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      How Firm Capacity and Forced Outage Rate Assumptions of Renewables Impact Capacity Expansion Model Results
      Electricity Sector Transitions

      How Firm Capacity and Forced Outage Rate Assumptions of Renewables Impact Capacity Expansion Model Results

      Amro Elshurafa, Marie Petitet, Frank Felder

      The undergoing energy transition relies heavily on the deployment of renewables such as solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind power for the generation of electricity. These variable and intermittent resources would modify power systems’ reliability compared to the situation where electricity…

      Amro Elshurafa Elshurafa, Amro
      Marie Petitet Marie Petitet
      Frank Felder Felder, Frank
      9 March 2023
      A Global Hydrogen Future
      Regional Energy Markets

      A Global Hydrogen Future

      The Energy Futures Initiative (EFI) and the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) convened an invitation-only in-person workshop titled A Global Hydrogen Future. The full-day event was held on Oct. 11, 2022, in Washington, D.C., and brought together 68 subject matter…

      6 March 2023
      Regional Fuel Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Saudi Arabia: Impacts of Electricity Price Reforms
      Models, Data and Tools

      Regional Fuel Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Saudi Arabia: Impacts of Electricity Price Reforms

      Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Salaheddine Soummane

      Evaluating the potential outcomes of energy price reforms is essential for policymakers to assess their effectiveness. In 2016 and 2018, the Saudi government enacted two waves of energy price reforms to curb historically fast-growing electricity demand. We quantify the effects…

      Abdulelah Darandary Darandary, Abdulelah
      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Salaheddine Soummane Soummane, Salaheddine
      5 March 2023
      Is the Recent Price Spike in Electric Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Packs Temporary or the Start of a New Trend?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Is the Recent Price Spike in Electric Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Packs Temporary or the Start of a New Trend?

      Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal, Juliet Akamboe

      Most nations are evaluating vehicle electrification as a way to decarbonize their passenger car sectors. To make electric vehicles competitive with conventional vehicles for cost-conscious consumers, the upfront purchase price of electric vehicles needs to fall. The battery pack is…

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      Juliet Akamboe Juliet Akamboe
      5 March 2023
      Key Improvements in the Saudi Aviation Sector: Exploring the Performance of the Passenger Load Factor
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Key Improvements in the Saudi Aviation Sector: Exploring the Performance of the Passenger Load Factor

      Andres Felipe Guzman, Abdulrahman Alwosheel

      Aviation is a significant contributor to the global economy, given that it, directly and indirectly, contributes to jobs, tourism, trade, and countries’ gross domestic product (GDP). However, environmental issues, technological advances, consumer behavior, energy consumption, the volume of passenger and…

      Andres Felipe Guzman Felipe Guzman, Andres
      Abdulrahman Alwosheel Alwosheel, Abdulrahman
      5 March 2023
      The Circular Carbon Economy Index 2022 – Results
      Climate Change Policies and Governance

      The Circular Carbon Economy Index 2022 – Results

      Mari Luomi, Fatih Yılmaz, Thamir Al Shehri

      The circular carbon economy (CCE) concept provides a holistic, flexible and pragmatic framework for countries to plan their energy and economic transitions to lower carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emission levels and, ultimately, net-zero emissions. The CCE Index measures countries’…

      Mari Luomi Luomi, Mari
      Fatih Yılmaz Yılmaz, Fatih
      Thamir Al Shehri Al Shehri, Thamir
      5 March 2023
      Implementing Circular Carbon Economies in the Gulf and Beyond
      Climate Change Policies and Governance

      Implementing Circular Carbon Economies in the Gulf and Beyond

      The circular carbon economy (CCE) is an energy transition framework that is based on a holistic, technology-neutral and country context-sensitive approach to achieving net-zero emissions. It embraces all available technologies and tools, from renewable energy to carbon capture and storage…

      5 March 2023
      Innovation by Gulf Cooperation Council Electricity Startups: A Global Comparison
      Electricity Sector Transitions

      Innovation by Gulf Cooperation Council Electricity Startups: A Global Comparison

      Rolando Fuentes, Frank Felder

      The electric power sector is the cornerstone for achieving the energy transition goals of economic progress, energy security and environmental improvements. Substantial and timely innovations are necessary to accomplish these goals. In this commentary, we investigate innovations in the electric…

      Rolando Fuentes Fuentes, Rolando
      Frank Felder Felder, Frank
      28 February 2023
      The Stability of World Oil Markets and the Potential for Oil Shocks
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Stability of World Oil Markets and the Potential for Oil Shocks

      Despite many journal articles, forecasting models, and books, little is known about the actual quantitative value, or cost to society, of oil shocks. The potential consequences of any specific political or economic disturbance are unclear and depend on the market…

      27 February 2023
      Lessons From the European Electricity Crisis
      Electricity Sector Transitions

      Lessons From the European Electricity Crisis

      Frank Felder, Marie Petitet

      On January 23, 2023, the European Commission initiated a public consultation to reform the European Union’s electricity market (European Commission 2023) on the heels of extremely high wholesale electricity prices in Europe in the last months and days of 2022.…

      Frank Felder Felder, Frank
      Marie Petitet Marie Petitet
      20 February 2023
      Bans on the Sale of Gasoline- And Diesel-Powered Vehicles: Why Are Policymakers Favoring Commandand- Control to the Point of Banning, and Does It Send Unintended Policy Signals?
      Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

      Bans on the Sale of Gasoline- And Diesel-Powered Vehicles: Why Are Policymakers Favoring Commandand- Control to the Point of Banning, and Does It Send Unintended Policy Signals?

      Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal

      In recent years, the adoption of command-and-control policies, from mandating sales of zero-tailpipe-emission vehicles all the way to prohibiting future sales of gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles via tailpipe carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions standards or otherwise, has gained momentum globally in…

      Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
      Prateek Bansal Bansal, Prateek
      15 February 2023
      Spatial Modeling of Bargaining Among Stakeholders in Energy Policy: The Case of Japanese Nuclear Plants
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Spatial Modeling of Bargaining Among Stakeholders in Energy Policy: The Case of Japanese Nuclear Plants

      Emre Hatipoglu, Brian Efird, Saleh Al Muhanna

      This paper evaluates the evolving political will in Japan to restart nuclear power plants to generate electric power, in light of the country’s political and economic developments over the past few years. We apply a model of collective decision-making processes…

      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      Brian Efird Efird, Brian
      Saleh Al Muhanna Al Muhanna, Saleh
      15 February 2023
      KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO)
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO)

      On the demand side, seasonality tends to play an important role as it keeps oil demand growth stagnating or in decline relative to its previous quarter. However, this quarter will also witness an added layer of downward pressure as several…

      8 February 2023
      ESG: A Barrier or a Solution to the Oil and Gas Investment Emergency?
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      ESG: A Barrier or a Solution to the Oil and Gas Investment Emergency?

      On September 6, 2022, the workshop “ESG: A Barrier or a Solution to the Oil and Gas Investment Emergency?” was held in conjunction with the Arab Petroleum Investment Corporations (APICORP). This workshop had the following objectives: To continue the campaign to inform…

      6 February 2023