34 results

India’s Increasing Imports of Crude Oil
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

India’s Increasing Imports of Crude Oil

Yagyavalk Bhatt

Surging global benchmark crude oil rates, tied with a depreciating Indian rupee against the United States dollar (US$) and India’s increasing dependence on crude oil imports, are likely to push India’s crude oil import bill higher. This insight sheds light…

Yagyavalk Bhatt Bhatt, Yagyavalk
September 18, 2019
India’s Oil Imports: Achilles’ Heel or Economic Javelin?
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

India’s Oil Imports: Achilles’ Heel or Economic Javelin?

Yagyavalk Bhatt, Paul Mollet, Jitendra Roychoudhury

Presenting India’s 2019 budget on July 5, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman sketched out the Modi government’s vision of becoming a $5 trillion economy by 2024, almost doubling the country’s current gross domestic product (GDP) of $2.73 trillion. To achieve this…

Yagyavalk Bhatt Bhatt, Yagyavalk
Paul Mollet Mollet, Paul
Jitendra Roychoudhury Roychoudhury, Jitendra
August 21, 2019
Impact of China’s Plug-In Electric Vehicle Subsidy Reduction
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Impact of China’s Plug-In Electric Vehicle Subsidy Reduction

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

China, the world’s largest emitter of carbon dioxide, has set ambitious climate goals. These include reducing the carbon intensity of its 2005 gross domestic product (GDP) by 40-45% by 2020 and by 60-65% by 2030 (Xu, Chen, and Chen 2017). A key…

Tamara Sheldon Sheldon, Tamara
Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
July 17, 2019
Estimating Freight Transport Activity Using Nighttime Lights Satellite Data in China, India and Saudi Arabia
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Estimating Freight Transport Activity Using Nighttime Lights Satellite Data in China, India and Saudi Arabia

Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz, Nora Nezamuddin, Abdelrahman Muhsen

This paper focuses on the methodology for estimating total freight transport activity (FTA) for three countries  — China, India and Saudi Arabia  — with the objective of building on current state-of-the-art transportation modeling in three key areas: Studying the relationship…

Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz Lopez-Ruiz, Hector G.
Nora Nezamuddin Nezamuddin, Nora
Abdelrahman Muhsen Muhsen, Abdelrahman
May 9, 2019
The Impacts of Industrialization on Freight Movement in China
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

The Impacts of Industrialization on Freight Movement in China

Dongmei Chen, Yagyavalk Bhatt

China’s rapid economic growth has enabled the fast development of freight transport across the country. What might the impact of future economic growth be on freight movement in China? To answer this question, this paper establishes the link between key…

Dongmei Chen Chen, Dongmei
Yagyavalk Bhatt Bhatt, Yagyavalk
May 9, 2019
Policy Levers for Promoting Fuel-Efficient Mobility
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Policy Levers for Promoting Fuel-Efficient Mobility

Personal automotive travel is associated with many negative externalities, including air pollution, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and traffic congestion. The current cost of driving for motorists does not necessarily account for the costs associated with these externalities. Policymakers are employing…

May 2, 2019
Drivers of New Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Fuel Economy in Saudi Arabia
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Drivers of New Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Fuel Economy in Saudi Arabia

Rubal Dua, Tamara Sheldon

This paper investigates the drivers of recent improvements in Saudi Arabia’s new light-duty vehicle fleet fuel economy. A vehicle choice model is estimated using aggregate and disaggregate new vehicle purchase data. The estimates are used to simulate counterfactual policy scenarios.…

Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
Tamara Sheldon Sheldon, Tamara
April 30, 2019
Data Insight: Transportation
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand Models, Data and Tools

Data Insight: Transportation

Abeer AlGhamdi

We have launched a new series of Data Insights which aim to share topical insights and data on a range of interesting themes. The first insight of the series is focused on Saudi Arabia’s passenger and freight railway network.

Abeer AlGhamdi AlGhamdi, Abeer
September 27, 2018
Gasoline savings from clean vehicle adoption
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Gasoline savings from clean vehicle adoption

Energy Policy

Conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating the costs of securing associated environmental benefits. Using a large-scale nationally representative sample of U.S. new car buyers, we propose a choice model-based counterfactual approach…

Tamara Sheldon, Rubal Dua

2018
The Future of Transportation Energy Demand for Freight in Fast-Growing Economies
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

The Future of Transportation Energy Demand for Freight in Fast-Growing Economies

Over the last decade, India and China have become leading consumers of energy, especially oil, with freight transportation accounting for a large portion. The growth in total transport energy use is directly correlated with the fast-paced urbanization and industrialization of…

June 1, 2018
Vehicle Retirement and Replacement Policy: Assessing Impact and Cost-Effectiveness
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Vehicle Retirement and Replacement Policy: Assessing Impact and Cost-Effectiveness

Rubal Dua

Governments across the world, motivated by air quality improvement or by climate change mitigation goals, are trying to accelerate the turnover of older, higher-emitting vehicles and replace these with lower emission vehicles. One approach is to encourage consumers to scrap…

Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
May 24, 2018
Measuring the Cost-Effectiveness of Clean Vehicle Subsidies
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Measuring the Cost-Effectiveness of Clean Vehicle Subsidies

Rubal Dua

Demand-side policies, including rebates, sales tax exemptions, and tax credits promote clean vehicle adoption, with the goal of reducing local air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Limited research to date on their cost-effectiveness and efficiency suggests such subsidies are…

Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
May 10, 2018
Policy Levers for Promoting Sustainable Mobility
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Policy Levers for Promoting Sustainable Mobility

An effective transport policy framework would take into account the costs of rising local pollution, congestion, accidents and global greenhouse gas emissions. The various supply- and demand- side transformations happening in personal mobility provide policymakers with opportunities and challenges for…

February 28, 2018
Gasoline Savings From Clean Vehicle Adoption
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Gasoline Savings From Clean Vehicle Adoption

Rubal Dua

Without the option to purchase plug-in electric and/or hybrid vehicles, conventional counterfactuals used in literature may underestimate the fuel savings from clean vehicle adoption, thus overestimating the costs of securing associated environmental benefits. Using a nationally representative sample of new…

Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
January 16, 2018
Welfare Implications of the Rebound Effect From More Energy-Efficient Passenger Cars
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Welfare Implications of the Rebound Effect From More Energy-Efficient Passenger Cars

Anwar Gasim, Ziyad Alfawzan

Improving the energy efficiency of passenger cars makes it cheaper to drive, allowing motorists to take to the roads more frequently. This additional driving, which offsets some of the expected energy savings from energy efficiency, is known as the rebound…

Anwar Gasim Gasim, Anwar
Ziyad Alfawzan Alfawzan, Ziyad
October 30, 2017
Will Current Electric Vehicle Policy Lead to Cost-Effective Electrification of Passenger Car Transport?
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Will Current Electric Vehicle Policy Lead to Cost-Effective Electrification of Passenger Car Transport?

Green Energy and Technology

Encouraged by the falling cost of batteries, electric vehicle (EV) policy today focuses on accelerating electrification of passenger cars, paying comparatively little attention to the cost of the particular type of EVs and charging infrastructure deployed. This chapter first discusses…

Marcello Contestabile, Mohammed Alajaji

2017
Understanding demand for hybrid and electric vehicles using large-scale consumer profile data
Future of Transport and Fuel Demand

Understanding demand for hybrid and electric vehicles using large-scale consumer profile data

Rubal Dua, Kenneth White

Consumer adoption of hybrid and electric vehicles is a crucial step in improving energy utilization and reducing emissions from the transportation sector. To promote adoption, U.S. policymakers have employed supply-side policies such as Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions/Corporate Average Fuel Economy…

Rubal Dua Dua, Rubal
Kenneth White White, Kenneth
October 9, 2017