightful information on oil market models, shedding light on the economic interpretation of technical…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Axel Pierru

      2021
      Fiscal Policy for Stability in Oil-Exporting Countries: From the Old Problems to the Challenges of COVID-19
      Energy and Economic Vulnerability

      Fiscal Policy for Stability in Oil-Exporting Countries: From the Old Problems to the Challenges of COVID-19

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Fatih Karanfil

      Since the Great Recession of 2008, oil-exporting countries have had to adjust their fiscal policies to respond to larger oil price variations and increased unpredictability. This commentary provides insights into the relationship between oil prices and fiscal policies in emerging…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      25 April 2021
      Impact of Methane and Black Carbon Mitigation on Forcing and Temperature: A Multi-model Scenario Analysis

      Impact of Methane and Black Carbon Mitigation on Forcing and Temperature: A Multi-model Scenario Analysis

      Springer

      he relatively short atmospheric lifetimes of methane (CH4) and black carbon (BC) have focused attention on the potential for reducing anthropogenic climate change by reducing Short-Lived Climate Forcer (SLCF) emissions. This paper examines radiative forcing and global mean temperature results…

      Steven J. Smith, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Mathijs Harmsen, Jérôme Hilaire, Kimon Keramidas, Zbigniew Klimont, Gunnar Luderer, Maria Cecilia P. Moura, Keywan Riahi, Fuminori Sano, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Laurent Drouet, Kalyn Dorheim, Kenichi Wada, Joeri Rogelj

      2020
      Integrated Nexus Policies for Sustainable and Resilient Energy, Water, and Food Systems

      Integrated Nexus Policies for Sustainable and Resilient Energy, Water, and Food Systems

      T20

      Population growth, climate change, and resource depletion put food and water security and energy supply at risk. Sustainable and resilient water, food, and energy systems are crucial to meet Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and increase resilience to global health crises…

      Jeffrey Logan, Toufic Mezher, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Layla Saleh, Pramod Kumar Anand, Jill Engel-Cox, Jordan Cox, Krishna Kumar, Tsisilile Igogo

      2020
      Sectoral and Economy-Wide Effects of Domestic Energy Price Reforms in Saudi Arabia
      Models, Data and Tools

      Sectoral and Economy-Wide Effects of Domestic Energy Price Reforms in Saudi Arabia

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Hossa Almutairi, Abdullah AlJarboua, Frederic Murphy, Shreekar Pradhan, Axel Pierru

      This paper simulates the sectoral and economy-wide consequences of deregulating energy prices in Saudi Arabia. Our analysis is based on KAPSARC’s general equilibrium energy model (KEMGE), a new hybrid computable general equilibrium model (CGE). The model examines the effects of…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      Hossa Almutairi Almutairi, Hossa
      Abdullah AlJarboua AlJarboua, Abdullah
      Frederic Murphy Murphy, Frederic
      Shreekar Pradhan Pradhan, Shreekar
      Axel Pierru Pierru, Axel
      19 August 2020
      Can Better Technologies Avoid All Air Pollution Damages to the Global Economy?

      Can Better Technologies Avoid All Air Pollution Damages to the Global Economy?

      Springer

      This paper assesses the potential role of the implementation of the best available technologies to reduce the economic consequences of outdoor air pollution in the coming decades. The paper focuses on market impacts related with additional health expenditures, changes in…

      François Chantret, Jean Chateau, Rob Dellink, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Elisa Lanzi

      2020
      Taking Some Heat Off the NDCs? The Limited Potential of Additional Short-lived Climate Forcers’ Mitigation

      Taking Some Heat Off the NDCs? The Limited Potential of Additional Short-lived Climate Forcers’ Mitigation

      Springer

      Several studies have shown that the greenhouse gas reduction resulting from the current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) will not be enough to meet the overall targets of the Paris Climate Agreement. It has been suggested that more ambition mitigations of…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Mathijs Harmsen, Oliver Fricko, Jérôme Hilaire, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Laurent Drouet, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kimon Keramidas, Zbigniew Klimont, Gunnar Luderer, Lara Aleluia Reis, Keywan Riahi, Fuminori Sano, Steven J. Smith

      2019
      The Role of Methane in Future Climate Strategies: Mitigation Potentials and Climate Impacts

      The Role of Methane in Future Climate Strategies: Mitigation Potentials and Climate Impacts

      Springer

      This study examines model-specific assumptions and projections of methane (CH4) emissions in deep mitigation scenarios generated by integrated assessment models (IAMs). For this, scenarios of nine models are compared in terms of sectoral and regional CH4 emission reduction strategies, as…

      Mathijs Harmsen, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, Jérôme Hilaire, Kimon Keramidas, Gunnar Luderer, Fuminori Sano, Steven J. Smith, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Maria Cecilia P. Moura

      2019
      The Drivers of Regional Growth in Russia: A Baseline Model with Applications

      The Drivers of Regional Growth in Russia: A Baseline Model with Applications

      OECD ilibrary

      Russia is a federation of more than 80 regions spanning across a huge territory. Natural resource endowment, inherited industrial specialization, remoteness and climate conditions contribute to large regional disparities. This paper presents an empirical framework model for assessing determinants of…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Hansjörg Blöchliger

      2018