Publications

Methane Emissions Baseline Forecasts for Saudi Arabia Using the Structural Time Series Model and Autometrics

Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Reducing methane (CH4) emissions is key to near-term efforts to limit global warming. CH4 is the second most abundant anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) in the atmosphere after carbon dioxide (CO2). The production, transport, and consumption of fossil fuels, in addition…

Gasim, Anwar

Hunt, Lester C.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Fiscal Policy in Oil and Gas-exporting Economies: Good Times, Bad Times and Ugly Times

Science Direct

Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Fatih Karanfil

Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa: Potential Roadways to A New Global Governance Mechanism for Energy and Climate

Emre Hatipoglu, Colin Ward, Noura Mansouri

The recent regionalization of global politics and trade has placed Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) at the forefront of the geopolitical agenda.

Hatipoglu, Emre

Ward, Colin

Mansouri, Noura

What Could Happen to the Oil Market if Iran’s and Venezuela’s Sanctions Are Lifted?

Julio Arboleda

Disagreements between oil producers and consumers for keeping a stable market has resulted in actions from both sides, elevating concerns about the near future stability of the oil sector. On one side, producers have concerns about future demand uncertainties, while…

Arboleda, Julio

Saudi Arabia Energy Transition in a Post-paris Agreement Era: An Analysis with a Multi-level Perspective Approach

Science Direct

Fateh Belaïd, Aisha Al-Sarihi

Saudi Arabia’s Input-Output Table: Computing Type I Multiplier

Abdulelah Darandary, Jeremy Rothfield

The General Authority of Statistics of Saudi Arabia has released the input-output tables this year for 2018, 2019, and 2020 (GaStat, 2022). These releases have extended the number of sectors representing the Saudi Arabian economy to 20 from the 13…

Darandary, Abdulelah

Rothfield, Jeremy

Aggregate Real Energy Price Index

Abdulelah Darandary, Anwar Gasim

Our aggregate real energy index is constructed in two steps. First, sectoral energy prices are obtained from Hasanov et al (2020). Second, the index is constructed by calculating a weighted average of these sectoral energy prices, in which the weight…

Darandary, Abdulelah

Gasim, Anwar

An Overview of Integration Costs of Variable Renewables in the Power Sector

Faris Aljamed, Frank Felder, Amro Elshurafa

In recent years, the cost of electricity generated by renewables has significantly decreased to the point where it is cost competitive with conventional plants. However, incorporating variable renewable energy (VRE) technologies like wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) into the power…

Aljamed, Faris

Felder, Frank

Elshurafa, Amro

The Race to Offset Emissions from Airlines— How Is It Developing?

Nora Nezamuddin, Lama Yaseen

As a sector, aviation accounts for an estimated 2% of global energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) indicating that the growth in aviation in the last decade has been faster than that of roads, rail,…

Nezamuddin, Nora

Yaseen, Lama

Electricity Balancing Market in the United Kingdom: Time to Rebalance Participants’ Interests

Shahid Hasan

During the four months of winter (November to February) of 2021/22, the costs of keeping supply and demand matched through the United Kingdom’s electricity balancing market reached a record high of over £1.5 billion.

Hasan, Shahid

Future Fuel Demand From the Saudi Shipping Sector: A Business-as-Usual Estimation

Ahm Mehbub Anwar, Rubal Dua, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Nora Nezamuddin

The purpose of this commentary is to suggest a rough estimation of future exports and corresponding fuel consumption of the Saudi shipping sector up to 2040. For estimation purposes, we use two assumptions: A global average energy intensity of 0.078…

Anwar, Ahm Mehbub

Dua, Rubal

Alwosheel, Abdulrahman

Nezamuddin, Nora

Heralding a New Era in Trade Between the GCC, Africa and Asia

Evar Umeozor

Global geopolitical dynamics are altering trade flows of petrochemicals and chemical products from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. These include the conflict between Russia and Ukraine impacting access to cheap gas for industrial activities in Europe, and protectionist energy and…

Umeozor, Evar

Environmental Consequences of Geopolitical Crises: The Case of Economic Sanctions and Emissions

Science Direct

Emre Hatipoglu, Fateh Belaïd, Mehmet Ali Soytas

Carbon-neutral LNG in Japan: Drivers and Perspectives

Zlata Sergeeva, Daisuke Harada

In 2019, a new phenomenon – so-called “carbon-neutral liquified natural gas” (LNG) – was introduced into gas markets. It originated from two shipments delivered by Shell in June 2019 to the Japanese utility Tokyo Gas and a Korean energy company,…

Sergeeva, Zlata

Daisuke Harada

Circular Carbon Economy: Least-Cost Path to Net Zero

Eric Williams, Adam Sieminski

Carbon neutrality can be defined as a state of net-zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions achieved by balancing CO2 emissions with removals. ‘Net-zero’ has become a shorthand phrase to describe how governments, companies, and others should respond to climate change challenges…

Williams, Eric

Adam Sieminski

Making Electricity Capacity Markets Resilient to Extreme Weather Events

IAEE

Marie Petitet, Frank Felder

Taking Stock of China and the Geopolitics of Energy

The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

Dongmei Chen

One Year After the Texas Blackout: Lessons for Reliable and Resilient Power Systems

Marie Petitet, Khalid Alhadhrami, Frank Felder

In February 2021, Texas experienced an extreme cold snap causing a dramatic electricity blackout that left millions of households without electricity, resulting in over two hundred fatalities and economic damages of approximately $100 billion. The Texas blackout has been used…

Marie Petitet

Alhadhrami, Khalid

Felder, Frank

How Firm Capacity and Forced Outage Rate Assumptions of Renewables Impact Capacity Expansion Model Results

Amro Elshurafa, Marie Petitet, Frank Felder

We assess how varying the firm capacity (FC) and forced outage rate (FOR) assumptions of renewable energy (RE) resources impact capacity expansion models (CEM). Eight scenarios that vary the FC and FOR, RE share targets, and annual RE uptake were…

Elshurafa, Amro

Marie Petitet

Felder, Frank

Determinants of Remittance Outflows: The Case of Saudi Arabia

Wiley Online Library

Fakhri Hasanov, Muhammad Javid

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