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      Forecasting Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil GDP Using a Bayesian Mixed Frequency VAR
      Energy and Economic Vulnerability

      Forecasting Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil GDP Using a Bayesian Mixed Frequency VAR

      Jeremy Rothfield, Mansour Al Rajhi

      Bayesian vector autoregressions have been used by central banks to prepare short-term projections of quarterly GDP and other macroeconomic variables. The Bayesian approach offers the advantage that a researcher can use a priori knowledge to specify a prior distribution of…

      Jeremy Rothfield Rothfield, Jeremy
      Mansour Al Rajhi Mansour Al Rajhi
      23 May 2024
      Household Expenditure Survey, Housing and Energy Costs in Saudi Arabia
      Productivity and Economic Diversification

      Household Expenditure Survey, Housing and Energy Costs in Saudi Arabia

      Zlata Sergeeva, Jeremy Rothfield

      The Household Income and Expenditure Survey for Saudi Arabia was conducted by statistical agency GASTAT in 1999, 2007, 2013 and 2018. In this economic commentary, we discuss some of the key findings and developments over the period under consideration. We…

      Zlata Sergeeva Sergeeva, Zlata
      Jeremy Rothfield Rothfield, Jeremy
      22 October 2023
      Saudi Arabia’s Input-Output Table: Computing Type I Multiplier
      Productivity and Economic Diversification

      Saudi Arabia’s Input-Output Table: Computing Type I Multiplier

      Abdulelah Darandary, Jeremy Rothfield

      The General Authority of Statistics of Saudi Arabia has released the input-output tables this year for 2018, 2019, and 2020 (GaStat, 2022). These releases have extended the number of sectors representing the Saudi Arabian economy to 20 from the 13…

      Abdulelah Darandary Darandary, Abdulelah
      Jeremy Rothfield Rothfield, Jeremy
      5 September 2023
      Seasonal Adjustment of GDP Time Series – Private Sector Component
      Models, Data and Tools

      Seasonal Adjustment of GDP Time Series – Private Sector Component

      Jeremy Rothfield, Mansour Al Rajhi

      The General Authority for Statistics (GaStat) categorizes Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product (GDP) into institutional oil and non-oil segments. The institutional non-oil segment can be further broken down into institutional government and institutional private sectors. For analysts, the seasonal adjustment…

      Jeremy Rothfield Rothfield, Jeremy
      Mansour Al Rajhi Mansour Al Rajhi