Publications

GCC Residential Electricity Tariffs

Abeer AlGhamdi

Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have raised their domestic energy prices in recent years in a bid to increase energy efficiency, rationalize government spending and balance their budgets. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have taken bold steps to…

AlGhamdi, Abeer

The Impact of the US-China Trade Dispute on the GCC

Dongmei Chen

The trade dispute between the United States (U.S.) and China has escalated since March 2018. On March 22, 2018, U.S. President Donald Trump signed a memorandum directing the U.S. government’s response to the investigation on China’s economic activities, trade policies and practices…

Chen, Dongmei

Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer, Report of the TEAP, Volume 2 Decision XXXI/7 – Continued Provision of Information on Energy-Efficient and Low Global Warming Potential Technologies

Thamir Al Shehri, UNEP TEAP, EE Task Force

In the context of accelerating climate change, cooling demand is also increasing rapidly. If unmanaged, this will result in a vicious circle, with increasing global warming through greater energy consumption combined with the use of higher GWP refrigerants. Addressing access…

Al Shehri, Thamir

UNEP TEAP

EE Task Force

Understanding the Evolution of the Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Electric Vehicle Subsidies

Tamara Sheldon, Omar Al Harbi, Rubal Dua

Our previous research found that promoting plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) adoption through financial subsidies is expensive. In this commentary, we explore how the cost-effectiveness of the PEV subsidy program has evolved over time. To understand this evolution, we developed vehicle…

Sheldon, Tamara

Omar Al Harbi

Dua, Rubal

Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia: Are The Price and Income Elasticities Constant?

Taylor & Francis

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fred Joutz, Fakhri Hasanov

What Happened to Residential Electricity Consumption in Saudi Arabia Between 2015 and 2018?

Mohammad Aldubyan, Anwar Gasim

Between 2007 and 2018, residential electricity consumption in Saudi Arabia increased by 45%, from around 89 terawatthours (TWh) to 130 TWh (SAMA 2019). Population and gross domestic product (GDP) are two key factors that influence residential electricity consumption.

Aldubyan, Mohammad

Gasim, Anwar

The FDI-CO2 Nexus From The Sustainable Development Perspective: The Case of Azerbaijan

Taylor and Francis Online

The current study explores the effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan utilizing time series data spanning from 1996 to 2013. The structural time series modeling (STSM) approach is employed in empirical estimations. The STSM framework allows…

Shahriyar Mukhtarov, Shahriyar Aliyev, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Altay Ismayilov, Anar Rzayev

The Impact of Restricted Mobility Due to COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia

Alma Alhussaini, Nourah Al Hosain

Seven months since the first COVID-19 case was identified in Wuhan, China, the contagious and vastly transmissive virus has continued to spread and grow into a global pandemic affecting more than 20 million people. When the World Health Organization (WHO)…

Alma Alhussaini

Al Hosain, Nourah

The FDI-CO2 Nexus From The Sustainable Development Perspective: The Case of Azerbaijan

Taylor & Francis

Jeyhun Mikayilov

The Future of Cooling in Saudi Arabia: Technology, Market and Policy Options

The world needs cooling. Air conditioning (AC) and refrigeration protects our health and productivity at home and work, and supports a host of critical services such as internet data centers, food delivery, and medicine. Around 1.6 billion AC units are…

Realizing the G20’s Vision for a Resilient Grid During the Power Sector’s Transformation

Turki Alaqeel, Shahid Hasan

In many parts of the world, summer and fall bring unpleasant climate events such as hurricanes, wildfires, floods, tornados, or thunderstorms that disturb energy systems, especially power grids. These events impact power demand and disturb the power sector’s supply. Electricity…

Alaqeel, Turki

Hasan, Shahid

Regional Heterogeneous Drivers of Electricity Demand in Saudi Arabia: Modeling Regional Residential Electricity Demand

Science Direct

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abdulelah Darandary, Ryan Alyamani, Fakhri Hasanov, Hatem Al Atawi

Sectoral and Economy-Wide Effects of Domestic Energy Price Reforms in Saudi Arabia

Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Hossa Almutairi, Abdullah AlJarboua, Frederic Murphy, Shreekar Pradhan, Axel Pierru

This paper simulates the sectoral and economy-wide consequences of deregulating energy prices in Saudi Arabia. Our analysis is based on KAPSARC’s general equilibrium energy model (KEMGE), a new hybrid computable general equilibrium model (CGE). The model examines the effects of…

Durand-Lasserve, Olivier

Almutairi, Hossa

AlJarboua, Abdullah

Murphy, Frederic

Pradhan, Shreekar

Pierru, Axel

Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia: Are the Price and Income Elasticities Constant?

Taylor and Francis Online

The paper investigates gasoline consumption in case of oil-exporting country applying Time-varying Coefficient Cointegration approach to the data from 1980 to 2017. Empirical estimations show that long-run income and price elasticities are not constant and are responsive to price and…

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fred Joutz, Fakhri Hasanov

KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook

The global oil market is likely to move into deficit as early as this quarter. The most significant driver of this shift has been strong compliance with the production cuts agreed by OPEC and its partners (OPEC+) at the group’s…

Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating a Global Oil Market with No Residual Supplier

Bertrand Rioux, Abdullah AlJarboua, Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru, Shahd Alrashed, Colin Ward

Structural changes in the global oil sector are disrupting conventional market dynamics and the roles played by competing and cooperating producers. Industry players are adjusting to the shale (or ‘tight’) oil revolution and the possibility of plateauing or peaking global…

Rioux, Bertrand

AlJarboua, Abdullah

Karanfil, Fatih

Pierru, Axel

Alrashed, Shahd

Ward, Colin

Trends in Global Solar PV Installation

Amro Elshurafa

Dozens of governments around the world have supported, and still support, renewable energy technology deployment, including solar photovoltaics (PV). This has been driven by their ambitions to be energy independent, meet carbon emissions reduction targets, and contribute to their domestic…

Elshurafa, Amro

Toward Fiscal Stability and Sustainable Development: The Role of Sovereign Funds in Saudi Arabia

Nader AlKathiri

The study, “Optimal Policies for Managing Oil Revenue Stabilization Funds: An illustration using Saudi Arabia,” conducted by researchers from KAPSARC, was recently published in the journal Resources Policy. It developed a model that optimizes the buildup and drawdown of a stabilization fund.  It…

AlKathiri, Nader

The Fiscal Response to COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia

Nader AlKathiri, Abdulelah Darandary, Ryan Alyamani

The COVID-19 pandemic and the efforts to combat it have led to major global disruptions. Policymakers are faced with a dilemma that is not easily resolved. On the one hand, they are striving to protect public health by containing the…

AlKathiri, Nader

Darandary, Abdulelah

Alyamani, Ryan

The Impact of Recent Changes to China’s Plug-In Electric Vehicle Subsidy Design

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

Subsidies that promote plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) adoption have been a key component of China’s overall plan for reducing local air pollution and the greenhouse gas emissions from its light-duty vehicle sector. Since 2009, PEVs qualify for substantial rebates (up…

Sheldon, Tamara

Dua, Rubal