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      Windfalls and Pitfalls: How Foreign Labor Strengthens Economic Resilience in GCC During Energy Transition

      Windfalls and Pitfalls: How Foreign Labor Strengthens Economic Resilience in GCC During Energy Transition

      Dramane Coulibaly, Fatih Karanfil, Luc Desire Omgba

      Governments in oil-dependent countries, particularly those in the Gulf, have launched broad and ambitious national plans to diversify their economies. While diversification reduces vulnerability to oil shocks, the expansion of renewables and the deregulation of domestic energy prices decrease domestic…

      Dramane Coulibaly Dramane Coulibaly
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      Luc Desire Omgba Luc Desire Omgba
      20 January 2025
      Energy Transition in Oil-Dependent Economies: Public Discount Rates for Investment Project Evaluation
      Evaluation of Public Investment Projects

      Energy Transition in Oil-Dependent Economies: Public Discount Rates for Investment Project Evaluation

      Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru

      The selection of welfare-enhancing projects necessitates the determination of the present value of cash flows from a public policy perspective. For an oil-exporting economy, the domestic energy transition often implies displacing oil from domestic consumption. Economic dependence on oil affects…

      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      Axel Pierru Pierru, Axel
      05 June 2024
      Fiscal Policy in Oil and Gas-Exporting Economies: Good Times, Bad Times and Ugly Times

      Fiscal Policy in Oil and Gas-Exporting Economies: Good Times, Bad Times and Ugly Times

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Fatih Karanfil

      Revenues from oil and gas exports represent an important source of government budgets in some emerging countries. At the same time, these revenues fluctuate considerably due to changing global economic conditions and energy prices. Economic theory prescribes that governments should…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      04 July 2023
      Fiscal Policy for Stability in Oil-Exporting Countries: From the Old Problems to the Challenges of COVID-19
      Energy and Economic Vulnerability

      Fiscal Policy for Stability in Oil-Exporting Countries: From the Old Problems to the Challenges of COVID-19

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Fatih Karanfil

      Since the Great Recession of 2008, oil-exporting countries have had to adjust their fiscal policies to respond to larger oil price variations and increased unpredictability. This commentary provides insights into the relationship between oil prices and fiscal policies in emerging…

      Olivier Durand-Lasserve Durand-Lasserve, Olivier
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      25 April 2021
      Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating a Global Oil Market with No Residual Supplier
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating a Global Oil Market with No Residual Supplier

      Bertrand Rioux, Abdullah AlJarboua, Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru, Shahd Alrashed, Colin Ward

      Structural changes in the global oil sector are disrupting conventional market dynamics and the roles played by competing and cooperating producers. Industry players are adjusting to the shale (or ‘tight’) oil revolution and the possibility of plateauing or peaking global…

      Bertrand Rioux Rioux, Bertrand
      Abdullah AlJarboua AlJarboua, Abdullah
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      Axel Pierru Pierru, Axel
      Shahd Alrashed Alrashed, Shahd
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      6 August 2020
      Simulating a Global Oil Market With No Residual Supplier
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Simulating a Global Oil Market With No Residual Supplier

      Bertrand Rioux, Abdullah AlJarboua, Fatih Karanfil, Axel Pierru, Shahd Alrashed, Colin Ward

      Motivation and objective of the study What if OPEC decided to abandon organizing residual production collectively, transitioning the world permanently to a competitive oil market? This commentary is based on a forthcoming KAPSARC paper, “Cooperate or Compete? Insights from Simulating…

      Bertrand Rioux Rioux, Bertrand
      Abdullah AlJarboua AlJarboua, Abdullah
      Fatih Karanfil Karanfil, Fatih
      Axel Pierru Pierru, Axel
      Shahd Alrashed Alrashed, Shahd
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      16 July 2020
      Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Migrant Workers in the Informal Sector and Spin-Off Effects in their Destination and Home Countries

      Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Migrant Workers in the Informal Sector and Spin-Off Effects in their Destination and Home Countries

      T20

      The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has posed major challenges to healthcare systems worldwide. It will also have long-lasting effects on the economy, pushing millions around the world into precarity and poverty. The already vulnerable will be hit even harder—the slum…

      Fatih Karanfil, Luc Desire Omgba, Mohamed Sharif Ahmed, Ana B. Moreno, Nhusha Vu, Dramane Coulibaly, Hind Kinani

      2020
      The Role of Oil in the Allocation of Foreign Aid: The Case of G7 Donors

      The Role of Oil in the Allocation of Foreign Aid: The Case of G7 Donors

      Science Direct

      Aid allocated by G7 donors increases significantly with oil endowment of recipient countries. Motivated by energy security concerns, G7 donors compete for oil resources in their provision of foreign aid.    

      Fatih Karanfil, Luc Desire Omgba, Eric Kilama Gabin, Cecile Couharde

      2019
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