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      Capturing the Value From Supply-Side Shocks in the Heavy Crude Market
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Capturing the Value From Supply-Side Shocks in the Heavy Crude Market

      Philipp Galkin, Jennifer Considine, Evar Umeozor

      The Russian-Ukraine conflict and sanctions on Russian crude oil flows have significantly affected world oil markets. Price volatility has increased, flows have been re-directed and there is considerable uncertainty concerning future energy policy. The implications of these changes affect all…

      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Evar Umeozor Umeozor, Evar
      29th January 2023
      The G7 Pricing Scheme, an Exercise in Monopsony Power
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The G7 Pricing Scheme, an Exercise in Monopsony Power

      Carlo Andrea Bollino, Jennifer Considine

      High in the Bavarian Alps, at a special security session, G7 leaders set out to devise an ambitious plan to sanction Russian energy sales. The intent was to reduce Russian profits from oil and gas sales, while minimizing the damage…

      Carlo Andrea Bollino Bollino, Carlo Andrea
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      17th January 2023
      The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy

      Abdullah Aldayel, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu, Colin Ward

      On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, which quickly escalated into a militarized conflict across multiple fronts. The act drew immediate disapproval from the United Nations and led most members of the Western alliance to…

      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      10th October 2022
      Global Crude Oil Storage Index: A New Benchmark for Energy Policy
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Global Crude Oil Storage Index: A New Benchmark for Energy Policy

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      The global oil market dwarfs other commodity markets. Its size and role in the energy and industrial value chains underscore its significant economic and geopolitical impacts. Thus, the consequences of oil price fluctuations extend far beyond the oil industry and…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      13th September 2022
      Extreme Market Distortions Canadian Crude Oil Flows

      Extreme Market Distortions Canadian Crude Oil Flows

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      With extensive natural resources and strategic access to both the Atlantic and Pacific basins, Canada has the potential to become a global energy powerhouse – provided that the nation is successful in alleviating its infrastructure bottlenecks. According to the United…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      27th December 2020
      World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel, Emre Hatipoglu

      Despite numerous journal articles, forecasting studies, and books, very little is known about the actual quantitative value, or economic cost, of shocks to world oil markets. The potential consequences of a given political or economic disturbance are unclear, and appear…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      10th June 2020
      Market Structure, Inventories and Oil Prices: An Empirical Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Market Structure, Inventories and Oil Prices: An Empirical Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      Understanding the relationship between crude oil prices and inventory levels is critical for policymakers and economic actors. The size of the ‘basis,’ or spread between spot and futures prices, reflects the level of inventories and can trigger arbitrage trading. The…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      24th February 2020
      Placing a Value on Spot Sales from a Joint Oil Stockpiling Facility
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Placing a Value on Spot Sales from a Joint Oil Stockpiling Facility

      Jennifer Considine, Kang Wu, Ziyad Alfawzan, Sammy Six

      In this paper, joint oil stockpiling (JOS) refers to a commercial arrangement whereby crude oil, owned and commercially traded by an exporting country, is stored in an importing country in exchange for priority drawdown by the host country in the…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Kang Wu Wu, Kang
      Ziyad Alfawzan Alfawzan, Ziyad
      Sammy Six Six, Sammy
      23rd January 2020
      The Value of Spot Sales to a Producing Country Subject to Production Quotas
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Value of Spot Sales to a Producing Country Subject to Production Quotas

      Jennifer Considine, Kang Wu, Abdullah Aldayel

      In recent years, global oil markets have experienced intensified competition driven by growing surpluses of lighter crude and shale oil. As their margins have shrunk, many producers have increased output in order to boost revenue, adding to the oversupply. Meanwhile,…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Kang Wu Wu, Kang
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      16th January 2020
      The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

      The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

      Abdullah Aldayel, AlJawhara Al Quayid, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu

      After decades of relatively smooth trade liberalization, a wave of protectionist measures and a global trade war is now threatening world trade. On September 1, 2019, the United States (U.S.) imposed a new series of tariffs on Chinese imports worth…

      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      AlJawhara Al Quayid Al Quayid, AlJawhara
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      4th December 2019
      A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      A Short-Term Forecasting Model for Brent Oil Prices

      Hamid M. Al Sadoon, Colin Ward, Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel

      The KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO) has been designed to provide readers with a timely source of data, forecasts and analysis of world oil markets, including an understanding of the key factors affecting world oil prices. This paper gives a…

      Hamid M. Al Sadoon Al Sadoon, Hamid M.
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      20th October 2019
      The Demise of the Energy Marketing Industry: An Industry in Decline?

      The Demise of the Energy Marketing Industry: An Industry in Decline?

      Oilweek, (Calgary: June Warren Publishing Ltd.)

      Jennifer Considine

      2003
      Real Options Valuation and Energy Markets

      Real Options Valuation and Energy Markets

      Risk Magazine (London: Risk Waters Group)

      Jennifer Considine

      2003
      Transformation and Reform in the Russian Energy Sector

      Transformation and Reform in the Russian Energy Sector

      Joint Project on Revitalizing Russian Industry, University of Calgary—Gorbachev Foundation Public Policy Project (UCGF’99)

      Jennifer Considine

      2002