Publications

Kazakhstan – Saudi Arabia: Crossroads

Zlata Sergeeva, Colin Ward

On July 23, 2022, official talks occurred between Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud and Kazakhstan’s President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Jeddah. During the meeting, the parties confirmed their intention to intensify mutual trade. At the same time,…

Sergeeva, Zlata

Ward, Colin

Is the Shale Oil Rush Over?

Majed A. Al Suwailem, Colin Ward, Jennifer Considine, Julio Arboleda, Hamid M. Al Sadoon

The California Gold Rush was a time of exuberance and technological development in the mining sector and exhibits significant parallels with shale development that are worth exploring. The easy wins of the pioneers gave way to larger organizations with better…

Al Suwailem, Majed A.

Ward, Colin

Considine, Jennifer

Arboleda, Julio

Al Sadoon, Hamid M.

Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa: Potential Roadways to A New Global Governance Mechanism for Energy and Climate

Emre Hatipoglu, Colin Ward, Noura Mansouri

The recent regionalization of global politics and trade has placed Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) at the forefront of the geopolitical agenda.

Hatipoglu, Emre

Ward, Colin

Mansouri, Noura

Cost‒Benefit Analysis for Petrochemical Projects

Philipp Galkin, Dongmei Chen, Colin Ward

Cost‒benefit analysis (CBA) has been used to assess investment projects for decades with the aim of quantifying their externalities and potential impacts on social welfare. However, the domain where CBA is applied has been primarily limited to direct public financing…

Galkin, Philipp

Chen, Dongmei

Ward, Colin

Gaming Out the Proposed Price Cap on Russian Oil

Colin Ward, Emre Hatipoglu, Majed A. Al Suwailem

In a June 29, 2022, communique, the G7 countries agreed to explore ways to impose a price cap on Russian oil exports. The main mechanism would be a ban on the provision of insurance, logistics and financial services by G7 nations for…

Ward, Colin

Hatipoglu, Emre

Al Suwailem, Majed A.

The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy

Abdullah Aldayel, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu, Colin Ward

On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, which quickly escalated into a militarized conflict across multiple fronts. The act drew immediate disapproval from the United Nations and led most members of the Western alliance to…

Aldayel, Abdullah

Considine, Jennifer

Hatipoglu, Emre

Ward, Colin

A Closer Look at the IEA Storage Releases

Colin Ward

The United States (U.S.) and its western allies have been increasing their pressure on Russia in response to the conflict in Ukraine. Undercutting Russian government finances is a priority for them. Energy exports are a key source of income for…

Ward, Colin

Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating a Global Oil Market with No Residual Supplier

IAEE

Bertrand Rioux, Axel Pierru, Abdullah AlJarboua, Fatih Karanfil, Shahd Alrashed, Colin Ward

Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating a Global Oil Market with No Residual Supplier

Bertrand Rioux, Abdullah AlJarboua, Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru, Shahd Alrashed, Colin Ward

Structural changes in the global oil sector are disrupting conventional market dynamics and the roles played by competing and cooperating producers. Industry players are adjusting to the shale (or ‘tight’) oil revolution and the possibility of plateauing or peaking global…

Rioux, Bertrand

AlJarboua, Abdullah

Karanfil, Fatih

Pierru, Axel

Alrashed, Shahd

Ward, Colin

Simulating a Global Oil Market With No Residual Supplier

Bertrand Rioux, Abdullah AlJarboua, Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru, Shahd Alrashed, Colin Ward

Motivation and objective of the study What if OPEC decided to abandon organizing residual production collectively, transitioning the world permanently to a competitive oil market? This commentary is based on a forthcoming KAPSARC paper, “Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating…

Rioux, Bertrand

AlJarboua, Abdullah

Karanfil, Fatih

Pierru, Axel

Alrashed, Shahd

Ward, Colin

KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook – Update

Hamid M. Al Sadoon, Colin Ward

China reported an outbreak of a SARS-like viral infection on December 31, 2019. The disease, officially named COVID-19, was first detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China and continues to spread globally. Initial symptoms are similar to the common cold,…

Al Sadoon, Hamid M.

Ward, Colin

A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

Hamid M. Al Sadoon, Colin Ward, Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel

The KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) has been designed to provide readers with a timely source of data, forecasts and analysis of world oil markets, including an understanding of the key factors affecting world oil prices. This paper gives a…

Al Sadoon, Hamid M.

Ward, Colin

Considine, Jennifer

Aldayel, Abdullah

Enhanced Oil Recovery and CO2 Storage Potential Outside North America: An Economic Assessment

Colin Ward, Wolfgang Heidug

Storing carbon dioxide (CO2 ) in oil reservoirs as part of CO2 -based enhanced oil recovery (CO2 -EOR) can be a cost-effective solution to reduce emissions into the atmosphere. In this paper, we analyze the economics of this option in…

Ward, Colin

Heidug, Wolfgang

Evaluating Uganda’s Oil Sector: Estimation of Upstream Projects

Colin Ward

Uganda and other countries in Eastern Africa are on the cusp of developing many oil and gas resources, and there is reason for local content to be included in the discussion. As part of a larger research effort at KAPSARC…

Ward, Colin

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