Publications

Oil price: Endless ability to surprise

Nature Energy

[No abstract available]

Baltasar Manzano

Analyzing coalitions in China’s policy formulation: Reforming the role of state-owned enterprises in China’s energy sector

Journal of East Asian Studies

We focus on the elite decision-making process in China, analyzing the formation of coalitions around particular policy options. We apply a framework that simulates collective decision-making processes (CDMP): the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB). KTAB facilitates the application of…

Brian Efird, Leo Lester

A framework for understanding energy for water

International Journal of Water Resources Development

This article offers a framework for understanding how energy is used to meet water demand in countries. Specifically, the relationships between energy use and water scarcity, the location of renewable water resources, and aggregate water demand are explored. The article…

Christopher Napoli, Berenice Garcia Tellez

Assessing the impact of political disruptions on crude oil trade

Kenneth White, Brian Efird, Sadeem Alhosain

Provides an empirical evaluation of energy trade flows, focusing on crude oil trade among the top 20 crude oil exporters and top 20 crude oil importers. We assess the potential impact of cross-national political disruptions (bilateral and regional) on energy…

White, Kenneth

Efird, Brian

Alhosain, Sadeem

Energy Relations and Policy Making in Asia: Conclusion

Leo Lester

One Belt One Road. It has been the Chinese government’s slogan of the last few years, and it may come to dominate the middle decades of the twenty-first century as the infrastructure and investment projects now being touted are realised,…

Lester, Leo

Energy Relations and Policy Making in Asia

Leo Lester

This volume goes beyond a conventional analysis of Asia’s energy relationships and explores the premise that energy relations in Asia in the 21st century should reinforce mutual interdependence. Conventional analyses of international energy relations stress the asymmetric nature of the…

Lester, Leo

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

Nature Climate Change

To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from…

Wolfgang Heidug

GCC-NEA oil trade: Competition in asian oil markets and the Russian ‘Pivot’ east

Nader AlKathiri, Tilak Doshi, Ziyad Alfawzan, Sammy Six, Vitaly Yermakov, Shahad Alarenan, Yazeed Al Rashed

KAPSARC: The purpose of this paper is to assess Middle East crude oil exporter strategies to maintain or expand market share in Asian oil demand. It also analyses the impact of changing global crude oil flows on key oil exporters’…

AlKathiri, Nader

Doshi, Tilak

Alfawzan, Ziyad

Six, Sammy

Yermakov, Vitaly

Alarenan, Shahad

YA

Al Rashed, Yazeed

Natural Resource Revenue Management Strategies in Developing Countries: A Calibrated Macroeconomic Model for Uganda

Fakhri Hasanov, Fred Joutz, Baltasar Manzano

Recent natural resource discoveries in Eastern Africa provide an opportunity to boost economic development. However, this opportunity brings with it potential challenges in the form of ‘Dutch disease’ and, potentially, the ‘resource curse’. A companion paper to this report: Managing…

Hasanov, Fakhri

Joutz, Fred

Manzano, Baltasar

The Prospects for Coal-fired Power Generation in Saudi Arabia

Axel Pierru, Walid Matar

Almost all of Saudi Arabia’s electric power generation is fueled by oil and gas. Plans for future capacity envisage nuclear and renewables supplementing this mix and freeing up oil for other revenue-generating opportunities. Coal-fired generation has been promoted in some…

Pierru, Axel

Matar, Walid

Multidimensional Bargaining Using KTAB

Brian Efird, Imtenan Al-Mubarak, Lama Yaseen

This paper (Multidimensional KTAB) is a technical discussion paper designed as a follow on to An Introduction to the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis using one-dimensional spatial models (Unidimensional KTAB). It extends the original framework of KTAB to explain the…

Efird, Brian

Al-Mubarak, Imtenan

Yaseen, Lama

Comparing Renewables Support Policies: Quantifying the Trade-Offs

Jorge Blazquez, Nora Nezamuddin

Policies to support wind energy development are most effective when they deliver power at the lowest cost per unit of added capacity and per unit of delivered electricity. Our analysis uses real Spanish onshore wind project data to identify which…

Blazquez, Jorge

Nezamuddin, Nora

Quantifying the impact of coal on global economic growth and energy productivity in the early 21st century

Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment

Two intriguing circumstances have characterized the behavior of energy markets in the first years of 21st Century: a sharp increase in oil prices without a clear impact on real economic activity and a relative stagnation of energy productivity after 30…

Tarek Atalla, Jorge Blazquez

Measurement of energy efficiency based on economic foundations

Energy Economics

Energy efficiency policy is seen as a very important activity by almost all policy makers. In practical energy policy analysis, the typical indicator used as a proxy for energy efficiency is energy intensity. However, this simple indicator is not necessarily…

Lester C. Hunt

The embodied energy in trade: What role does specialization play?

Energy Policy

Many industrialized countries are net importers of embodied energy and emissions, while many developing countries are net exporters. We examine the role of specialization in driving these trade patterns by conducting a spatial index decomposition analysis on the embodied energy…

Anwar Gasim

The Economics of Energy Vulnerability

The economic vulnerability of an economy to energy disruptions is traditionally viewed through the lens of price shocks. This ‘energy vulnerability’ is driven by the energy mix, the infrastructure and the supply chain resilience that an economy enjoys.

Environmental externality of coal use in China: Welfare effect and tax regulation

Applied Energy

This study employs a multi-regional input-output model at the provincial level to evaluate the environmental costs of coal burning in China in 2007, in terms of its damages from climate change externality. According to the results, the contributions of central-west…

Chen Zhan-Ming, Liu Yu-Lin, Leo Lester

Economic Impacts of Debottlenecking Congestion in the Chinese Coal Supply Chain

Philipp Galkin, Frederic Murphy, Axel Pierru, Bertrand Rioux

China’s coal industry grew at unprecedented rates during the first decade of the 2000s in order to support equally unprecedented economic growth. In that type of environment, it is impossible for the capacities of every link in the supply chain…

Galkin, Philipp

Murphy, Frederic

Pierru, Axel

Rioux, Bertrand

Beyond the ‘Green Economy’: China’s Path to Sustainability

While developed economies plan their transition from a ‘brown economy’ to a ‘green economy’, China is embarking on its journey directly to the ‘golden economy’—a future in which energy, water and land use are harmonized with social and economic needs,…

Macroeconomic Challenges for Eastern Africa

Fakhri Hasanov, Fred Joutz, Baltasar Manzano

Recent natural resource discoveries in Eastern Africa provide an enormous opportunity to boost economic development. However, success is not inevitable and the causes of failure have been extensively researched during recent years. This paper summarizes the challenges that can beset…

Hasanov, Fakhri

Joutz, Fred

Manzano, Baltasar