Publications

Modelling and Projecting Regional Electricity Demand for Saudi Arabia

Wiley Online Library

Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Driving Reductions in Emissions: Unlocking the Potential of Fuel Economy Targets in Saudi Arabia

Ibrahem Shatnawi, Jeyhun Mikayilov

The adoption of more stringent fuel economy standards represents a pivotal pathway toward achieving net zero emissions in the transportation sector. By steadily increasing the fuel efficiency of vehicles, this approach drives a gradual but consistent decline in emissions. When…

Ibrahem Shatnawi

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Projecting Saudi Arabia’s CO2 Dynamic Baselines to 2060: A Multivariate Approach

The Energy Journal

Using an econometric model, we generate scenario projections of CO2 emissions under different sets of assumptions on the underlying drivers. These drivers include GDP, the energy price, economic structure, and the underlying emissions trend. Our baseline scenario projects that Saudi…

Abdulelah Darandary, Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Impacts of Regional Electricity Demand in Saudi Arabia A Study of the Government Sector

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abeer AlGhamdi

This research presents a comprehensive analysis of electricity demand factors in Saudi Arabia, focusing on the government sector across different regions. The findings of the paper are summarized as follows:The findings show that income significantly impacts government sector electricity demand…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

AlGhamdi, Abeer

Closing the Efficiency Gap: Insights into curbing the direct rebound effect of residential electricity consumption in Saudi Arabia

Science Direct

Fateh Belaïd, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Energy Price Reform to Mitigate Transportation Carbon Emissions in Oil-Rich Economies

Springer Link

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Rubal Dua

Impacts of Electricity Price Reform on Saudi Regional Fuel Consumption and CO2 Emissions

Science Direct

Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Salaheddine Soummane

Assessing the Impact of Electric Vehicle Penetration on Electricity Demand in Riyadh

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Marie Petitet, Rubal Dua

This paper aims to assess and estimate the impact of electric vehicle (EV) penetration on annual electricity demand, specifically in Riyadh, the capital city of Saudi Arabia. Such an assessment can yield significant insights for stakeholders, including policymakers, energy planners,…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Marie Petitet

Dua, Rubal

Modeling and forecasting industrial electricity demand for Saudi Arabia: Uncovering regional characteristics

Science Direct

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Ryan Alyamani, Abdulelah Darandary, Muhammad Javid, Fakhri Hasanov

Commercial Electricity Demand Modeling: Do Regional Differences Matter for Saudi Arabia?

Science Direct

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abdulelah Darandary

The Surge in Riyadh’s Population: Electricity Demand Implications

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Ryan Alyamani

The city of Riyadh, the capital and most populous city of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, is undergoing a makeover to become a global metropolis. Saudi Vision 2030 announced a wide range of projects in the city, placing it on…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Alyamani, Ryan

How Have Electricity Tariffs Evolved in Saudi Arabia Over the Last Half Century (1974 – 2023)?

Jeyhun Mikayilov

Gathering information nested in different sources and across years for all electricity consumer types and covering the most extended period, this Data Insight is a first and unique source for modelers and policymakers.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Methane Emissions Baseline Forecasts for Saudi Arabia Using the Structural Time Series Model and Autometrics

Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Reducing methane (CH4) emissions is key to near-term efforts to limit global warming. CH4 is the second most abundant anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) in the atmosphere after carbon dioxide (CO2). The production, transport, and consumption of fossil fuels, in addition…

Gasim, Anwar

Hunt, Lester C.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Humidity Adjusted Cooling and Heating Degree Days in Saudi Arabia

Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

This data insight calculates the humidity-adjusted Cooling and Heating Degree Days for Saudi Arabia. This dataset can be used by researchers who model residential electricity demand, energy efficiency studies, and policymakers to base their potential policy scenarios on weather conditions.

Darandary, Abdulelah

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Modeling and Projecting Regional Electricity Demand for Saudi Arabia

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abdulelah Darandary

This paper utilizes a structural time series approach to model Saudi Arabia’s regional electricity demand, capturing undetected forces of variability in the data-generating process that include improvements in technology, energy-saving behavior, and other underlying trends that are excluded under conventional…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Darandary, Abdulelah

Commercial Electricity Demand Modeling: Do Regional Differences Matter?

Jeyhun Mikayilov, Abdulelah Darandary

One of the key benefits of understanding regional electricity consumption and its response to policy changes is enhancing the decision-making process. In Saudi Arabia, energy policies are set at the national level, and assessing their impacts at the regional level…

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Darandary, Abdulelah

Projecting Saudi Arabia’s CO2 Dynamic Baselines to 2060: A Multivariate Approach

Abdulelah Darandary, Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

As a party to the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit the global average temperature rise to below 2 degrees and keep it as close as possible to 1.5 degrees Celsius, Saudi Arabia has submitted its nationally determined contribution (NDC).…

Darandary, Abdulelah

Gasim, Anwar

Hunt, Lester C.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Methane Emissions Baseline Forecasts for Saudi Arabia Using the Structural Time Series Model and Autometrics

Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

Reducing methane (CH4) emissions is key to near-term efforts to limit global warming. CH4 is the second most abundant anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) in the atmosphere after carbon dioxide (CO2). The production, transport, and consumption of fossil fuels, in addition…

Gasim, Anwar

Hunt, Lester C.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Baseline Forecasts of Carbon Dioxide Emissions for Saudi Arabia Using the Structural Time Series Model and Autometrics

Anwar Gasim, Lester C. Hunt, Jeyhun Mikayilov

As a party to the Paris Agreement, Saudi Arabia submitted a baseline emissions reduction target as part of its nationally determined contribution. The baseline target rests on the development of a baseline emissions scenario. This is a counterfactual scenario that…

Gasim, Anwar

Hunt, Lester C.

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Macroeconomic and Sectoral Effects of the Natural Gas Price: Policy Insights from a Macroeconometric Model

Fakhri Hasanov, Muhammad Javid, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Rami Shabaneh, Abdulelah Darandary, Ryan Alyamani

Macroeconomic and sectoral assessment of the energy price reform (EPR) can provide policymakers with useful insights regarding price deregulation options. A key feature of this research that differentiates it from many other studies is its modeling framework. The framework first…

Hasanov, Fakhri

Javid, Muhammad

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Shabaneh, Rami

Darandary, Abdulelah

Alyamani, Ryan