Publications

The responsiveness of fuel demand to gasoline price change in passenger transport: a case study of Saudi Arabia

Energy Efficiency

Empirical estimates of fuel demand changes to price variation are based on historical consumption and prices, and can be applied as a single point estimate to a wide range of price movements. However, if fuel prices are set outside the…

Ibrahim M. Algunaibet, Walid Matar

Gasoline savings from clean vehicle adoption

Energy Policy

Conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating the costs of securing associated environmental benefits. Using a large-scale nationally representative sample of U.S. new car buyers, we propose a choice model-based counterfactual approach…

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

Households’ response to changes in electricity pricing schemes: Bridging microeconomic and engineering principles

Energy Economics

This paper presents a computational take on households’ response to price changes. Many studies use assumptions (i.e., price elasticities) that were estimated using historical information; however, if a price change has not been experienced in the past, the response may…

Walid Matar

Estimating the learning curve of solar PV balance–of–system for over 20 countries: Implications and policy recommendations

Journal of Cleaner Production

Solar photovoltaic systems installed on homes and commercial building rooftops are deemed central for a low-carbon future. As capital costs of photovoltaics continue to fall, its role towards making buildings more sustainable and environmentally-friendly will continue to grow. Capital costs…

Amro Elshurafa, Shahad Albardi, Simona Bigerna, Carlo Andrea Bollino

The impact of economic growth on CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan

Journal of Cleaner Production

This paper investigates the relationship between the economic growth and CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan. A cointegration analysis is conducted over the period 1992–2013. For getting more robust results, Johansen, ARDLBT, DOLS, FMOLS and CCR methods are employed to explore cointegration…

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Marzio Galeotti, Fakhri Hasanov

Economic policy instruments and market uncertainty: Exploring the impact on renewables adoption

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

The success of any renewable policy can be measured through three parameters: total cost, aggregate installed capacity of renewable technology deployed over the lifetime of the policy and speed at which renewables are adopted. Using these three parameters, this study…

Nora Nezamuddin, Tamim Zamrik, Jorge Blazquez

Electricity transmission formulations in multi-sector national planning models: An illustration using the KAPSARC energy model

Energy Reports

The purpose of this study is to assess the policy-relevant effects of incorporating a more proper representation of electricity transmission in multi-sector national policy models. This goal is achieved by employing the KAPSARC Energy Model (KEM), which is the first…

Walid Matar, Amro Elshurafa

The Future of Transportation Energy Demand for Freight in Fast-Growing Economies

Over the last decade, India and China have become leading consumers of energy, especially oil, with freight transportation accounting for a large portion. The growth in total transport energy use is directly correlated with the fast-paced urbanization and industrialization of…

Decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP: A time-varying cointegration approach

Ecological Indicators

The relationship between CO2 emissions, the main gas responsible for global warming, and economic growth is among the most studied themes of environmental economics. Reducing overall emissions while keeping a high pace of economic development is at the heart of…

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fakhri Hasanov, Marzio Galeotti

Vehicle Retirement and Replacement Policy: Assessing Impact and Cost-Effectiveness

Rubal Dua

Governments across the world, motivated by air quality improvement or by climate change mitigation goals, are trying to accelerate the turnover of older, higher-emitting vehicles and replace these with lower emission vehicles. One approach is to encourage consumers to scrap…

Dua, Rubal

The Economic Impact of Price Controls on China’s Natural Gas Supply Chain

Bertrand Rioux, Philipp Galkin, Frederic Murphy, Axel Pierru, Kang Wu

Despite significant progress made by China in liberalizing its natural gas market, certain key areas such as market access and pricing mechanisms remain heavily monopolized or controlled by the government. To assess how such distortions impact the market, we developed…

Rioux, Bertrand

Galkin, Philipp

Murphy, Frederic

Pierru, Axel

Wu, Kang

Identifying the Roadblocks for Energy Access: A Case Study for Eastern Africa’s Gas

Rami Shabaneh, Anne-Sophie Corbeau, Fernando Tomas Nhantumbo

Natural gas resources in Tanzania and Mozambique have emerged as a new source of gas supply. While they are poised for export to global gas markets, they can also provide a key source of energy to the rest of Eastern…

Shabaneh, Rami

Corbeau, Anne-Sophie

Nhantumbo, Fernando Tomas

Measuring the Cost-Effectiveness of Clean Vehicle Subsidies

Rubal Dua

Demand-side policies, including rebates, sales tax exemptions, and tax credits promote clean vehicle adoption, with the goal of reducing local air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Limited research to date on their cost-effectiveness and efficiency suggests such subsidies are…

Dua, Rubal

Understanding the Energy Transition

The world of energy is always undergoing transition, but the nature of the current phase of the transition is subject to a wide spectrum of interpretations that are often colored by bias and aspirations for a particular future end-point. In…

Decarbonizing Oil: The Role of CO2-Enhanced Oil Recovery (CO2‐EOR)

The International Energy Agency (IEA) and KAPSARC co-hosted an expert workshop on the potential of advanced carbon dioxide (CO2 ) enhanced oil recovery (CO2 -EOR) to decarbonize oil production. The workshop focused on the potential for using CO2 -EOR for…

Energy demand elasticities and weather worldwide

Economia Politica

The purpose of this paper is to empirically estimate a model of aggregate residential and commercial energy demand elasticities, taking into account capital stock and climatic effects. We model a theoretically founded non-linear energy demand system, the generalized almost ideal,…

Tarek Atalla, Simona Bigerna, Carlo Andrea Bollino

The Future of Energy Demand for Freight Transportation: The Impact of China and India

China and India’s movement of freight have in recent decades produced a significant increase in energy demand. Economic shifts and population growth in these two countries have played a major role in driving this development. The right data and a…

The Value of Saving Oil in Saudi Arabia

Jorge Blazquez, Baltasar Manzano, Axel Pierru

What is the value of saving a barrel of oil that would otherwise had been consumed domestically? This study explores the question, taking a long-run perspective into a general equilibrium approach. In the case of Saudi Arabia, the difference between…

Blazquez, Jorge

Manzano, Baltasar

Pierru, Axel

Economic Cycles and the Responsiveness of Natural Gas Demand in China’s Residential Sector

Noha A. Razek

An important question for global gas markets is the extent to which China’s demand for natural gas will grow, particularly in light of the perceived overbuild of liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply capacity. China’s current 13th Five-Year Plan endorses the…

A. Razek, Noha

KAPSARC Quarterly: Issue 6