Publications

Macroeconomic and Sectoral Effects of Natural Gas Price: Policy Insights from a Macroeconometric Model

Science Direct

Fakhri Hasanov, Muhammad Javid, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Rami Shabaneh, Abdulelah Darandary, Ryan Alyamani

Why Might Some Chinese Battery Electric Vehicle Owners Choose Not to Repurchase Another?

Eui-Jin Kim, Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal

Repurchasing battery electric vehicles (BEVs) is critical to achieving BEV sales targets and decarbonizing China’s transport sector. This study investigates why current BEV owners in China might not repurchase a BEV and who they are. We conducted a stated preference…

Eui-Jin Kim

Dua, Rubal

Bansal, Prateek

Concrete: The Non-Critical, Critical Material

Timothy Laing

The paper is a commentary on key questions facing the relationship between concrete, the energy transition and the global move to net-zero.

Laing, Timothy

Ratifying the Kigali Amendment Challenges and Opportunities for Saudi Arabia

Aayushi Awasthy, Laura Bougary, Mohammad Aldubyan

The Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol is an international agreement which continues the effort to protect the ozone layer but adds the phase out of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), potent greenhouse gases that contribute significantly to global warming. The international efforts…

Awasthy, Aayushi

Laura Bougary

Aldubyan, Mohammad

Evaluating Airport Location Sustainability Performance: A Methodology from Experts and Contextual Perspective

Andres Felipe Guzman, Juan Nicolas Gonzalez

This paper presents a methodology to evaluate the sustainable performance of an airport location. The approach integrates multiple criteria, including transport requirements, environmental impacts, accessibility, economic potential, social impacts, and regulatory acceptability. The methodology consists of three steps: (1) defining…

Felipe Guzman, Andres

Gonzalez, Juan Nicolas

Waste-to-Hydrogen Techno-Economic Assessment and Emission Reduction Potential in Saudi Arabia

Muhammad Adnan Hayat, Amro Elshurafa

Waste-to-hydrogen (WTH) presents an enormous untapped potential to achieve climate change objectives for many countries by transitioning from high CO2 emission waste disposal techniques to producing clean fuel such as green hydrogen. Additionally, WTH can be incorporated with carbon capture…

Adnan Hayat, Muhammad

Elshurafa, Amro

Windfalls and Pitfalls: How Foreign Labor Strengthens Economic Resilience in GCC During Energy Transition

Dramane Coulibaly, Fatih Karanfil, Luc Desire Omgba

Governments in oil-dependent countries, particularly those in the Gulf, have launched broad and ambitious national plans to diversify their economies. While diversification reduces vulnerability to oil shocks, the expansion of renewables and the deregulation of domestic energy prices decrease domestic…

Dramane Coulibaly

Karanfil, Fatih

Luc Desire Omgba

The Potential Role of Seasonal Pumped Hydropower Storage in Decarbonizing the Power Sector in Saudi Arabia

Science Direct

Naser Odeh

A Review Approach to Understanding the Current Status of Port Resilience: Lessons Learned for GCC Ports

Springer Link

Ahm Mehbub Anwar, Nora Nezamuddin

Assessing Impacts of Global Economic Dynamics on the Saudi Economy and Oil Production: A GVAR Analysis

Commodity Insights Digest

Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Emre Hatipoglu, Abdullah Aldayel

KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO)

This is the KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook quarterly report that focuses on oil markets supply, demand and balances.

A Maritime Sector in Transition – The Role of Saudi Arabia

Nora Nezamuddin, Shahid Hasan, Rolando Fuentes, Michael Samsu Koroma

The maritime sector currently accounts for approximately 2.3% of global CO₂ emissions, with forecasts suggesting that this figure could rise to 10%-13% by 2050. This significant increase emphasizes the pressing need for decarbonization to mitigate environmental risks.

Nezamuddin, Nora

Hasan, Shahid

Fuentes, Rolando

Koroma, Michael Samsu

Does the Income Elasticity of Energy Demand Vary with the Stages of Economic Development?

Nader AlKathiri, Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

This paper revisits the empirical evidence on the income elasticity of energy demand by investigating whether it varies with the level of economic development. Our analysis, based on a sample of 111 countries spanning three decades, reveals that the elasticity…

AlKathiri, Nader

Darandary, Abdulelah

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Roadmap for Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) in Saudi Arabia Insights From Stakeholder Engagement and Expert Survey

AlJawhara Al Quayid, Fateh Belaïd, Naser Odeh, Noura Mansouri

This paper presents the findings of a survey conducted by KAPSARC, focusing on the role of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology within the framework of Circular Carbon Economy (CCE). The survey, part of the CCE Roadmaps project, aimed to…

Al Quayid, AlJawhara

Belaïd, Fateh

Naser Odeh

Mansouri, Noura

Decarbonizing Land-Based Passenger Transport in Saudi Arabia

Yagyavalk Bhatt, Puneet Kamboj, Anvita Arora, Mohamad Hejazi

The Saudi government has outlined its decarbonization strategy through various statements and reports, identifying key initiatives, preferred technologies, and investment targets to drive this transformation. In this study, we employ Integrated Assessment Modeling (IAM) to evaluate the long-term impacts of…

Bhatt, Yagyavalk

Puneet Kamboj

Arora, Anvita

Hejazi, Mohamad

Climate-Resilient Cities: Priorities for the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

Anvita Arora, Fateh Belaïd

This edited volume discusses the concept of resilient cities within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. Written by an international panel of scholars and experts, the book presents theoretical approaches, identifies risk factors, and suggests policies for building resiliency in…

Arora, Anvita

Belaïd, Fateh

Sectoral Clustering and Climate-Tech Startup Financing Through Venture Capital and Private Equity

Akin Cilekoglu

In this study, I investigate climate-tech startup financing of venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE) investments across different sectors around the world for the 2022-2024 period. Cross-sectional analysis suggests that start-ups in sectors with higher dynamism (proxied by deal…

Cilekoglu, Akin

Technoeconomic Assessment and Carbon Dioxide Removal Potential for the Global Pulp and Paper Industry

Muhammad Adnan Hayat, Amro Elshurafa

The pulp and paper industry is the fourth largest industrial energy user globally and presents significant carbon removal potential as a large portion of emissions from this industry are biogenic. The decarbonization potential of this industry has been discussed in…

Adnan Hayat, Muhammad

Elshurafa, Amro

The Race to Decarbonize Long-Haul Transport and the Lessons Learned for KSA

In May 2023, the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) organized a workshop titled “The race to decarbonize long-haul transport and the lessons learned for KSA” with the support of the University of Antwerp. The workshop aimed to…

Anticipating Trend Shifts in Oil Prices Using the Crude Oil Storage Index

Philipp Galkin, Jennifer Considine

The dynamics of crude oil prices have been characterized by a pronounced price trend, high-intensity jumps, and volatility. The price trend can be divided into three distinct categories: rising, falling, and “choppy sideways” or range bound in what is commonly…

Galkin, Philipp

Considine, Jennifer