Models, Data and Tools Assessing the Impact of Electric Vehicle Penetration on Electricity Demand in Riyadh Jeyhun Mikayilov, Marie Petitet, Rubal Dua This paper aims to assess and estimate the impact of electric vehicle (EV) penetration on annual electricity demand, specifically in Riyadh, the capital city of Saudi Arabia. Such an assessment can yield significant insights for stakeholders, including policymakers, energy planners,… Mikayilov, Jeyhun Marie Petitet Dua, Rubal
Consumer Preferences for Ride-hailing: Barriers to an Autonomous, Shared, and Electric Future Science Direct Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Estimating Car Price Elasticity Using an Inverse Product Differentiation Logit Model Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal, Jinghai Huo Since the seminal work of Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995), random coefficient logit (RCL) has become the workhorse model for estimating demand elasticities in markets with differentiated products using aggregated sales data. While the ability to represent flexible substitution patterns… Dua, Rubal Bansal, Prateek Jinghai Huo
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Worldwide intraregional and interregional air passenger traffic volume distribution Andres Felipe Guzman, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Rubal Dua Aviation, like other transport modes, is essential for the economy; it facilitates business and trade, allows people to connect with different regions/cities, and generate tourism. Air traffic at the country or regional level is quite interesting by analyzing and comparing… Felipe Guzman, Andres Alwosheel, Abdulrahman Dua, Rubal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Worldwide Intraregional and Interregional Air Freight Traffic Volume Distribution Andres Felipe Guzman, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Rubal Dua Freight by air does not comprise a significant share of the worldwide tonnage due to its cost compared to land (road and rail) and sea transport. However, air freight is important for commodities that either have high values or are… Felipe Guzman, Andres Alwosheel, Abdulrahman Dua, Rubal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Aerodynamic Improvement Technologies for Road Freight Transport in Saudi Arabia Xun Xu, Rubal Dua For the last several decades, road freight transport has been one of the fastest growing energy- and oil-consuming sectors in Saudi Arabia. With sustainability being one of the key pillars of Vision 2030 and given the Kingdom’s commitment to achieving… Xu, Xun Dua, Rubal
Expert Survey Assessment of Emerging Maritime Decarbonization Challenges and Priorities Rubal Dua, Ahm Mehbub Anwar The decarbonization of the maritime sector has emerged as a global concern due to the shipping sector’s 3% contribution to world’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Notably, the latest developments involving the adoption of more ambitious GHG reduction targets by… Dua, Rubal Anwar, Ahm Mehbub
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Future Fuel Demand From the Saudi Shipping Sector: A Business-as-Usual Estimation Ahm Mehbub Anwar, Rubal Dua, Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Nora Nezamuddin The purpose of this commentary is to suggest a rough estimation of future exports and corresponding fuel consumption of the Saudi shipping sector up to 2040. For estimation purposes, we use two assumptions: A global average energy intensity of 0.078… Anwar, Ahm Mehbub Dua, Rubal Alwosheel, Abdulrahman Nezamuddin, Nora
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Estimating Regional Variation in Saudi Arabia’s Energy Usage and Carbon Emissions Abdulrahman Alwosheel, Rubal Dua Estimates of regional energy consumption and carbon emissions could be useful for agencies investigating the effects of regionally targeted investments and policy interventions. Using gasoline consumption in Saudi Arabia as a case study, we develop two approaches for estimating the… Alwosheel, Abdulrahman Dua, Rubal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Challenges Facing the Circular Economy That Aims to Improve Electric Vehicle Sector Sustainability Rubal Dua Governments around the world are increasingly focusing on the future of transportation, particularly road transportation, to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and local air pollution. As the shift to low-carbon transportation continues, the sales of electric vehicles (EVs) are expected… Dua, Rubal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand The Dynamic Role of Subsidies in Promoting Global Electric Vehicle Sales Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua We offer the most comprehensive analysis to date of global plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) subsidies. We accomplish this by estimating vehicle choice models for 23 countries using 2010–2019 sales data and using counterfactual simulations to assess the cost-effectiveness of PEV… Sheldon, Tamara Dua, Rubal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Choosing to Diet: The Impact and Cost-effectiveness of China’s Vehicle Ownership Restrictions Anthony Liu, Rubal Dua, Wei-min Hu, Arthur Lin Ku Can voluntary carbon emission reduction pledges, such as the nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement, result in significant emission reductions? According to prominent experts such as Nordhaus (2015), Barrett (2005), and Weitzman (2019), free-riding is unavoidable in cooperative situations… Anthony Liu Dua, Rubal Wei-min Hu Arthur Lin Ku
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand How Responsive Are New Car Buyers in India and China to Factors Driving Fuel Consumption? Prateek Bansal, Rubal Dua China and India, the world’s two most populous developing economies, are also among the largest automotive markets and carbon emitters. To reduce carbon emissions from the passenger car sector, both countries have considered various policy levers that affect fuel price,… Bansal, Prateek Dua, Rubal
Electric Vehicle Subsidies: Time to Accelerate or Pump the Brakes? Science Direct Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon, Omar Al Harbi
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Can Circularity-Based Approaches Prevent a Cobalt Supply Shortfall? Rubal Dua Electric vehicle batteries rely heavily on a small number of critical minerals, including cobalt. Cobalt metal prices have doubled over the past year as a result of a mismatch between supply and demand, particularly for electric car batteries (Hume 2022). Dua, Rubal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Is the Recent Price Spike in Electric Vehicle Lithium-Ion Battery Packs Temporary or the Start of a New Trend? Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal, Juliet Akamboe Most nations are evaluating vehicle electrification as a way to decarbonize their passenger car sectors. To make electric vehicles competitive with conventional vehicles for cost-conscious consumers, the upfront purchase price of electric vehicles needs to fall. The battery pack is… Dua, Rubal Bansal, Prateek Juliet Akamboe
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Bans on the Sale of Gasoline- And Diesel-Powered Vehicles: Why Are Policymakers Favoring Commandand- Control to the Point of Banning, and Does It Send Unintended Policy Signals? Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal In recent years, the adoption of command-and-control policies, from mandating sales of zero-tailpipe-emission vehicles all the way to prohibiting future sales of gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles via tailpipe carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions standards or otherwise, has gained momentum globally in… Dua, Rubal Bansal, Prateek
Choosing to Diet: The Impact and Cost-effectiveness of China’s Vehicle Ownership Restrictions Science Direct Rubal Dua, Arthur Lin Ku, Antung Liu, Wei-min Hu
Fuel Consumption Elasticities, Rebound Effect and Feebate Effectiveness in the Indian and Chinese New Car Markets Science Direct Rubal Dua, Prateek Bansal
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand How Long Will the Semiconductor Crisis Affect the Traditional Automotive Sector? Implications for car fuel demand Rubal Dua, Hamid M. Al Sadoon, Majed A. Al Suwailem The 2020 semiconductor crisis has hit the automotive sector, as well as many other sectors. As a consequence of the COVID-19-induced shock, a worldwide semiconductor supply-demand imbalance arose between 2020 and 2022. Demand grew by around 17% annually while manufacturing… Dua, Rubal Al Sadoon, Hamid M. Al Suwailem, Majed A.