Publications

How Firm Capacity and Forced Outage Rate Assumptions of Renewables Impact Capacity Expansion Model Results

Amro Elshurafa, Marie Petitet, Frank Felder

We assess how varying the firm capacity (FC) and forced outage rate (FOR) assumptions of renewable energy (RE) resources impact capacity expansion models (CEM). Eight scenarios that vary the FC and FOR, RE share targets, and annual RE uptake were…

Elshurafa, Amro

Marie Petitet

Felder, Frank

Modeling Cross-seasonal Fuel Savings From Load Shifting in the Saudi Industrial Sector and Interlinkages to Export Revenues

Science Direct

Salaheddine Soummane, Amro Elshurafa, Hatem Al Atawi, Frank Felder

How Firm Capacity and Forced Outage Rate Assumptions of Renewables Impact Capacity Expansion Model Results

Amro Elshurafa, Marie Petitet, Frank Felder

The undergoing energy transition relies heavily on the deployment of renewables such as solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind power for the generation of electricity. These variable and intermittent resources would modify power systems’ reliability compared to the situation where electricity…

Elshurafa, Amro

Marie Petitet

Felder, Frank

Cost, Footprint, and Reliability Implications of Deploying Hydrogen in Off-grid Electric Vehicle Charging Stations: A GIS-assisted Study for Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Amro Elshurafa, Abdelrahman Muhsen, Frank Felder

We quantify the cost, footprint and reliability implications of using hydrogen in off-grid electric vehicle charging stations (CS) using an optimization model coupled with a geographical information system (GIS) analysis for the city of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. We also account…

Elshurafa, Amro

Muhsen, Abdelrahman

Felder, Frank

Trends in Global Solar PV Installation in 2021

Amro Elshurafa

In 2021, global solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity increased by a record 175 gigawatts (GW). This brought the total global cumulative installed PV capacity to around 942 GW at the end of 2021.

Elshurafa, Amro

Cost, Footprint, and Reliability Implications of Deploying Hydrogen in Off-grid Electric Vehicle Charging Stations: A GIS-assisted Study for Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Science Direct

Amro Elshurafa, Abdelrahman Muhsen, Frank Felder

Cost, Emission, and Macroeconomic Implications of Diesel Displacement in the Saudi Agricultural Sector: Options and Policy Insights

Science Direct

Amro Elshurafa, Hatem Al Atawi, Fakhri Hasanov, Goblan Al Gahtani, Frank Felder

Cost, Emission, and Macroeconomic Implications of Diesel Displacement in the Saudi Agricultural Sector: Options and Policy Insights

Amro Elshurafa, Hatem Al Atawi, Fakhri Hasanov, Frank Felder

The Saudi agricultural sector relies on diesel for irrigation, which is provided to farmers at a much lower price than the average global price, implying significant opportunity costs. With the aid of soft-coupled power and macro-econometric models, we assess the…

Elshurafa, Amro

Al Atawi, Hatem

Hasanov, Fakhri

Felder, Frank

Cross-seasonal Fuel Savings from Load Shifting in the Saudi Industrial Sector

Salaheddine Soummane, Amro Elshurafa, Hatem Al Atawi, Frank Felder

Load shifting, that is, moving demand from peak to off-peak hours, is an important type of demand response. It can reduce the overall operating costs of a power system and improve the reliability of the power grid. This study estimates…

Soummane, Salaheddine

Elshurafa, Amro

Al Atawi, Hatem

Felder, Frank

Achieving Renewable Energy Targets Without Compromising the Power Sector’s Reliability

Amro Elshurafa, Frank Felder, Nezar Alhaidari

Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Energy has set ambitious renewable energy goals. Although the Kingdom’s current energy mix is dominated by conventional energy (>95%), it aims to draw 50% of its energy from renewable sources by 2030. Currently, the Kingdom enjoys…

Elshurafa, Amro

Felder, Frank

Nezar Alhaidari

Trends in Global Solar PV Installation in 2020

Amro Elshurafa

Dozens of governments worldwide have supported, and still support, renewable energy technology deployment, including solar photovoltaics (PV). This has been driven by their ambitions to be energy independent, meet carbon emissions reduction targets, and contribute to their domestic economies through…

Elshurafa, Amro

Assessing Effects of Renewable Deployment on Emissions in the Saudi Power Sector Until 2040 Using Integer Optimization

Science Direct

Amro Elshurafa, Hatem Al Atawi, Salaheddine Soummane, Frank Felder

Assessing the Role of Renewables in Reducing Emissions in the Saudi Power Sector Using Mixed-Integer Optimization

Amro Elshurafa, Hatem Al Atawi, Salaheddine Soummane, Frank Felder

Renewable energy (RE) technologies are viewed as a critical means of reducing power sector-related emissions. Using mixed-integer optimization, we evaluate the extent to which renewable energy reduces carbon emissions in the Saudi power sector.

Elshurafa, Amro

Al Atawi, Hatem

Soummane, Salaheddine

Felder, Frank

Global Trends in Cloud Computing and Saudi Arabia’s Response

Hatem Al Atawi, Amro Elshurafa

As data centers become operational in the Kingdom, they will be an additional driver of long-term electricity demand. KAPSARC is actively studying these challenges and their implications for the economy by modeling and forecasting electricity demand.

Al Atawi, Hatem

Elshurafa, Amro

The Value of Storage in Electricity Generation: A Qualitative and Quantitative Review

Science Direct

Electricity storage (ES) is a technology that can complement variable renewable generation in the widely sought low-carbon future. Given the several unique features of ES, it is important for utilities, investors, and regulators to understand how ES evaluation is conducted…

Amro Elshurafa

The Value of Storage in Electricity Generation: A Qualitative and Quantitative Review

Amro Elshurafa

Electricity storage technology has many useful applications in the energy sector and can complement variable renewable power generation to achieve a low-carbon future. For policymakers, utilities, and investors, effective decisions in this context require an understanding of how to determine the monetary value of storage.

Elshurafa, Amro

Trends in Global Solar PV Installation

Amro Elshurafa

Dozens of governments around the world have supported, and still support, renewable energy technology deployment, including solar photovoltaics (PV). This has been driven by their ambitions to be energy independent, meet carbon emissions reduction targets, and contribute to their domestic…

Elshurafa, Amro

Electric Vehicle Deployment and Carbon Emissions in Saudi Arabia: A Power System Perspective

Science Direct

Although battery electric vehicles (EVs) are emission-free at the tailpipe, the energy mix that provides electricity to charge EVs is generally not. Ideally, it is desired to charge EVs from a low- or no-carbon energy source to ensure that the…

Nawaz Peerbocus, Amro Elshurafa

Demystifying Policy Support Mechanisms for Distributed Solar Photovoltaic Systems

Amro Elshurafa

Solar photovoltaic (PV) distributed generation (DG) systems are installed for residential, commercial, and industrial use. PV DG systems in the residential sector typically have capacities below 20 kilowatts (kW). However, commercial and industrial PV DG systems can have capacities of…

Elshurafa, Amro

The Impact of High Temperatures on Battery Performance in Solar-PV Systems With Storage

Amro Elshurafa, Mohammad Aldubyan

The World Bank estimates that nearly 1 billion people globally have no grid electricity access. Diesel generators are the default source of energy for locations lacking access to the grid. The falling costs of solar photovoltaic (PV) generation and battery…

Elshurafa, Amro

Aldubyan, Mohammad