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Abstract

Structural changes in the global oil sector are disrupting conventional market dynamics and the roles played by competing and cooperating producers. Industry players are adjusting to the shale (or ‘tight’) oil revolution and the possibility of plateauing or peaking global oil demand. In particular, OPEC and Saudi Arabia, its top producer, are reshaping the organization’s role as the primary residual supplier to the world oil market. In recent years, OPEC has invited other major exporters, including Russia, to cooperate under the OPEC+ production agreement in an effort to stabilize prices.

Authors

Bertrand Rioux

Senior Research Associate Bertrand is a senior research associate focusing on the impact of market regulation and liberalization in energy markets. An experienced energy… Bertrand is a senior research associate focusing on the impact of market regulation and liberalization in energy markets. An experienced energy systems model developer (linear optimization and mixed complementary problems), he is working on developing the KAPSARC Energy Model (KEM) as a decision support tool for analyzing price regulation in energy economies. Bertrand has contributed to the development of KEM Saudi Arabia and is the lead developer of KEM China, studying the impact of government regulation in the coal, power and natural gas markets. He was previously employed as a research assistant at the Canadian Space Agency.

Expertise

  • Modeling power systems
  • Electricity markets
  • Renewable energy
  • Game theory
  • Complex problem solving and climate change

Publications See all Bertrand Rioux’s publications

Abdullah AlJarboua

Senior Research Analyst Abdullah is a senior research analyst in the Energy and Macroeconomics program with interest in developing energy systems and energy-economic… Abdullah is a senior research analyst in the Energy and Macroeconomics program with interest in developing energy systems and energy-economic models. He holds a master’s degree in Computer Science from King Abdullah University of Science and Technology and a B.S. degree in Computer Engineering from Tennessee Technological University.

Expertise

  • Energy systems modeling
  • Energy-economic modeling
  • Large-scale optimization
  • Relaxation and decomposition methods

Publications See all Abdullah AlJarboua’s publications

Fatih Karanfil

Research Fellow Fatih is a research fellow at KAPSARC.He received his Ph.D. in economics from the Pantheon-Sorbonne University in Paris and his… Fatih is a research fellow at KAPSARC.He received his Ph.D. in economics from the Pantheon-Sorbonne University in Paris and his M.A. in economic analysis and modeling jointly from the Pantheon-Sorbonne University and the École Centrale Paris. Before joining KAPSARC in December 2017, Fatih was a research fellow at EconomiX-CNRS and an associate professor of economics at the University of Paris, Nanterre, where he taught econometrics, energy economics, and environmental economics. Fatih's current research focuses mainly on developing economic frameworks to provide insights into energy policymaking in oil-producing countries. His research has been published in general-interest economics journals (e.g., Applied EconomicsJournal of Comparative Economics and Macroeconomic Dynamics), as well as journals on energy economics (e.g., Energy Economics, Energy PolicyandThe Energy Journal).

Expertise

  • Energy economics
  • Energy policy
  • Environmental and resource economics
  • Applied economics

Publications See all Fatih Karanfil’s publications

Axel Pierru

Program Director Axel is the director of KAPSARC’s Energy and Macroeconomics program. From October 2018 to March 2019, he was KAPSARC’s interim… Axel is the director of KAPSARC's Energy and Macroeconomics program. From October 2018 to March 2019, he was KAPSARC's interim vice president of research. Axel joined KAPSARC in 2011, after spending 15 years at IFP Energies Nouvelles in France, where he led research, consulting and training projects. Axel received his Ph.D. in economics from the Pantheon-Sorbonne University in Paris. He undertakes applied research that combines methodological innovation with practical relevance for policymaking. His research is focused on energy economics, policy, finance, oil pricing, and energy-exporting economies. Axel has been published extensively, with over 40 peer-reviewed journal papers to his name.

Expertise

  • Energy modelling
  • Energy economics
  • Energy policy
  • Oil pricing and finance

Publications See all Axel Pierru’s publications

Shahd Alrashed

Senior Research Associate Shahd is a senior research associate in the Markets and Industrial Development program. A mechanical engineer by background, she previously worked… Shahd is a senior research associate in the Markets and Industrial Development program. A mechanical engineer by background, she previously worked at Chevron as a flare and relief systems engineer and a facilities engineer supporting upstream and downstream Chevron facilities worldwide, with consultations and technical services based in Houston, Texas and Bakersfield, California. Shahd holds a master's degree in mechanical engineering with a focus on advanced energy systems from UC Berkeley and a B.S. degree in mechanical engineering with a concentration in manufacturing engineering from Boston University.

Expertise

  • Enhanced oil recovery
  • Carbon capture sequestration
  • Energy efficiency and renewable technologies.

Publications See all Shahd Alrashed’s publications

Colin Ward

Colin Ward

Former Research Fellow Colin was the interim director of the Markets and Industrial Development program. He has worked in the energy industry for… Colin was the interim director of the Markets and Industrial Development program. He has worked in the energy industry for 10 years in various capacities including seismic field work, refinery design and consulting for major international oil companies and national oil companies worldwide. Colin played a major role in several KAPSARC projects, primarily focusing on cost estimation for energy projects and environmental impacts of the global energy industry.

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