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      Is the Shale Oil “Rush” Over?
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Is the Shale Oil “Rush” Over?

      Majed A. Al Suwailem, Colin Ward, Jennifer Considine, Julio Arboleda, Hamid M. Al Sadoon

      The California Gold Rush was a time of exuberance and technological development in the mining sector and exhibits significant parallels with shale development that are worth exploring. The “easy” wins of the pioneers gave way to larger organizations with better…

      Majed A. Al Suwailem Al Suwailem, Majed A.
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Julio Arboleda Arboleda, Julio
      Hamid M. Al Sadoon Al Sadoon, Hamid M.
      20 November 2023
      World Oil and Critical Mineral Study: A Global VAR Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      World Oil and Critical Mineral Study: A Global VAR Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel, Philipp Galkin, Emre Hatipoglu

      Critical minerals (CMs), such as lithium, cobalt, nickel, and rare earth metals, are essential for the development of clean energy technologies across the whole value chain of wind and solar power, electricity networks, and electric vehicles (EVs). Demand for these…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      26 September 2023
      Reconsidering Inventories: An International Strategy for Strategic Storage Assets
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Reconsidering Inventories: An International Strategy for Strategic Storage Assets

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Majed A. Al Suwailem, Abdullah Aldayel

      The purpose of this report is to recommend an interconnected regional and international strategy to share the burden of developing and maintaining commercial and strategic storage infrastructure for Saudi crude oil and products through an alliance with the Gulf Cooperation…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Majed A. Al Suwailem Al Suwailem, Majed A.
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      26 September 2023
      Capturing the Value From Supply-Side Shocks in the Heavy Crude Market
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Capturing the Value From Supply-Side Shocks in the Heavy Crude Market

      Philipp Galkin, Jennifer Considine, Evar Umeozor

      The Russian-Ukraine conflict and sanctions on Russian crude oil flows have significantly affected world oil markets. Price volatility has increased, flows have been re-directed and there is considerable uncertainty concerning future energy policy. The implications of these changes affect all…

      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Evar Umeozor Umeozor, Evar
      29 January 2023
      The G7 Pricing Scheme, an Exercise in Monopsony Power
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The G7 Pricing Scheme, an Exercise in Monopsony Power

      Carlo Andrea Bollino, Jennifer Considine

      High in the Bavarian Alps, at a special security session, G7 leaders set out to devise an ambitious plan to sanction Russian energy sales. The intent was to reduce Russian profits from oil and gas sales, while minimizing the damage…

      Carlo Andrea Bollino Bollino, Carlo Andrea
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      17 January 2023
      The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Effects of Russian Sanctions on the Global Economy

      Abdullah Aldayel, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu, Colin Ward

      On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, which quickly escalated into a militarized conflict across multiple fronts. The act drew immediate disapproval from the United Nations and led most members of the Western alliance to…

      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      Colin Ward Ward, Colin
      10 October 2022
      Global Crude Oil Storage Index: A New Benchmark for Energy Policy
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Global Crude Oil Storage Index: A New Benchmark for Energy Policy

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      The global oil market dwarfs other commodity markets. Its size and role in the energy and industrial value chains underscore its significant economic and geopolitical impacts. Thus, the consequences of oil price fluctuations extend far beyond the oil industry and…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      13 September 2022
      Extreme Market Distortions Canadian Crude Oil Flows

      Extreme Market Distortions Canadian Crude Oil Flows

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      With extensive natural resources and strategic access to both the Atlantic and Pacific basins, Canada has the potential to become a global energy powerhouse – provided that the nation is successful in alleviating its infrastructure bottlenecks. According to the United…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      27 December 2020
      World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      World Oil and Inventory Study: A Global VAR Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Abdullah Aldayel, Emre Hatipoglu

      Despite numerous journal articles, forecasting studies, and books, very little is known about the actual quantitative value, or economic cost, of shocks to world oil markets. The potential consequences of a given political or economic disturbance are unclear, and appear…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      10 June 2020
      Market Structure, Inventories and Oil Prices: An Empirical Analysis
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Market Structure, Inventories and Oil Prices: An Empirical Analysis

      Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Abdullah Aldayel

      Understanding the relationship between crude oil prices and inventory levels is critical for policymakers and economic actors. The size of the ‘basis,’ or spread between spot and futures prices, reflects the level of inventories and can trigger arbitrage trading. The…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Philipp Galkin Galkin, Philipp
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      24 February 2020
      Placing a Value on Spot Sales from a Joint Oil Stockpiling Facility
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      Placing a Value on Spot Sales from a Joint Oil Stockpiling Facility

      Jennifer Considine, Kang Wu, Ziyad Alfawzan, Sammy Six

      In this paper, joint oil stockpiling (JOS) refers to a commercial arrangement whereby crude oil, owned and commercially traded by an exporting country, is stored in an importing country in exchange for priority drawdown by the host country in the…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Kang Wu Wu, Kang
      Ziyad Alfawzan Alfawzan, Ziyad
      Sammy Six Six, Sammy
      23 January 2020
      The Value of Spot Sales to a Producing Country Subject to Production Quotas
      Future of Global Oil Markets

      The Value of Spot Sales to a Producing Country Subject to Production Quotas

      Jennifer Considine, Kang Wu, Abdullah Aldayel

      In recent years, global oil markets have experienced intensified competition driven by growing surpluses of lighter crude and shale oil. As their margins have shrunk, many producers have increased output in order to boost revenue, adding to the oversupply. Meanwhile,…

      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Kang Wu Wu, Kang
      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      16 January 2020
      The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

      The Impact of Global Trade Disruptions on World Oil Markets

      Abdullah Aldayel, AlJawhara Al Quayid, Jennifer Considine, Emre Hatipoglu

      After decades of relatively smooth trade liberalization, a wave of protectionist measures and a global trade war is now threatening world trade. On September 1, 2019, the United States (U.S.) imposed a new series of tariffs on Chinese imports worth…

      Abdullah Aldayel Aldayel, Abdullah
      AlJawhara Al Quayid Al Quayid, AlJawhara
      Jennifer Considine Considine, Jennifer
      Emre Hatipoglu Hatipoglu, Emre
      4 December 2019