Publications

The Impact of Recent Changes to China’s Plug-In Electric Vehicle Subsidy Design

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

Subsidies that promote plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) adoption have been a key component of China’s overall plan for reducing local air pollution and the greenhouse gas emissions from its light-duty vehicle sector. Since 2009, PEVs qualify for substantial rebates (up…

Sheldon, Tamara

Dua, Rubal

Estimating the Size and Efficiency of the Saudi Vehicle Fleet

Rubal Dua

Estimates of the size of Saudi Arabia’s vehicle fleet in 2015 vary from as high as 18 million (Arab News 2014) to as low as 6.6 million (OICA 2019). This significant variation stems from the fact that the Kingdom does…

Dua, Rubal

Effectiveness of China’s Plug-in Electric Vehicle Subsidy

Science Direct

Subsidies for promoting plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) adoption are a key component of China’s overall plan for reducing local air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions from the light-duty vehicle sector. In this paper, we explore the impact and cost-effectiveness of…

Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon

Understanding Latent Demand for Hybrid and Plug-in Electric Vehicles Using Large-scale Longitudinal Survey Data of US New Vehicle Buyers

Springer

Consumer adoption of fuel-efficient vehicles is a crucial step in improving energy efficiency of the light-duty vehicle sector. To promote adoption, policymakers have employed various demand- and supply-side policies including incentives, fuel economy standards, zero emission vehicle mandate, among others.…

Rubal Dua, Kenneth White

Eliciting preferences of TNC users and drivers: Evidence from the United States

Science Direct

Transportation Network Companies (TNCs) are changing the transportation ecosystem, but micro-decisions of travelers and TNC drivers need to be better understood to assess their system-level impacts. Using a unique sample (N = 11,902) of the U.S. population residing in TNC-served areas, we…

Prateek Bansal, Rubal Dua, Akanksha Sinha, Ricardo A.Dazianoa

Eliciting Preferences of Ride-Hailing Users and Drivers

Prateek Bansal, Akanksha Sinha, Rubal Dua, Ricardo Daziano

The ‘ride-hailing’ services offered by transportation network companies (TNCs) such as Uber and Lyft have rapidly disrupted personal transportation, particularly in cities. Schaller (2018) reports that TNCs provided 2.6 billion rides in 2017 in the United States (U.S.), a 37%…

Bansal, Prateek

Akanksha Sinha

Dua, Rubal

Ricardo Daziano

The Effectiveness of China’s Plug-In Electric Vehicle Subsidy

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

Subsidies for promoting plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) adoption are a key component of China’s overall plan for reducing local air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from its light-duty vehicle sector. This paper explores the impact and cost-effectiveness of the…

Sheldon, Tamara

Dua, Rubal

Understanding the Impact of Ride-Hailing Services on Travel Behavior

Prateek Bansal, Rubal Dua

Major transformations are taking place in the road transportation sector, particularly in passenger auto travel. The arrival of transportation network companies (TNCs), including Uber, Didi Chuxing, Ola, Lyft and others, has the potential to critically alter key aspects of passenger…

Bansal, Prateek

Dua, Rubal

Impact of India’s Recent Electric Vehicle Subsidy Announcement

Tamara Sheldon, Dimpy Suneja, Rubal Dua

The Indian government is urgently promoting electric vehicles (EVs) to help curb the country’s urban air pollution — the world’s worst, according to the World Health Organization. The steep increase in vehicle sales in recent years has brought deteriorating air…

Sheldon, Tamara

Suneja, Dimpy

Dua, Rubal

An overview of key evolutions in the light-duty vehicle sector and their impact on oil demand

Springer

The light-duty vehicle (LDV) sector is undergoing many changes, including technological advancements (e.g., vehicle electrification, automation), new business models (e.g., ride-hailing), and government regulations and policies (e.g., fuel economy (FE) standards, zero-emission vehicle mandates, infrastructure investments, and incentives to encourage…

Mohammed Albrahim, Ahmed Al Zahrani, Anvita Arora, Rubal Dua, Bassam Fattouh, Adam Sieminski

Understanding Potential for Battery Electric Vehicle Adoption Using Large-scale Consumer Profile Data

Science Direct

Ten U.S. states have set mandated sales targets for zero-emission vehicles that could result in significant reductions in fuel consumption and carbon emissions. Battery electric vehicle (BEV) adoption is considered integral to achieving this mandate and thus a better understanding…

Rubal Dua, Kenneth White, Rebecca Lindland

Impact of China’s Plug-In Electric Vehicle Subsidy Reduction

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

China, the world’s largest emitter of carbon dioxide, has set ambitious climate goals. These include reducing the carbon intensity of its 2005 gross domestic product (GDP) by 40-45% by 2020 and by 60-65% by 2030 (Xu, Chen, and Chen 2017). A key…

Sheldon, Tamara

Dua, Rubal

Drivers of New Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Fuel Economy in Saudi Arabia

Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon

This paper investigates the drivers of recent improvements in Saudi Arabia’s new light-duty vehicle fleet fuel economy. A vehicle choice model is estimated using aggregate and disaggregate new vehicle purchase data. The estimates are used to simulate counterfactual policy scenarios.…

Dua, Rubal

Sheldon, Tamara

Assessing the Effectiveness of California’s “Replace your Ride.”

IDEAS

We analyze the effectiveness of California’s “Replace Your Ride” policy, a pilot program that gives subsidies to lower income households in the greater Los Angeles area to retire older vehicles and replace them with newer, cleaner vehicles.

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

Measuring the Cost-effectiveness of Electric Vehicles Subsidies

IDEAS

Despite the prevalence of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) subsidies, research on improving their cost-effectiveness and impact remains limited. To assess the scope for improving their cost-effectiveness, we develop a vehicle choice model-based counterfactual simulation using a large-scale nationally representative sample…

Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon

Gasoline savings from clean vehicle adoption

Energy Policy

Conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating the costs of securing associated environmental benefits. Using a large-scale nationally representative sample of U.S. new car buyers, we propose a choice model-based counterfactual approach…

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

Vehicle Retirement and Replacement Policy: Assessing Impact and Cost-Effectiveness

Rubal Dua

Governments across the world, motivated by air quality improvement or by climate change mitigation goals, are trying to accelerate the turnover of older, higher-emitting vehicles and replace these with lower emission vehicles. One approach is to encourage consumers to scrap…

Dua, Rubal

Measuring the Cost-Effectiveness of Clean Vehicle Subsidies

Rubal Dua

Demand-side policies, including rebates, sales tax exemptions, and tax credits promote clean vehicle adoption, with the goal of reducing local air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Limited research to date on their cost-effectiveness and efficiency suggests such subsidies are…

Dua, Rubal

Gasoline Savings From Clean Vehicle Adoption

Rubal Dua

Without the option to purchase plug-in electric and/or hybrid vehicles, conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate the fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating the costs of securing associated environmental benefits. Using a nationally representative sample of new…

Dua, Rubal

Understanding demand for hybrid and electric vehicles using large-scale consumer profile data

Rubal Dua, Kenneth White

Consumer adoption of hybrid and electric vehicles is a crucial step in improving energy utilization and reducing emissions from the transportation sector. To promote adoption, U.S. policymakers have employed supply-side policies such as Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions/Corporate Average Fuel Economy…

Dua, Rubal

White, Kenneth