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      Assessing the Impact of Electric Vehicle Penetration on Electricity Demand in Riyadh
      Models, Data and Tools

      Assessing the Impact of Electric Vehicle Penetration on Electricity Demand in Riyadh

      Jeyhun Mikayilov, Marie Petitet, Rubal Dua

      This paper aims to assess and estimate the impact of electric vehicle (EV) penetration on annual electricity demand, specifically in Riyadh, the capital city of Saudi Arabia. Such an assessment can yield significant insights for stakeholders, including policymakers, energy planners,…

      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Marie Petitet Marie Petitet
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      22 January 2024
      Estimating Car Price Elasticity Using an Inverse Product Differentiation Logit Model
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Estimating Car Price Elasticity Using an Inverse Product Differentiation Logit Model

      Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal, Jinghai Huo

      Since the seminal work of Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995), random coefficient logit (RCL) has become the workhorse model for estimating demand elasticities in markets with differentiated products using aggregated sales data. While the ability to represent flexible substitution patterns…

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      Jinghai Huo Jinghai Huo
      26 December 2023
      Worldwide intraregional and interregional air passenger traffic volume distribution
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Worldwide intraregional and interregional air passenger traffic volume distribution

      Andres Felipe Guzman, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Rubal Dua

      Aviation, like other transport modes, is essential for the economy; it facilitates business and trade, allows people to connect with different regions/cities, and generate tourism. Air traffic at the country or regional level is quite interesting by analyzing and comparing…

      Andres Felipe Guzman Andres Felipe Guzman
      Abdulrahman Alwosheel Alwosheel, Abdulrahman
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      23 November 2023
      Worldwide Intraregional and Interregional Air Freight Traffic Volume Distribution
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Worldwide Intraregional and Interregional Air Freight Traffic Volume Distribution

      Andres Felipe Guzman, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Rubal Dua

      Freight by air does not comprise a significant share of the worldwide tonnage due to its cost compared to land (road and rail) and sea transport. However, air freight is important for commodities that either have high values or are…

      Andres Felipe Guzman Andres Felipe Guzman
      Abdulrahman Alwosheel Alwosheel, Abdulrahman
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      26 October 2023
      Future Fuel Demand From the Saudi Shipping Sector: A Business-as-Usual Estimation
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Future Fuel Demand From the Saudi Shipping Sector: A Business-as-Usual Estimation

      Ahm Mehbub Anwar, Rubal Dua, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Nora Nezamuddin

      The purpose of this commentary is to suggest a rough estimation of future exports and corresponding fuel consumption of the Saudi shipping sector up to 2040. For estimation purposes, we use two assumptions: A global average energy intensity of 0.078…

      Ahm Mehbub Anwar Anwar, Ahm Mehbub
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Abdulrahman Alwosheel Alwosheel, Abdulrahman
      Nora Nezamuddin Nezamuddin, Nora
      21 August 2023
      Estimating Regional Variation in Saudi Arabia’s Energy Usage and Carbon Emissions
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Estimating Regional Variation in Saudi Arabia’s Energy Usage and Carbon Emissions

      Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Rubal Dua

      Estimates of regional energy consumption and carbon emissions could be useful for agencies investigating the effects of regionally targeted investments and policy interventions. Using gasoline consumption in Saudi Arabia as a case study, we develop two approaches for estimating the…

      Abdulrahman Alwosheel Alwosheel, Abdulrahman
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      18 July 2023
      The Dynamic Role of Subsidies in Promoting Global Electric Vehicle Sales
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      The Dynamic Role of Subsidies in Promoting Global Electric Vehicle Sales

      Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

      We offer the most comprehensive analysis to date of global plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) subsidies. We accomplish this by estimating vehicle choice models for 23 countries using 2010–2019 sales data and using counterfactual simulations to assess the cost-effectiveness of PEV…

      Tamara Sheldon Sheldon, Tamara
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      6 June 2023
      Choosing to Diet: The Impact and Cost-effectiveness of China’s Vehicle Ownership Restrictions
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Choosing to Diet: The Impact and Cost-effectiveness of China’s Vehicle Ownership Restrictions

      Anthony Liu, Rubal Dua, Wei-min Hu, Arthur Lin Ku

      Can voluntary carbon emission reduction pledges, such as the nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement, result in significant emission reductions? According to prominent experts such as Nordhaus (2015), Barrett (2005), and Weitzman (2019), free-riding is unavoidable in cooperative situations…

      Anthony Liu Anthony Liu
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Wei-min Hu Wei-min Hu
      Arthur Lin Ku Arthur Lin Ku
      14 May 2023
      How Responsive Are New Car Buyers in India and China to Factors Driving Fuel Consumption?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      How Responsive Are New Car Buyers in India and China to Factors Driving Fuel Consumption?

      Prateek Bansal, Rubal Dua

      China and India, the world’s two most populous developing economies, are also among the largest automotive markets and carbon emitters. To reduce carbon emissions from the passenger car sector, both countries have considered various policy levers that affect fuel price,…

      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      9 April 2023
      Can Circularity-Based Approaches Prevent a Cobalt Supply Shortfall?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Can Circularity-Based Approaches Prevent a Cobalt Supply Shortfall?

      Rubal Dua

      Electric vehicle batteries rely heavily on a small number of critical minerals, including cobalt. Cobalt metal prices have doubled over the past year as a result of a mismatch between supply and demand, particularly for electric car batteries (Hume 2022).

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      4 April 2023
      Is the Recent Price Spike in Electric Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Packs Temporary or the Start of a New Trend?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Is the Recent Price Spike in Electric Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Packs Temporary or the Start of a New Trend?

      Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal, Juliet Akamboe

      Most nations are evaluating vehicle electrification as a way to decarbonize their passenger car sectors. To make electric vehicles competitive with conventional vehicles for cost-conscious consumers, the upfront purchase price of electric vehicles needs to fall. The battery pack is…

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      Juliet Akamboe Juliet Akamboe
      5 March 2023
      Bans on the Sale of Gasoline- And Diesel-Powered Vehicles: Why Are Policymakers Favoring Commandand- Control to the Point of Banning, and Does It Send Unintended Policy Signals?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Bans on the Sale of Gasoline- And Diesel-Powered Vehicles: Why Are Policymakers Favoring Commandand- Control to the Point of Banning, and Does It Send Unintended Policy Signals?

      Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal

      In recent years, the adoption of command-and-control policies, from mandating sales of zero-tailpipe-emission vehicles all the way to prohibiting future sales of gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles via tailpipe carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions standards or otherwise, has gained momentum globally in…

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      15 February 2023
      How Long Will the Semiconductor Crisis Affect the Traditional Automotive Sector? Implications for car fuel demand
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      How Long Will the Semiconductor Crisis Affect the Traditional Automotive Sector? Implications for car fuel demand

      Rubal Dua, Hamid M. Al Sadoon, Majed A. Al Suwailem

      The 2020 semiconductor crisis has hit the automotive sector, as well as many other sectors. As a consequence of the COVID-19-induced shock, a worldwide semiconductor supply-demand imbalance arose between 2020 and 2022. Demand grew by around 17% annually while manufacturing…

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Hamid M. Al Sadoon Al Sadoon, Hamid M.
      Majed A. Al Suwailem Al Suwailem, Majed A.
      13 October 2022