Publications

How Will Natural Gas Adapt to the New Price Environment?

During the period 2011-14, buyers – particularly in Europe and Asia – argued that high natural gas prices had been the main obstacle preventing the fuel from fulfilling its promise and increasing its share in the primary energy mix. Key…

LNG Markets in Transition: The Great Reconfiguration

Anne-Sophie Corbeau

Corbeau, Anne-Sophie

Do population age groups matter in the energy use of the oil-exporting countries?

Economic Modelling

This study examines the impacts of the population age groups of 20-34, 35-49, 50-64 and 65-79 on the per capita energy use of the oil-exporting countries of Commonwealth Independent States: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia employing the modified-STIRPAT framework. Considering that…

Fakhri Hasanov

KAPSARC Quarterly: Issue 1

Step by Step: The Reform of China’s Energy Economy

China has become a regional powerhouse, a middle-income country and home to the world’s largest middle class. Its GDP has grown from $400 billion in 1971 to more than $13 trillion in 2012 (purchasing power parity, 2005 US$). The government…

Substitutes for Liquid Fuels – Outlook in a Low Oil Price Environment

The case for alternatives to gasoline and diesel was historically built on economic concerns; that the world might be running out of oil, which would then become prohibitively expensive. More recently, the argument has been refocused around carbon abatement and…

Energy for Water in Agriculture: A Partial Factor Productivity Analysis

Christopher Napoli, Berenice Garcia Tellez

Water, energy and food are inextricably linked and, consequently, inefficient use of any of the three resources can have a negative effect on the other two. Managing this nexus requires a holistic approach. We compare the productivity of extracted water…

Napoli, Christopher

Garcia Tellez, Berenice

Policy Options for Reducing Water for Agriculture in Saudi Arabia

Christopher Napoli, David Wogan, Lama Yaseen

Saudi Arabia relies almost exclusively on aquifers and desalination to provide its water. Roughly 87 percent of these water extractions are used for agriculture, and so any policy to improve the sustainability of water resources cannot ignore this agriculture dimension.

Napoli, Christopher

Wogan, David

Yaseen, Lama

Group Choice with Interdependent Sublinear Voting

Many important decisions of policy are made in a collective manner, so a great deal of formal and informal analysis has been devoted to collective decision-making processes (CDMPs). One common approach to analyzing CDMPs is first to model the participants…

Oil price: Endless ability to surprise

Nature Energy

[No abstract available]

Baltasar Manzano

Analyzing coalitions in China’s policy formulation: Reforming the role of state-owned enterprises in China’s energy sector

Journal of East Asian Studies

We focus on the elite decision-making process in China, analyzing the formation of coalitions around particular policy options. We apply a framework that simulates collective decision-making processes (CDMP): the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB). KTAB facilitates the application of…

Brian Efird, Leo Lester

A framework for understanding energy for water

International Journal of Water Resources Development

This article offers a framework for understanding how energy is used to meet water demand in countries. Specifically, the relationships between energy use and water scarcity, the location of renewable water resources, and aggregate water demand are explored. The article…

Christopher Napoli, Berenice Garcia Tellez

Assessing the impact of political disruptions on crude oil trade

Kenneth White, Brian Efird, Sadeem Alhosain

Provides an empirical evaluation of energy trade flows, focusing on crude oil trade among the top 20 crude oil exporters and top 20 crude oil importers. We assess the potential impact of cross-national political disruptions (bilateral and regional) on energy…

White, Kenneth

Efird, Brian

Alhosain, Sadeem

Energy Relations and Policy Making in Asia: Conclusion

Leo Lester

One Belt One Road. It has been the Chinese government’s slogan of the last few years, and it may come to dominate the middle decades of the twenty-first century as the infrastructure and investment projects now being touted are realised,…

Lester, Leo

Energy Relations and Policy Making in Asia

Leo Lester

This volume goes beyond a conventional analysis of Asia’s energy relationships and explores the premise that energy relations in Asia in the 21st century should reinforce mutual interdependence. Conventional analyses of international energy relations stress the asymmetric nature of the…

Lester, Leo

Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

Nature Climate Change

To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from…

Wolfgang Heidug

GCC-NEA oil trade: Competition in asian oil markets and the Russian ‘Pivot’ east

Nader AlKathiri, Tilak Doshi, Ziyad Alfawzan, Sammy Six, Vitaly Yermakov, Shahad Alarenan, Yazeed Al Rashed

KAPSARC: The purpose of this paper is to assess Middle East crude oil exporter strategies to maintain or expand market share in Asian oil demand. It also analyses the impact of changing global crude oil flows on key oil exporters’…

AlKathiri, Nader

Doshi, Tilak

Alfawzan, Ziyad

Six, Sammy

Yermakov, Vitaly

Alarenan, Shahad

YA

Al Rashed, Yazeed

Natural Resource Revenue Management Strategies in Developing Countries: A Calibrated Macroeconomic Model for Uganda

Fakhri Hasanov, Fred Joutz, Baltasar Manzano

Recent natural resource discoveries in Eastern Africa provide an opportunity to boost economic development. However, this opportunity brings with it potential challenges in the form of ‘Dutch disease’ and, potentially, the ‘resource curse’. A companion paper to this report: Managing…

Hasanov, Fakhri

Joutz, Fred

Manzano, Baltasar

The Prospects for Coal-fired Power Generation in Saudi Arabia

Axel Pierru, Walid Matar

Almost all of Saudi Arabia’s electric power generation is fueled by oil and gas. Plans for future capacity envisage nuclear and renewables supplementing this mix and freeing up oil for other revenue-generating opportunities. Coal-fired generation has been promoted in some…

Pierru, Axel

Matar, Walid

Multidimensional Bargaining Using KTAB

Brian Efird, Imtenan Al-Mubarak, Lama Yaseen

This paper (Multidimensional KTAB) is a technical discussion paper designed as a follow on to An Introduction to the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis using one-dimensional spatial models (Unidimensional KTAB). It extends the original framework of KTAB to explain the…

Efird, Brian

Al-Mubarak, Imtenan

Yaseen, Lama