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      Analyzing the Effects of Saudi Arabia’s Economic Reforms Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model
      Models, Data and Tools

      Analyzing the Effects of Saudi Arabia’s Economic Reforms Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model

      Jorge Blazquez, Marzio Galeotti, Baltasar Manzano, Axel Pierru, Shreekar Pradhan

      Saudi Arabia is the world’s second-largest holder of proved oil reserves and the second-largest producer of petroleum liquids. The country is the largest exporter of crude oil, with a share of 16% of total crude oil exports in 2017. Saudi Arabia’s…

      Jorge Blazquez Blazquez, Jorge
      Marzio Galeotti Galeotti, Marzio
      Baltasar Manzano Manzano, Baltasar
      Axel Pierru Pierru, Axel
      Shreekar Pradhan Pradhan, Shreekar
      21st May 2020
      Electricity Demand Modeling in Saudi Arabia: Do Regional Differences Matter
      Models, Data and Tools

      Electricity Demand Modeling in Saudi Arabia: Do Regional Differences Matter

      Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fakhri Hasanov, Waheed Olagunju, Mohammad H. Al-Shehri

      Energy is a pervasive input to all business and recreational activities. As such, total energy demand is an important indicator that helps explain the pattern of economic development within a country. Identifying and understanding the key determinants of electricity demand…

      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      Waheed Olagunju Waheed Olagunju
      Mohammad H. Al-Shehri Mohammad H. Al-Shehri
      30th April 2020
      Is Saudi Arabia Getting Warmer?
      Electricity Sector Transitions Climate Change Policies and Governance Models, Data and Tools

      Is Saudi Arabia Getting Warmer?

      Nawaz Peerbocus, Hatem Al Atawi, Turki Alaqeel, Abdulrahman AlJulaifi

      According to NASA, the world is getting warmer. Warmer weather increases the demand for cooling, which subsequently increases the demand for electricity. Is Saudi Arabia getting warmer? And how might this impact the demand for electricity in the Kingdom? To…

      Nawaz Peerbocus Peerbocus, Nawaz
      Hatem Al Atawi Al Atawi, Hatem
      Turki Alaqeel Alaqeel, Turki
      Abdulrahman AlJulaifi AlJulaifi, Abdulrahman
      6th April 2020
      KGEMM:  A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia
      Models, Data and Tools

      KGEMM: A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia

      Fakhri Hasanov, Fred Joutz, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Muhammad Javid

      The KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM), is a policy analysis tool for examining the impacts of domestic policy measures and global economic and energy shocks on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      Fred Joutz Joutz, Fred
      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Muhammad Javid Muhammad Javid
      13th February 2020
      Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia: Are the Price and Income Elasticities Constant?
      Models, Data and Tools

      Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia: Are the Price and Income Elasticities Constant?

      Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fred Joutz, Fakhri Hasanov

      After the drop in international oil prices in 2014, oil-exporting countries started to launch new policies to develop their economies. It is important that policymakers involved in energy and economic development understand how economic agents respond to increased energy prices…

      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Fred Joutz Joutz, Fred
      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      26th December 2019
      Residential Electricity Price Reforms: Are Different Income Groups and Regions Impacted Equally?
      Models, Data and Tools

      Residential Electricity Price Reforms: Are Different Income Groups and Regions Impacted Equally?

      Ryan Alyamani, Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fakhri Hasanov

      The government of Saudi Arabia has successfully reduced the country’s energy intensity, helped by its establishment of the Saudi Energy Efficiency Center (SEEC) and a series of energy price reforms (EPR) that began in 2016. However, how households have responded…

      Ryan Alyamani Alyamani, Ryan
      Abdulelah Darandary Darandary, Abdulelah
      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      15th December 2019
      The Changing Impact of Income and Price on Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia
      Models, Data and Tools

      The Changing Impact of Income and Price on Gasoline Demand in Saudi Arabia

      Jeyhun Mikayilov, Fred Joutz, Fakhri Hasanov

      The growth path of gasoline demand, a key strategic fuel, has important implications for oil security, oil-related carbon emissions, and refinery investment (Dahl 2012). As such, understanding how fluctuations in income and gasoline prices could affect the demand for oil…

      Jeyhun Mikayilov Mikayilov, Jeyhun
      Fred Joutz Joutz, Fred
      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      11th December 2019
      Theoretical Framework for Industrial Electricity Consumption Revisited
      Models, Data and Tools

      Theoretical Framework for Industrial Electricity Consumption Revisited

      Fakhri Hasanov

      Policymakers should expect that the energy price reform in Saudi Arabia will reduce industrial electricity consumption. However, this reduction will be slight as the price effect is found to be very small. At the same time, policymakers should be aware…

      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      24th November 2019
      Can Japanese Nuclear Power Be Restarted Sooner? A Simulation of Alternative Scenarios
      Models, Data and Tools

      Can Japanese Nuclear Power Be Restarted Sooner? A Simulation of Alternative Scenarios

      Saleh Al Muhanna, Imtenan Al-Mubarak, Brian Efird, Faisal Al-Ghamdi

      This study assesses whether there are politically plausible paths to more quickly gain support for restarting Japanese nuclear power plants and considers alternative scenarios. It builds on the 2018 KAPSARC discussion paper, “The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power,”…

      Saleh Al Muhanna Al Muhanna, Saleh
      Imtenan Al-Mubarak Al-Mubarak, Imtenan
      Brian Efird Efird, Brian
      Faisal Al-Ghamdi Al-Ghamdi, Faisal
      27th October 2019
      KAPSARC’s Contribution to Evaluating the Impact of Price Controls
      Regional Energy Markets Models, Data and Tools

      KAPSARC’s Contribution to Evaluating the Impact of Price Controls

      Axel Pierru, Walid Matar

      The European Journal of Operational Research has just published a paper, “Measuring the effects of price controls using mixed complementarity models” (2019). It detailed a series of innovative modeling approaches developed by KAPSARC researchers over the last six years. The…

      Axel Pierru Pierru, Axel
      Walid Matar Matar, Walid
      1st September 2019
      An Economic Analysis of China’s Domestic Crude Oil Supply Policies
      Models, Data and Tools

      An Economic Analysis of China’s Domestic Crude Oil Supply Policies

      Bertrand Rioux, Philipp Galkin, Kang Wu

      China’s domestic oil production has lagged the rapid growth in the country’s oil consumption since 2000, leading to a large, and growing, reliance on crude imports to meet demand. Factors including China’s current market structure and regulatory environment impede further…

      Bertrand Rioux Rioux, Bertrand
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Kang Wu Wu, Kang
      28th May 2019
      Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market
      Models, Data and Tools

      Iran Sanctions: Implications for the Oil Market

      Carlo Andrea Bollino, Brian Efird, Fakhri Hasanov, Emre Hatipoglu

      United States (U.S.) Iran energy sanction waivers expired May 2, 2019. The waivers permitted eight economies (China, Greece, India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Turkey) to temporarily continue buying oil from Iran. Based on KAPSARC modeling of the political…

      Carlo Andrea Bollino Bollino, Carlo Andrea
      Brian Efird Efird, Brian
      Fakhri Hasanov Hasanov, Fakhri
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      9th May 2019
      Estimating the Impact of Energy Price Reform on Saudi Arabian Intergenerational Welfare using the MEGIR-SA Model
      Models, Data and Tools Energy and Economic Vulnerability

      Estimating the Impact of Energy Price Reform on Saudi Arabian Intergenerational Welfare using the MEGIR-SA Model

      Energy Journal

      This paper investigates the intergenerational welfare impact of raising state administered retail energy prices in Saudi Arabia, an example of an oil exporting country with a fast growing population. To achieve this, we develop a dynamic model with overlapping generations (called MEGIR-SA), which…

      Frederic Gonand, Fakhri Hasanov, Lester C. Hunt

      2019
      Electricity Tariff Changes in Saudi Arabia 1974-2018
      Models, Data and Tools Regional Energy Markets

      Electricity Tariff Changes in Saudi Arabia 1974-2018

      Abeer AlGhamdi

      The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s households account for around 50% of national power consumption, with more than 7 million residential customers in 2017. The majority of this power is used for air conditioning and cooling systems due to the climate…

      Abeer AlGhamdi AlGhamdi, Abeer
      30th January 2019
      The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power Plants
      Models, Data and Tools Electricity Sector Transitions

      The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power Plants

      Brian Efird, Saleh Al Muhanna, Imtenan Al-Mubarak, Shahad Turkistani, Faisal Al-Ghamdi

      The Japanese government’s decision to continue restarting nuclear power is shaped by a combination of domestic political concerns, energy security challenges, and its ability to meet climate change commitments and targets. Nuclear power plants have started to come back online,…

      Brian Efird Efird, Brian
      Saleh Al Muhanna Al Muhanna, Saleh
      Imtenan Al-Mubarak Al-Mubarak, Imtenan
      Shahad Turkistani Turkistani, Shahad
      Faisal Al-Ghamdi Al-Ghamdi, Faisal
      31st December 2018
      India’s Balancing Act to Address Climate Change Under the Paris Agreement
      Climate Change Policies and Governance Models, Data and Tools

      India’s Balancing Act to Address Climate Change Under the Paris Agreement

      Yagyavalk Bhatt, AlJawhara Al Quayid, Nourah Al Hosain, Paul Mollet

      As an emerging economy, a major part of India’s nationally determined contribution (NDC) under the Paris  Agreement is an emissions intensity target. With its current policies, India is on track to achieve its climate targets under the Agreement. However, the…

      Yagyavalk Bhatt Bhatt, Yagyavalk
      AlJawhara Al Quayid Al Quayid, AlJawhara
      Nourah Al Hosain Al Hosain, Nourah
      Paul Mollet Mollet, Paul
      12th December 2018
      Oil and Oil-related Products Exported via Saudi Ports
      Models, Data and Tools

      Oil and Oil-related Products Exported via Saudi Ports

      Abeer AlGhamdi

      Saudi Arabia ranks as the world’s largest exporter of crude oil and petroleum products; the oil and gas sector accounts for about 70 percent of export earnings. Ras Tanura and Yanbu are the major oil-exporting ports in Saudi Arabia, accounting…

      Abeer AlGhamdi AlGhamdi, Abeer
      1st November 2018