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      The Volatility of Crude Oil Prices and the Mitigation of Oil Price Risk
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Volatility of Crude Oil Prices and the Mitigation of Oil Price Risk

      The COVID-19 pandemic was one of the greatest challenges of modern times. More than two years since its onset, the global oil market has yet to regain any semblance of balance or stability. The future remains extremely uncertain. The pandemic…

      8 May 2023
      CO2 Emissions Reduction Progress and Future Perspectives in Aviation
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      CO2 Emissions Reduction Progress and Future Perspectives in Aviation

      CO2 emissions from aviation are a priority for policymakers, researchers, entities, and governments worldwide. Traditional approaches to analyzing the aviation sector must be modified because aviation practices are no longer supply driven. In fact, the recent increase in environmental awareness…

      18 April 2023
      Seasonal Adjustment of GDP Time Series – Private Sector Component
      Models, Data and Tools

      Seasonal Adjustment of GDP Time Series – Private Sector Component

      Jeremy Rothfield, Mansour Al Rajhi

      The General Authority for Statistics (GaStat) categorizes Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product (GDP) into institutional oil and non-oil segments. The institutional non-oil segment can be further broken down into institutional government and institutional private sectors. For analysts, the seasonal adjustment…

      Jeremy Rothfield Rothfield, Jeremy
      Mansour Al Rajhi Mansour Al Rajhi
      9 April 2023
      How Responsive Are New Car Buyers in India and China to Factors Driving Fuel Consumption?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      How Responsive Are New Car Buyers in India and China to Factors Driving Fuel Consumption?

      Prateek Bansal, Rubal Dua

      China and India, the world’s two most populous developing economies, are also among the largest automotive markets and carbon emitters. To reduce carbon emissions from the passenger car sector, both countries have considered various policy levers that affect fuel price,…

      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      9 April 2023
      Regional Energy Cooperation: Opportunities to Enhance the Saudi-India Relationship
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Regional Energy Cooperation: Opportunities to Enhance the Saudi-India Relationship

      Yagyavalk Bhatt, Nora Nezamuddin

      Saudi Arabia and India, two of the fastest growing economies globally, play important roles in South Asia and the Middle East, respectively. Saudi-India relations have started to acquire a strategic dimension owing to the countries’ growing business opportunities, rising investment…

      Yagyavalk Bhatt Bhatt, Yagyavalk
      Nora Nezamuddin Nezamuddin, Nora
      9 April 2023
      Can Circularity-Based Approaches Prevent a Cobalt Supply Shortfall?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Can Circularity-Based Approaches Prevent a Cobalt Supply Shortfall?

      Rubal Dua

      Electric vehicle batteries rely heavily on a small number of critical minerals, including cobalt. Cobalt metal prices have doubled over the past year as a result of a mismatch between supply and demand, particularly for electric car batteries (Hume 2022).

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      4 April 2023
      The Ban on Long-Term Natural Gas Contracts for the European Union: A Double-Edged Sword?
      Regional Energy Markets

      The Ban on Long-Term Natural Gas Contracts for the European Union: A Double-Edged Sword?

      Zlata Sergeeva

      Long-term natural gas contracts are necessary market instruments that provide supply security for customers and demand security for producers. Nevertheless, the European Commission recently announced a plan to ban long-term contracts for unabated fossil gas after 2049. This study shows…

      Zlata Sergeeva Sergeeva, Zlata
      4 April 2023
      Real Gross Domestic Income for Saudi Arabia From 1986 to 2021
      Evaluation of Public Investment Projects

      Real Gross Domestic Income for Saudi Arabia From 1986 to 2021

      Walid Matar

      A country’s national income is defined as the total market value of its output. The most used measure for national income is gross domestic product (GDP). One way to estimate GDP for a country is to sum its government consumption,…

      Walid Matar Matar, Walid
      4 April 2023
      Understanding Phantom Oil
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Understanding Phantom Oil

      Phantom oil is oil that is deliberately moved from legally recognized sources or traded in the black market. It is also frequently referred to as illegal, illicit, tacit, or unregistered oil. This oil is generally concealed from the energy community…

      26 March 2023
      Saudi-China Collaboration on Renewable Energy Supply Chains
      Productivity and Economic Diversification

      Saudi-China Collaboration on Renewable Energy Supply Chains

      Many countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region have reinforced their interest in enhancing domestic value creation from renewable energy industries while striving to achieve their green energy transition targets. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has identified…

      21 March 2023
      Accelerating the Demand for and International Trade in Low-Carbon Hydrogen
      Regional Energy Markets

      Accelerating the Demand for and International Trade in Low-Carbon Hydrogen

      Hydrogen is projected to play an important role in meeting decarbonization targets. Hydrocarbon-rich countries perceive this as an opportunity to decarbonize existing assets and monetize undeveloped hydrocarbon reserves. Meanwhile, non-traditional energy exporters rich in renewable energy resources view hydrogen as…

      21 March 2023
      Saudi Arabia’s Potential to Further Hydrogen Use in the Maritime Sector
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Saudi Arabia’s Potential to Further Hydrogen Use in the Maritime Sector

      Nora Nezamuddin, Rami Shabaneh, Ahm Mehbub Anwar

      The United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 26) in Glasgow focussed on advancing low-carbon fuels to reach emissions abatement targets. The conference also reaffirmed the goals of the Paris Agreement: to secure global net-zero emissions by mid-century and limit the…

      Nora Nezamuddin Nezamuddin, Nora
      Rami Shabaneh Shabaneh, Rami
      Ahm Mehbub Anwar Anwar, Ahm Mehbub
      21 March 2023
      Impacts of Global Climate Policies on Middle Eastern Oil Exporters: A Review of Economic Implications and Mitigation Strategies
      Climate Change Policies and Governance

      Impacts of Global Climate Policies on Middle Eastern Oil Exporters: A Review of Economic Implications and Mitigation Strategies

      Salaheddine Soummane, Aisha Al-Sarihi

      Climate policies are tightening in an effort to curb carbon dioxide emissions. As a result, global oil demand may peak and gradually decline, causing oil prices to fall. A structural fall in oil prices may have serious implications for Middle…

      Salaheddine Soummane Soummane, Salaheddine
      Aisha Al-Sarihi Al-Sarihi, Aisha
      21 March 2023