Publications

Demand-side Modeling of Energy

Jeyhun Mikayilov

This entry gives a thorough overview of the concept of energy demand, including its forms and the different consumer groups associated with it. It outlines the theoretical underpinnings of how energy demand is shaped, and discusses the significance and justification…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Aligning Urban Growth with Climate Goals: Emission Drivers and Policy Responses in Saudi Arabia’s Building Sector

Fateh Belaïd, Jeyhun Mikayilov

This study combines an econometric analysis and a Monte Carlo simulation to explore the drivers of carbon dioxide (CO₂) emission reductions in the Saudi building sector, with a particular focus on energy efficiency. Historical data from 1990 to 2022 are…

Belaïd, Fateh

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Macroeconomic and Sectoral Effects of Natural Gas Price: Policy Insights from a Macroeconometric Model

Science Direct

Fakhri Hasanov, Muhammad Javid, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Rami Shabaneh, Abdulelah Darandary, Ryan Alyamani

Does the Income Elasticity of Energy Demand Vary with the Stages of Economic Development?

Nader AlKathiri, Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

This paper revisits the empirical evidence on the income elasticity of energy demand by investigating whether it varies with the level of economic development. Our analysis, based on a sample of 111 countries spanning three decades, reveals that the elasticity…

AlKathiri, Nader

Darandary, Abdulelah

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

How the Census-2022 Results Changed the Outlook for Electricity Demand

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Raed Al-Mestneer

This paper aims to address these discrepancies by reestimating an original empirical model of electricity demand using recently revised population data from GaStat (2024). The original model, which was developed by Mikayilov and Darandary (2024), relied on population data from…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Al-Mestneer, Raed

Does the Income Elasticity of Energy Demand Vary with the Stages of Economic Development?

Science Direct

Nader AlKathiri, Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Saudi Arabia’s Population Trends: Insights from the 2022 Census Revision

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Raghad Alotaibi

Having ­people as a main focal point of all policies and activities worldwide and at an individual country level sets a responsibility for all countries/institutions to have reliable information on the size, structure, and dynamics of the population that can…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Raghad Alotaibi

Residential Electricity Consumption and Rebound Effects in Saudi Arabia: Insights into Bridging the Energy Efficiency Gap

Fateh Belaïd, Jeyhun Mikayilov

The rebound effect refers to the phenomenon where energy efficiency improvements lead to increased energy consumption, offsetting some of the expected energy savings. This article aims to estimate the direct rebound effect of residential electricity consumption in Saudi Arabia and…

Belaïd, Fateh

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Modelling and Projecting Regional Electricity Demand for Saudi Arabia

Wiley Online Library

Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Driving Reductions in Emissions: Unlocking the Potential of Fuel Economy Targets in Saudi Arabia

Ibrahem Shatnawi, Jeyhun Mikayilov

The adoption of more stringent fuel economy standards represents a pivotal pathway toward achieving net zero emissions in the transportation sector. By steadily increasing the fuel efficiency of vehicles, this approach drives a gradual but consistent decline in emissions. When…

Shatnawi, Ibrahem

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Projecting Saudi Arabia’s CO2 Dynamic Baselines to 2060: A Multivariate Approach

The Energy Journal

Using an econometric model, we generate scenario projections of CO2 emissions under different sets of assumptions on the underlying drivers. These drivers include GDP, the energy price, economic structure, and the underlying emissions trend. Our baseline scenario projects that Saudi…

Abdulelah Darandary, Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Impacts of Regional Electricity Demand in Saudi Arabia A Study of the Government Sector

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abeer AlGhamdi

This research presents a comprehensive analysis of electricity demand factors in Saudi Arabia, focusing on the government sector across different regions.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

AlGhamdi, Abeer

Closing the Efficiency Gap: Insights into curbing the direct rebound effect of residential electricity consumption in Saudi Arabia

Science Direct

Fateh Belaïd, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Energy Price Reform to Mitigate Transportation Carbon Emissions in Oil-Rich Economies

Springer Link

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Rubal Dua

Impacts of Electricity Price Reform on Saudi Regional Fuel Consumption and CO2 Emissions

Science Direct

Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Salaheddine Soummane

Assessing the Impact of Electric Vehicle Penetration on Electricity Demand in Riyadh

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Marie Petitet, Rubal Dua

This paper aims to assess and estimate the impact of electric vehicle (EV) penetration on annual electricity demand, specifically in Riyadh, the capital city of Saudi Arabia. Such an assessment can yield significant insights for stakeholders, including policymakers, energy planners,…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Marie Petitet

Dua, Rubal

Modeling and forecasting industrial electricity demand for Saudi Arabia: Uncovering regional characteristics

Science Direct

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Ryan Alyamani, Abdulelah Darandary, Muhammad Javid, Fakhri Hasanov

Commercial Electricity Demand Modeling: Do Regional Differences Matter for Saudi Arabia?

Science Direct

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abdulelah Darandary

The Surge in Riyadh’s Population: Electricity Demand Implications

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Ryan Alyamani

The city of Riyadh, the capital and most populous city of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, is undergoing a makeover to become a global metropolis. Saudi Vision 2030 announced a wide range of projects in the city, placing it on…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Alyamani, Ryan

How Have Electricity Tariffs Evolved in Saudi Arabia Over the Last Half Century (1974 – 2023)?

Jeyhun Mikayilov

Gathering information nested in different sources and across years for all electricity consumer types and covering the most extended period, this Data Insight is a first and unique source for modelers and policymakers.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun